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Last week, the NFL slate was one of the craziest in recent history, highlighted by the Bills, which surprised the Vikings as a 17-point underdog, the biggest winner since 1995. four of our Seven best bets involve taking points.
New Orleans Saints to New York Giants: OVER 50 points
The Giants offense has just achieved its best performance of the season (thanks, Chad Wheeler), a 27-22 win over Houston. The Saints have the worst defensive in the league and the second best offensive. In addition, both teams face injury in defense: Saints CB Patrick Robinson were injured in the ankle and Giants CB Eli Apple (groin) and Olivier Vernon (ankle) missed the game last week. their return. Week 3 reminded us that you never know what will happen on Sunday, but all the signs indicate a high scoring game. – Jenny Vrentas
Miami Dolphins (+7) at the New England Patriots
I'm not saying that the unbeaten Dolphins will win right away, but they are a very successful team against a club that is paralyzed by its wide receivers and the lack of fast and healthy defenders on the front seven. dolphins under Adam Gase have always played the tough of the Patriots. – Andy Benoit
Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys (-3)
As the world's No.1 Lions believer, I write this through tears. But in a nutshell: Both teams played on a national stage last week and players are racing with the results. A three-point difference suggests that the public sees these teams as equal, which is simply not the case. The Cowboys have enough points in the game to accumulate yards against a Lions defense which is still a work in progress in the top seven. Detroit took advantage of his natural contact against the Patriots last week. And there are some team trends working against the Lions: since 1992, they are 23-45 against the roadside gap after a home win and 30-51 ATS on a match where they have awarded 14 points or less. – Gary Gramling
New Orleans Saints in New York Giants (+3.5)
The Saints are probably the best team here, but I very much like this situation for New York. The Saints are on the road for a second week in a row, playing three games in a score and a division battle in overtime last Sunday. New Orleans is still passable on the road, with Drew Brees's pass mark being nearly 13 points lower on the road. Defensively, the Saints occupy the 28th place Football Outsiders& # 39; DVOA. Although Marshon Lattimore may contain Odell Beckham Jr., the other Giants weapons should be dangerous in the passing game, as New Orleans is in 32nd place per attempt. Visitors could come up early, but a better rested and hungry local team will have the power to reduce at least the gap. – Jacob Feldman
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3)
The Steelers are at home in this game, so a line of three suggests that they are equal teams. I'm sorry, but I do not buy it for a second. The Steelers offered what should have been a win over the Browns in Week 1, but they still managed a draw despite five turnovers and a missed field goal in overtime. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs participated in the boat race, which is the standard procedure for Mahomes and the Chiefs.
The Ravens, meanwhile, beat the Bills (who cared?), Lost in Cincinnati and beat a team from Denver probably mediocre at home. The Steelers are second in the league in yards and sixth in yards per game, while the Ravens are 13th and 22nd, respectively. The Ravens scored more points than the Steelers, but 47 of their 97 points were won on the Bills. The Steelers, meanwhile, are one of six teams with at least two games of 30 points this year. The other five are chiefs, rams, saints, hawks and Bengals. These are equal teams? Barely. The Steelers are expected to score almost a touchdown in this game, which, again, takes place in Pittsburgh, not just a goal on the court. I support the Steelers with a lot of confidence in this one. – Michael Beller
Buffalo Bills (+10) at Green Bay Packers
Consider this as my official admission that I was wrong last week, although the dashboard has already done a lot to show it to me. I hope I do not overreact with my incorrect choice last week (Green Bay-3 in Washington), but I was surprised to see the Packers favored by 10 against the Bills.
We all saw the Bills stun the Vikings last week, finishing under a delay of 16.5 points and winning 27-6. I do not really guarantee another win that would bring back the worst NFL consensus team after the second week of last week at .500 after the fourth week. But I do not see how these Packers can be favored by 10 against anyone. Last week, I assumed that if Aaron Rodgers was on the field, he would be good enough to do his usual job. But there were parts of the Redskins game where he was clearly not 100%.
Last week was a big reminder that nobody knows anything about the NFL (thanks for reading, anyway). It is possible that we are coming to the end of the season and we are returning to the Bills Week 3 win as the biggest stroke of luck of the year, and we think it's a natural regression. likely to go 6-10 than 2-14. But the Bills defense reminded us how the team reached the playoffs last season, Josh Allen was there and he had another week under his belt, and 10 points are huge.
I have to wait and see a much better version of Aaron Rodgers before taking the Packers beyond a landing, especially in a league where the Sunday Any Any mantra is often true. – Mitch Goldich
Minnesota Vikings (+7) at the Los Angeles Rams
Why in the world would you bet on the Vikings after an embarrassing loss to the Bills, travel to play in Los Angeles for a short week and face one of the best NFL teams in the Rams?
The Rams will be without cornerback Aqib Talib after his ankle surgery, and teammate Marcus Peters (calf) will be a "decision of the game". a big advantage against the outside corners of Sam Shields and Troy Hill. Kyle Rudolph is also expected to exploit a lower-than-average Rams linebacker group that will likely be without Mark Barron. Los Angeles has been burned by the best tight end she has faced this season. Jared Cook of the Raiders racked up 180 yards on nine catches in Week 1.
Dalvin Cook practiced this week after missing the game against the Bills. Assuming that he plays, he will face a Rams defense that allowed 5.0 yards per run (27th in the NFL), and particularly hardship (6.6 YPC). This has not come back yet to haunt the Rams because they have had big late interests in the games, but do not underestimate this weakness in a tight game as this predicts.
There has been talk all week that this Rams attack seemed to be a historic unit and Jared Goff has made significant progress as a franchise QB. He has done very well so far, but it's against passing defenses that rank 18th (Cardinals), 26th (Chargers) and 31st (Raiders) in the DVOA Football Outsiders. The Vikings are in ninth place, and their high school will undoubtedly be Goff's biggest test so far, even if they will not match Everson Griffen's.
Finally, the fact that Mike Zimmer did not succeed in defeating the Vikings was profitable, and the losses are not much worse than those of the debacle of 24-7 against Buffalo. Minnesota is 17-6 against the gap in the games that were lost under Zimmer. The team was also strong as a loser with Zimmer at the helm, passing 20-9 against the gap. I will be happy to take advantage of another classic NFL reaction and acquire a team of Vikings struggling with problems. – Max Meyer
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