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As people around the world continue to grow, diabetes rates will continue to rise and insulin supply will be insufficient, warns a new study.
By 2030, about 79 million adults with type 2 diabetes are expected to need insulin. But if the current quantities of drugs remain uniform, no less than 40 million people could be deprived, according to a report from the journal The Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology.
"These estimates suggest that current levels of insulin access are very inadequate compared to projected needs, particularly in Africa and Asia," said Dr. Sanjay Basu, an assistant professor of medicine at the University of California. Stanford University. "And more efforts should be devoted to overcoming this impending health challenge."
Insulin is used to treat people with type 1 diabetes and some people with type 2 diabetes, linked to obesity and reduced physical activity.
The researchers predict that the number of adults with type 2 diabetes will increase from 406 million in 2018 to 2511% in 2030, an increase of 25%. The United States should represent the third group of people with diabetes, with 32 million in just over a decade.
"The number of adults with type 2 diabetes is expected to increase over the next 12 years due to aging, urbanization and associated changes in diet and physical activity Said Basu.
According to current figures, nearly 80 million people might need insulin, but only 38 million will likely have access to it. In addition, the expensive treatment is dominated by three manufacturers.
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