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With the strong support of older men and voters, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has largely advanced ahead of his Democratic representative Beto O'Rourke in a poll conducted Thursday night by the New York Times Upshot and Siena College.
Mr. Cruz was eight percentage points ahead, from 51% to 43%, among the 800 registered voters, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points. About 5% of voters said they were undecided or refused to say who they would vote for.
Although a Democrat no longer has a position in Texas since 1994, the party hoped that Mr. O'Rourke would make a long-term offer, believing that a breakthrough in this solidly red state could help the Democrats win an improbable majority in the Senate. He proved Friday that his campaign was over $ 38 million and had reached more than $ 38 million the record record of the Senate race. He reached a national celebrity as a symbol of Democratic resistance to President Trump.
But less than four weeks before polling day, more and more Texans seem to remain loyal to the Republican candidate in a state that Mr Trump carried by nine points in 2016.
Half of survey respondents said they approve of Trump's work and a slight majority would like to see Republicans retain control of the Senate in November. And 57% said they oppose the actions of N.F.L. players who kneel during the national anthem – alongside Mr. Cruz, who reprimanded O'Rourke for hiring the athletes – although half of the respondents said they supported the right of players to do it.
But not everyone seems ready to forgive. Henrietta Andrade, 60, of San Antonio, said that although she can never vote for Mr. O'Rourke, Mr. Cruz's previous criticisms of Mr. Trump have also made him furious.
"He is constantly jumping out of the boat," Ms. Andrade said of Mr. Cruz in a follow-up interview after being contacted for the ballot. "He will not support the gang."
Micah Flippen, 43, of College Station, Texas, was less equivocal, praising Mr. Cruz for supporting Judge Brett M. Kavanaugh during his very difficult confirmation process.
"The silent majority will vote for Cruz," Flippen said. "Nobody in their mind thinks that Beto will put more money in their pockets except for the poorest. They can scream and shout, but they will not vote.
Many Texans are inclined to prove him wrong. John Saylor, 61, of Muleshoe, Texas, congratulated O'Rourke for "going out with the people", even as he recognized the challenges his candidate was facing.
"Beto is doing an excellent campaign," he said. "But it's Texas."
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