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Smoking is the leading preventable cause of cancer in the UK, a new report predicts that obesity will take over in women over the next quarter of a century.
The Cancer Research UK report has sparked strong reactions from groups and health officials, Public Health England (PHE) claiming that a "bold action" on obesity is now needed.
The report
The report comes from the Cancer Intelligence Team, Cancer Intelligence Team, Policy and Information Branch, and is called When can we be overweight and obesity overtake smoking as the leading cause of cancer in the UK ?
The data builds on the charity's earlier work, which has prevented about 4 in 10 cancer cases in the UK.
The research team took data on the prevalence of smoking in the UK and, with estimates of the impact of smoking on cancer risk, performed its calculations with the help of figures from the UK cancer registry. These historical data were then extrapolated into forward-looking forecasts.
Statistical techniques used include microsimulation, population fraction (PAF) and relative risk (RR).
The association said its report had not been the subject of a peer review, but Dr. Katrina Brown said on the association's science blog: "While the numbers are based on projections, we use peer-reviewed methods."
And she recognizes that many variables come into play: "We can not predict too high cancer rates in the future because there are too many uncertainties, especially with new research on the prevention and diagnosis of cancer. Cancer.
"In general, we have not been predicting cancer for more than 20 years.For these analyzes, we used projections of cancer incidence until 2035."
Gender differences
Since men smoke more than women, there are more smoking-related cancers among men. However, researchers found a difference in weight and, although statistically more men than women are overweight or obese, obesity has a greater effect on more common female cancers, including breast cancer and breast cancer. 'uterus.
Cancer Research UK's prevention expert, Professor Linda Bauld, said, "Obesity is a huge threat to public health right now and it will only get worse." The UK government needs to learn from Smoking prevention of cancer-related cancers by facilitating the maintenance of a healthy weight and protecting children, as overweight people are five times more likely to be in adulthood . "
"Bold action" needed
She continued, "The decline in smoking is a cause for celebration.It shows that decades of efforts to raise awareness of health risks and strong political action, including taxation, the removal of tobacco and l '. smoking ban in indoor public places has paid off, but as much remains to be done to help people quit smoking, we must also act now to stem the tide of weight-related cancers and ensure that this projection never becomes a reality. "
Reacting to the report, PHE chief nutritionist Alison Tedstone said, "We have seen a dramatic change in smoking, with levels at a very low level, and we are now on the brink of England's first smoke-free generation.
"A bold action is needed to fight obesity, the challenge of a generation.We are at the forefront of the trend – our sugar and calories reduction program and the tax on the government's sugar are prominent, long trip. "
Dr. Max Davie, Officer of the Royal College of Pediatrics and Child Health (RCPCH) for Health Promotion, said, "A child is more likely to be overweight or to be overweight. obese if a parent is overweight or obese. This increases their risk of cancer.The second chapter of the government's plan for childhood obesity is rightly focused on prevention and if proposals are implemented, this plan will pave the way for better child health . treat children who are already overweight or obese.
"Only with this two-pronged approach will we be able to prevent the next generation of obese children and reduce the risk of developing cancer in overweight or obese people."
The Obesity Health Alliance includes BMA, Diabetes UK and the British Heart Foundation. Caroline Cerny said, "It is alarming that obesity may soon become the leading preventable cause of cancer among women, but unfortunately it is not surprising. We already know that obesity increases the risk not only such as type 2 diabetes, heart disease and stroke.Environmental factors such as advertising and promoting unhealthy foods and beverages contribute to this crisis of public health. Marketing junk food of all types, including a 21-hour watershed on TV. "
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