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As the Cubs face the Diamondbacks Tuesday night in Phoenix, their magic number to win the National League title for a third consecutive season has been reduced to nine.
The second-ranked Brewers lost to the Reds 3-1 in Milwaukee and fell three games behind the Cubs – waiting for the result in Arizona. The third-place Cardinals, who have second place in NL's wild card, eliminated the Braves 8-1 and are five on the first – and only two behind the Brewers.
A look at the division race:
1. Cubs
Record: 88-62 (entering the end of the game).
Magic number: 9 (division), 7 (wild berth).
Probability of the playoffs (Fangraphs.com, entry at the end of the game): 100% overall, 91.7% to win the division.
Tuesday: At Diamondbacks (in progress).
Remaining games (after Tuesday): 11 (7 house, 4 road).
Versus NL Central contenders: 3 against the cardinals (3 at home).
Versus 500 teams and more: 8.
Wednesday: at Diamondbacks, 8:40 pm, NBCSCH.
LH Cole Hamels (9-9, 3.57) vs. LH Robbie Ray (5-2, 4.14).
The next five games
Friday at White Sox, 3:10 pm, NBCSCH.
Saturday at White Sox, 6:10 pm, WGN-9.
Sunday at White Sox, 1:10 pm, ABC-7.
Monday vs Pirates, 19:05, NBCSCH.
Tuesday against the pirates, 19:05, WGN-9.
2. Brewers
Record: 86-66, 3 games behind.
Probability of the playoffs: 97.4% in total, 7.3% to win the division, 90.1% to win the joker.
Tuesday: Lost to Reds 3-1 in Milwaukee.
Remaining games: 10 (4 house, 6 road).
Versus NL Central contenders: 3 vs Cardinals (3 roads).
Versus 500 teams and more: 6.
Wednesday: vs Reds, 6:40 pm
The next five games
Friday at Pirates, 6:05 pm
Saturday at Pirates, 18:05
Sunday at Pirates, 12:35
Cardinals Monday, 7:15 pm
Tuesday at Cardinals, 7:15 pm
3. cardinals
Record: 84-68, 5 games behind.
Probability of the playoffs: 75.8 percent in total, 1 percent to win the division, 74.7 percent to win the joker.
Tuesday: Beat Braves 8-1 in Atlanta.
Remaining games: 10 (6 house, 4 road).
Versus NL Central contenders: 3 vs Cubs (3 roads); 3 against Brewers (3 at home).
Versus 500 teams and more: 7.
Wednesday: at Braves, 11:10
The next five games
Friday against the giants, 19:15
Saturday vs Giants, 6:15 pm
Sunday against Giants, 1:15 pm
Monday vs. Brewers, 7:15 pm
Tuesday against the brewers, 7:15 pm
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