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Aaron Rodgers does not play often in a match where his team is a huge underdog, but that's exactly what's going to happen this week when the Packers will be heading to Los Angeles.
From the start of the 8th week, the Packers were considered a Rams underdog with 8.5 points, which is especially notable because it's tied for the biggest point gap in the regular season ever seen by Rodgers. The only other time Rodgers was an underdinner of at least 8.5 points came in September 2014, while the Packers were an underdog of 8.5 points against the Seahawks in a match that they were going to lose 36-16. If the gap in the Rams game goes to nine points, it will become the biggest points gap we have ever seen in a game involving Rodgers.
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To put into perspective how rare this is, the Packers have been an underdog in the regular season with at least five points and only four times with Rodgers, including the Rams game and the Seahawks game. In his career, Rodgers has a record of 1 to 3 at a time in Alignment and ATS in games where the Packers are an outsider of five points or more.
The reason why Rodgers and the Packers are so big underdogs is that they are about to fall on a hacksaw known as Rams. The Rams are 3-0 at home this season and have won all three games with an average of 17.7 points.
On the other hand, you have the Packers, who are an atrocious 0-2 on the road with losses to the Lions and Redskins.
Even if the Rams do not cover, they always seem to win in the games where they are favored. Since Sean McVay took office as a coach in 2017, the Rams have been favored by at least five points on eleven occasions. They were led 11-0 and 6-5 against the gap. The Rams have been favored by at least 6.5 points in each of their games this season, with a 2-4 record against the gap.
In week 8, only two teams proved to be more neglected than the Packers. To find out who these teams are, let's look at the rest of the odds.
NFL Week 8 early ratings
(All lines of SuperBook Westgate Las Vegas, all Sunday games, unless otherwise indicated. Do not forget that the dot spreads you see below represent the opening odds of week 8. For the most recent line of each game, click here).
Dolphins (4-3) at Texans (4-3), Thursday
Opening line: Texans -7.5
After starting 0-3, the Texans are suddenly tied for the AFC's longest winning streak with four games in a row. Despite their wins, the Texans failed to cover the gap. They have a 2-2 record against the gap over their run of four consecutive wins and only a 2-8 record against the gap in last 10 games of last season. The Texans have also been horrible in Thursday night games, only 1-6 against the gap and unhindered since 2010. Not to mention, they are 0-3 at home this season. As for the Dolphins, they are 0-3 both in play and away on Thursdays since 2015 and have averaged 4.7 points per game in these games. Dolphins are also just 1-7 of all time against the Texans.
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Eagles (3-4) vs Jaguars (3-4) in London
Opening line: Eagles -3
If there is a rule with the London games, it seems like the following: always bet the favorite to win the victory. Since the beginning of the international series in 2007, the favorite team has a record of 17-5-1 and a record of 14-9 against the gap, which bodes well for the Eagles. Of course, if there is a team against which you do not want to be better in London, it's the Jaguars. The Jags were neglected in three consecutive games in London and not only were they covered, but they won all three matches as individuals. That being said, the Jags are only 4 to 16 years old and both against ATS and their last 20 games against the NFC. As for the Eagles, this match will mark their first trip to London. The Eagles are 2-5 Away this season, which is tied for the worst NFL mark.
Jets (3-4) at Bears (3-3)
Opening line: Bear -6
Betting on the Bears can be quite risky when they are favored by this. Since 2014, the Bears have been favored six or more points on three occasions and not only have they failed to cover, but they have LOST all three games, including earlier this season where they lost to the Dolphins 31-28 as a 7.5- favorite point. Taking into account this defeat, the Bears are 0-2 at the same time in alignment and in ATS during the match against AFC East this year. As for the Jets, they struggled against the NFC, registering a 2-7 record since the start of the 2016 season (4-5 against the gap). The Jets are also 0-10 in their last 10 games, where they are neglected by six or more points (4-6 against the gap).
Buccaneers (3-3) to the Bengals (4-3)
Opening line: Bengals -6
It's not often that Bengals are a big favorite, but when they are, they usually cover. In Andy Dalton's career, the Bengals have been favored by six or more points, 26 times in total, and have a record of 22-3-1 in these games (16-9-1 against the gap). ). The Bengals are also 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games against NFC teams (ATS 6-3-1). As for the Bucs, they are not really a safe team to bet on for the moment. Tampa is 0-4 Away in their last four games. However, the Buc have been unstoppable in Cincinnati, where they have not lost since 1989.
Seahawks (3-3) at Lions (3-3)
Opening line: Lions -2.5
Whenever the Seahawks are an outsider, they tend to struggle. Since the beginning of the 2017 season, the Seahawks have been 11 times losers and in these games, they got a 3-8 record and a 4-6-1 record. As for the Lions, they have been one of the safest bets of the NFL this year. Detroit has not only covered four straight but seven of his last nine games since last season. The Lions are 5-1 against the gap over the year, making it the NFL 's second best mark, behind the leaders.
Broncos (3-4) at Chiefs (6-1)
Opening line: Chefs -9
Betting on the leaders has been essentially free money this year. In seven weeks, the Chiefs are 7-0 against the gap, which is the best mark of the NFL. The Chiefs have also covered the gap in 11 consecutive games dating back to last season, and if you think it's impressive, they've been almost as good against AFC West. In their last 15 division games, the Chiefs are 14-1 and 12-3. The Broncos lost six straight games against Kansas City and did not play any of those games, including a game earlier this season in which the Chiefs scored the 3.5-point favorite in a win. from 27-23. This match marks the third time in 10 years that the Broncos are an outsider of nine points or more. They are 0-2 in both straight-up and ATS in these games.
Red skins (4-2) in the giants (1-5)
Opening line: Redskins -1
When it comes to covering the gap, the Giants are one of the most unpredictable teams in the NFL. Although they are only 2 to 8 consecutive in their last 10 games, they have a 5-5 record against the gap. Of course, these numbers could improve with the arrival of the Redskins in town. In the last five years, the Giants are 7-3 against the Redskins as well as against the gap. On the Redskins side, they are only 2-6 in both a first leg and away against their last eight games against their divisional opponents. This total includes Washington's 20-17 victory over the Cowboys on Sunday.
Browns (2-4-1) at Steelers (3-2-1)
Opening line: Steelers -7.5
If there is one thing that Brown can not understand, it's how to beat Ben Roethlisberger. Since Big Ben's rookie year in 2004, the Browns have defeated the Steelers 3-25-1. Despite this bad record, they did a decent job to cover the gap against Pittsburgh, with a record of 16-12-1 ATS in 29 games. The Browns are also 3-0-1 against the gap in their last four games against the Steelers, whose draw 21-21 this year while the Steelers were favored by 3.5. Overall, the Browns are 5-2 against the season, making it the third-best NFL brand. The Steelers will enter this game after a start, which could be good news for the Browns. In the past five years, the Steelers have gone 1-4 against the break after a bye (2-3 wins). The Steelers have not covered a match in the week following a bye since 2013.
Ravens (4-3) to the Panthers (4-2)
Opening line: Pick & # 39; em
As for the AFC teams, Carolina has been launched. The Panthers have not only won six straight games against the AFC teams, but they also have a 5-1 record against the gap. The Ravens, on the other hand, struggled to face the NFC teams, holding only 3-7 at a time in alignment and defeat in their last 10 games against the conference. This game being a pick & em, the biggest difference could be the fact that it is played in Carolina. The Panthers have won eight consecutive home games since last season.
Colts (2-5) to Raiders (1-5)
Opening line: Colts -1.5
If there is a place where the colts always seem to have trouble, it's the west coast. In the last five years, the Colts have played four games in the Pacific time zone and have been 0-4 in a row against ATS. For some reason, the Colts also seem to have trouble participating in the October road matches. Since the year Andrew Luck 's rookie year in 2012, the Colts have been 4-10 in games outside of October (5-8-1 against the US). ; deviation). As for the Raiders, they are 1-9 in their last 10 games and 2-4 against the season, which is tied for the fourth-worst score in the NFL.
Packers (3-2-1) at Rams (7-0)
Opening line: Rams -8.5
Yes, the Rams are undefeated, but they have struggled to cover the spread this year. The Rams are 4-3 against the season, including only 1: 3 in their last four games. As for the Packers, they lost four games in a row on the road dating back to last season and did not draw. The biggest advantage for the Packers in this game could well be the fact that Aaron Rodgers has never lost to the Rams (4-0) and is covered every time he faces them.
49ers (1-6) in the Cardinals (1-6)
Opening line: Pick & # 39; em
Since you just have to pick a winner in this game, the only thing you need to know is that the Cardinals have dominated this series over the past three years. Since 2015, the Cardinals are 7-0 against the 49ers. This total includes a match of the fifth week in which Arizona was cleared as a 3-point underdog in a 28-18 victory. This game still represents the unique win of the year of the Cardinals. The 49ers have lost five straight times and are 2-5 Away this year, which is tied for the NFL's worst score. The Cardinals are 3-1-1 against the gap in their last five games.
Saints (5-1) in the Vikings (4-2-1)
Opening line: Vikings -2.5
The last time we saw these two teams on the same field, the Saints lost one of the most unlikely touchdowns of all time.
The Miracle of Minneapolis was in fact the second defeat of the Saints against the Vikings last season. Both teams also played in the first week. Minnesota was selected as a three-point favorite in a 29-19 win. Although Minnesota have won two games against the Saints in the last 13 months, none of these have been played in October, which is apparently the case when the Saints are unbeatable. In their last 15 games in October, the Saints are 13-2 and an incredible 14-1. The magic of New Orleans in October will be put to the test at US Bank Stadium, where the Vikings are 9-2 from the start of last season (7-4-1 ATS).
Patriots (5-2) against Bills (2-5)
Opening line: Patriots -13
Do not be surprised if Bills fans get a little crazy for this game, as it will be the first match played on Monday night in Buffalo since 2008. The Bills have in fact been a solid home betting since the beginning of last season. , ranging from 6- 3-1 ATS. They also made a pretty solid bet when they were a big underdog, with a 4-1 record against the gap over the last 10 years, when they had a dog of 13 points or more. This total includes the Bills' win over the Vikings in Week 3, where they won 27-6 as an underdog at 16.5 points. Of course, betting on the Bills means betting on Derek Anderson or Nathan Peterman, so maybe that's not such a good idea. Regarding the Patriots, although they have dominated this series in the last 10 years – they have a career record of 17-3 since 2008 – they have struggled to cover, recording a record of 11-7 -2 against the gap. In their last 10 games, where they have been favored by 13 points or more, the Patriots are 9-1 and 7-3.
BYES: Falcons, Cowboys, Titans, Chargers
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