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Surprising, perhaps, and certainly intriguing for the prevaricators to wonder what exactly she is doing, but her gesture is not unprecedented. In fact, Haley is the second very powerful rising star of the GOP to announce that she is missing the service, the other being Paul Ryan.
They are both young Republican politicians – she is 46 years old – she was very successful at the very beginning and they are now leaving politics. At least for the moment.
They prefer not to participate directly in the conversation over the next few years. Whether they admit it or not, it says a lot about the fate of the conversation.
Many Republicans – a remarkable number, in fact – were already retiring this year rather than facing difficult re-election campaigns. Senators like Bob Corker (Tennessee) and Jeff Flake (Arizona), both critics of President Donald Trump, have stepped down the list of re-election candidates. But that sounds different from Ryan, who would almost certainly have been able to stay at the helm of the House Republicans, even though he was not in the majority, and Haley, who would certainly have kept his seat in office of Trump.
In general, people who reach the level of Ryan and Haley do not hang up their ears for years when they have yet to make an obvious decision.
It should be noted here that there are surely other considerations at stake for Haley and Ryan. Neither of the two most obvious motivations justifies their ads – they could both take advantage of the opportunity to make money. Haley has one child in high school and another in high school.
Ryan, whose father died when he was young, sincerely stated that he wanted to spend time with his children before they grow up and move on.
Time is running out in politics, and the time has not come for them.
"It was really two things," Ryan told reporters in April when he announced he would leave Congress. "I've accomplished a lot of what I've come here to do, and my kids are not rejuvenating, and if I stay, they'll only know me as a weekend dad, and that's just a thing that I can not consciously And that's really it. "
Haley did not give a very specific reason Monday, but she was also sure to say that she had done what she was planning to do.
"I do not know where I'm going," she says. "I think the essential was – I've been governor for six years, and we've been dealing with the hurricane, a thousand-year flood, a church shootout, a There were a lot of things to do in Russia, Iran, and North Korea – I've been intense for eight years, and I strongly believe in limiting term limits. "
It's usually after the failure of the presidential race that Haley and Ryan-style politicians leave politics, often returning after wasting money in the private sector. That's what made Ohio Governor John Kasich. He's very well kept in the mix and remains one of the few Republicans not to be afraid to criticize Trump, even if he's moving away from Trump's GOP core.
There is a certain political danger in this sabbatical leave of several years. Hillary Clinton lost to Barack Obama in 2008, was his biggest diplomat, got one of the highest approval rates in the country and then spent two years making tons of money. money giving speeches to Wall Street companies. This well paid break hurt him in the Democratic primary, while it was a key topic of discussion of Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders.
If Ryan and Haley win, they will no longer be able to say that they have worked hard in the public service.
Most presidents come directly from another government position. Trump, the real estate mogul and the star of reality TV, is a very notable exception.
But George W. Bush, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton and George H.W. Bush all had a government job just before going to the White House. Ronald Reagan rose from governor of California in 1975 to the election campaign, but lost the primary in 1976. He remained very politically active and cooled for 1980.
Richard Nixon is one of the few politicians who has managed to return from politics after a long career in the House of Commons, the Senate and after eight years as Vice-President. He lost a race to the governor of California and was absent in the 1964 presidential election after losing a squeaker in 1960.
A big difference is that Nixon's losses have exiled him into the political desert. Ryan and Haley go there willingly.
