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On election day in less than a month, Brett Kavanaugh headed to the Supreme Court and US voters – maybe even monsters – will go to the polls.
President Donald Trump and Senate Republicans have a conservative legacy to replace Anthony Kennedy, a majority vote, and ensure a shift to the right for decades to come. Is it worth the majority in the House or Senate?
Their long-term realization could lead to a very bitter pill if voters, especially women and independents, are distraught by what it took to get Kavanaugh to sit down.
The heartrending spectacle of hearings in which current Judge Kavanaugh was accused of sexual harassment for several decades and the subsequent determination of the Senate and Republicans to block Block for Kavanaugh resulted in a remarkable political battle and exhausting, even in the days of Trump, to say something.
The Republicans, after a coordinated Kavanaugh defense before its confirmation, have already pivoted for a coordinated defense of their majorities, seeking to paint those who loudly opposed Kavanaugh as part of a "crowd".
Mobs at the door
Trump and the Senate Majority Leader, Mitch McConnell, both used this term over the weekend, attempting to reject opposition to them as the feeling of some loud protesters.
"In their quest for power, radical Democrats have become an angry mob," Trump said at a rally in Kansas on Saturday.
Whether describing protesters as a subset of unruly supporters is accurate or effective will need to be debated. But the strong protests against Captain Hill against Kavanaugh looked nothing like what was seen at Capitol Hill, perhaps since 2010, when Democrats imposed their majority by passing Obamacare, the Affordable Care Act and the Conservatives. of the tea party to make themselves known.
The Democrats hope something similar will happen as a result of Kavanaugh. A message that was already intended to defend the fact that health care legislation will now make a lot of appeal to the justice system that exploited the nerve with the # MeToo movement.
There is evidence that the court, which is generally a more motivating subject for Republicans, could lead the Democrats to the polls this year. In a Pew poll held in late September before Kavanaugh's confirmation, 76 percent of respondents said the Supreme Court was "very important" – the first time in years that the economy did not surpass the poll.
Watch for the new polls to see if Kavanaugh's confirmation worsens the anger of the Democrats.
Republicans promise pro-Kavanaugh message against Trump-state Democrats
The mid-term policy is a state and district enterprise, not really national.
While the majority in the House seems very much at stake for Democrats, the Senate card greatly favors Republicans. Most of the contending seats involve Democrats who are re-elected in Trump-winning states and are therefore probably more open to Kavanaugh. Only one of these senators, Joe Manchin of West Virginia, voted for Kavanaugh, saying that it was in the interest of his state and for the desire of his constituents. The rest of the Trump Democrats – even serious supporters such as Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota and Joe Donnelly of Indiana – sided with the party, and the Republicans made it clear over the weekend that they would exploit this vote.
The votes of leading Republicans are retiring (Jeff Flake of Arizona) or are re-eligible only in 2020 (Susan Collins of Maine) or 2022 (Lisa Murkowski of Alaska).
Even Manchin, who has supported Kavanaugh, will not be safe from a Kavanaugh platform designed by Republicans in the past month.
Senator Lindsey Graham, who became a pro-Kavanaugh attack dog for the GOP during hearings and after, said that he would set aside a long-standing commitment to not campaign against the Democrat senators in office.
"I've never campaigned against a colleague of my life," Graham said in "Fox News Sunday." "This is about to change, I will go all over the country to allow the people of these purple states, the red states where Trump won, to know what I thought, to know what I think, of this process. "
The South Carolina senator was referring to allegations by himself and other Republicans that the Democrats would have tried to slow down Kavanaugh's appointment and that they would have made the accusations against him just before vote.
Kavanaugh also is associated with this conspiracy theory, claiming that it was a revenge for his work against the Clintons.
Kavanaugh's reproaches could help democrats
There is no evidence of conspiracy, but the allegation of sexual assault against Kavanaugh, whom the judge vehemently denied, emerged after his first confirmation hearing, prolonging the process, provoking a painful national conversation about who to believe – Kavanaugh or his accuser. , Christine Blasey Ford – and making the new most tainted justice since Clarence Thomas in 1991.
A year later, a wave of new women senators took office and their ascension – now known as the "Year of the Woman" – is partly attributed to a brutal reaction against the treatment of Anita Hill when she was a woman. she rang the alarm the sexually harassed.
Even before the appointment of Kavanaugh, a new "Year of the Woman" was launched while a record number of women were running.
& # 39; A chickenpox on both houses & # 39;
"I think the whole process – look, it's both sides – a chickenpox on both rooms for the way it's happened," he said.
He tried to fill the media void in 2020 and told CNN's Dana Bash Sunday on Sunday "The State of the Union" that no-one – Republican or Democrat – was coming out of Kavanaugh's bloody battle.
"The people of the country are dismayed," said Kasich. "It's because it's like I have to win and you have to lose it."
While Democrats and Republicans are trying to capitalize before November, Kasich said that he thought there would be Democratic collections and perhaps a new majority in the House, but that they were going to Too far to the left for the country. He argued that there was something bigger at stake.
"Sometimes you can win in the short term, and in the long run you have to question the soul of our country," he said.
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