State of Intermediate Courts: Beto O 'Rourke seeks to capitalize on endorsements, while Governor's breeds change course



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Texas Representative Beto O 'Rourke extols the merits of three of Texas's leading newspapers as part of his insurgency attempt to oust incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz while the GOP makes apparent gains in several races at Governor and Senate.

In Missouri, the average RealClearPolitics polls (RCP) now indicates that Republican Senate nominee Josh Hawley leads 1 point vulnerable Democrat Claire McCaskill, based on a new poll released Saturday by Missouri Scout and making take Hawley out of 4 points.

McCaskill, who fought to run as the dominant candidate in a state that President Trump had won double-digit in 2016, had always led the race until July. However, Hawley criticized all of his critics for becoming a "Liberal supporter", particularly in light of his vote against Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh. Fox News currently considers the race to be a run.

The Senate continues to be a breeding ground for Republicans, according to Fox News polls and the RCP average, with the GOP enjoying a favorable card this year: Democrats are forced to defend 26 seats, including 10 in the states that Trump has adopted. (Only one third of the 100 Senate seats are elected every two years.)

A CBS poll released on Sunday showed Republican Mike Braun ahead of outgoing Democrat Indiana Indiana by 3 points, with a margin of error, but remains a worrying sign for Donnelly as the GOP gains ground and attempts to swich place.

Meanwhile, in the wake of last week's Trump rally, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker approached Democrat Tony Evers. Cook's political report now states that the race is a race that could turn to Walker's highest political organization. . Fox News described the poll as a democrat lean, and the average RCP polls give Evers a 3.6 point advantage, up from 6.3 in August. Top Democrats have also flocked to the state in recent days as Walker continues to cut Evers' lead.

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In Alaska, independent governor Bill Walker, who suspended his campaign earlier this month and has supported Democrat Mark Begich in Republican Mike Dunleavey, will remain on the ballot – and Cook Political Report is waiting for it. at that he receives between 10 and 20% of the vote. The higher the number, the better the result for Dunleavey, who currently leads about 4 points in a race that Fox News qualifies as a draw. Trump had won Alaska by 14 points in 2016, but in August, the Washington Post wrote that the races in the government of Alaska and Wisconsin "strongly favored" Democrats.

And in Florida, where polls have consistently shown that Democrat Andrew Gillum was just ahead of Republican Ron DeSantis in the race for governor, early votes show that Republican voters are coming in larger numbers than Democrats, suggesting a gap of enthusiasm.

Democrats, however, see surprising signs of hope in Oklahoma of a deep red, where reigning Republican governor, Mary Fallin, remains deeply unpopular, even as Fox News ranks the race as probably Republican. Polls show that Republican candidate Kevin Stitt retains a significant lead over Democrat Drew Edmondson, but largely because of Fallin's poor record in the country since taking office in 2011, Cook Political Report believes the race could unfold in both directions.

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The main poll indicators still give a positive image to Democrats in the House, where the vast majority of competitive races are held in GOP-led districts led by Hillary Clinton. The PCR projects that Democrats can count on getting 205 seats in the House, versus 199 on Republicans, meaning that 31 are considered to be reversals. Fox News's analysis also indicates 31 vacant seats, including 207 likely or lean democrats and 197 likely or lean Democrats.

But no trend seems inviolable with only a few days before November 6th. In Texas, the Fort Worth Star-Telegram, which supported the 2012 Mitt Romney presidential race, as well as the Republican Sens. John Cornyn and Kay Bailey Hutchison, have turned heads when he announced this weekend, "Cruz is not able to reset."

The editorial board continued, "Only O'Rourke seems interested in reaching agreements or finding common ground, so Democrat El Paso would make the best senator the future of Tarrant County and future of Texas. " The Star-Telegram is the first newspaper in Tarrant County, the third largest county in the country.

O & # 39; Rourke emphasized the support in a tweet late saturday, and his campaign also announced his support for the state's two largest newspapers: the Houston Chronicle and the Dallas Morning News. Cruz was approved by The Chronicle in 2012, but not by the Dallas Morning news.

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However, analysts wondered whether newspaper endorsements produced results for candidates. In 2016, Hillary Clinton has received support from more than 90 percent of leading newspaper editorial boards, including Chronicle and Dallas Morning News.

And polls continue to indicate a difficult path to victory for O 'Rourke, who reaffirmed earlier this month that he would vote to dismiss President Trump. While Cook's political report qualifies the Texas Senate race as a coup, he acknowledges that Cruz has an edge in the final days of the campaign.

The Republican in office is leading nearly 7 points in the last RCP average, despite the considerable advantage of O 'Rourke's fundraising. O & # Rourke has raised more than $ 70 million since entering the race in 2017, according to new documents filed in federal elections, compared to the $ 40 million generated by Cruz since taking office in 2013.

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