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The whispered, but Republicans in the House are beginning to think that they might have a chance.
After believing for months that a democratic landslide was about to occur, many Republicans now dare to hope that they will retain the majority in the House or lose it at the slimmest margin.
According to an informal poll of ten members, assistants and members of the GOP House two weeks before polling day, no party will hold more than five seats. If this happens in this way, the GOPs will – against all odds – have defeated their own initially unenthusiastic base and their seemingly boundless energy among Democrats, essentially to fight for equality.
The Senate's fight against Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh appears to have helped motivate GOP voters, as well as the ongoing job creation and economic growth that procured Republicans – and President Trump – a favorite subject.
"For the first time in months, we have the wind in our sails, and now we need to find a way to keep it going for two weeks," said Corry Bliss, executive director of the Congressional Leadership Fund. "In the past 30 days, the president has done the most difficult thing in American politics: to excite and unite the Republican base."
Some of these positive signs can be seen in some of the individual home runs across the country. Bliss mentioned in a recent note that the group had resumed the airwaves to support Rod Blum's representative, R-Iowa, who once considered a dead man walking, but who has seen a slight increase in polling results in recent years. weeks. Maria Elvira Salazar is also a precious help. It has already been taken for the 27th congressional district of Florida, which is left vacant by representative Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, R-Fla.
Salazar stands against Democrat Donna Shalala, former senior Clinton official and former president of the University of Miami, who could not separate.
Despite the growing optimism of the GOP, the prevailing view remains that Republicans will lose a very narrow bid to keep the House, which means that any hope of keeping the majority depends on the end of the week without any mistakes and no luck.
"I'm saying we're just losing it, the retreats and the redrawing of the Pennsylvania map will come back to haunt us," said a GOP member, noting that at best the party loses 18 to 20 seats in its cushion of 23 seats. "We have to start a perfect match right now."
But Republicans are feeling more confident in some parts of the country, particularly in Orange County, California. A GOP agent involved in home racing has named Young Kim in the 39th district of California as a competition he is passionate about, alongside races organized by Representatives Dana Rohrabacher and Jeff Denham.
They also believe that two GOP reps, Rep. Barbara Comstock, R-Va., And Rep. Mimi Walters, R-Calif. – both were counted by many Republicans – are still in margin of error competitions that could tip the party in two weeks. The Democrats had previously removed the advertising from the Comstock race, assuming it was over.
According to a new poll released Tuesday by The Washington Post, Democrats hold a 50% to 47% advantage in 69 battlefield districts surveyed, including 63 Republican-owned and 48-won by President Trump in 2016. The same survey was 50% to 46%. in favor of the Democrats on October 5th.
The polls also showed positive results for two Republicans who find themselves sitting against each other. According to New York Times polls, Rep. Mike Bost, R-Ill., Defeated 9 points Brendan Kelly in the 12th congressional district of Illinois, while Representative Scott Taylor, who represents part of the Virginia coast, holds the 3 point advantage over Elaine Luria.
A new poll released Tuesday in Monmouth also shows that Rohrabacher is 2 points ahead of Democrat Harley Rouda, while a poll released Monday in Siena shows that Rep. John Faso, R-N.Y. Is at the top of a point on Antonio Delgado.
According to the The Post survey, Kavanaugh hearings stimulated both sides, with 59% of them saying they were more motivated by the battle to go to the polls. The prospects for the GOP began to revolve around just after the fight to bring him to court, when many Republicans said it gave life to their constituents and reduced a long-standing enthusiasm gap.
"It's the most important thing." This probably attracted the attention of the GOP, said the GOP officer. "It brought them home earlier than they would have probably done."
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