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Everyone has voted, the results are in the Senate and the House – but several races remain unresolved. (As of 7:30 pm on Wednesday, Nov. 7, for our colleagues at ABC News, the US House and One for Georgia governor. These houses have the potential to change the narrative around this election for Democrats could pick up 40 House seats instead of 29, or turn a disappointing showing in the Senate into a draw. Here's the state of each state of the race.
Senate
As things stand right now, the Republicans have picked up two seats in the Senate, but that could be reduced to zero when the races in Arizona, Florida and Mississippi get resolved. in Arizona, Republican Rep. Martha McSally currently leads Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema by about 1 percentage point. However, the Arizona Republic estimates that nearly 650,000 votes have yet to be counted – including 80,000 to 100,000 in blue-leaning Pima County and 500,000 (!) In Maricopa County (the Phoenix area). Maricopa has some very big corners and so very few corners, so not knowing where the outstanding ballots are coming from, this is a totally wide-open race. Reportedly, the state will be published at 5 pm local time every day starting on Thursday, Nov. 8.
in Florida, Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson first appeared on Wednesday morning, and his opponent, Republican Gov. Rick Scott, also requested victory. But as the last votes were counted, Nelson closed the gap so that he is now less than half a percentage point behind Scott. That's Nelson's magic number, as it triggers a machine recount under Florida law. "We Are Proceeding to a Recount." It's not a sure thing yet, though: Three (Democratic-leaning) counties were still counting as late as Wednesday afternoon; What is more, a recount must be officially ordered by the secretary of state, whom Scott appointed to the job. But do not hold your breath, Democrats: Recounts rarely overturn election results.
Finally, we expect the special U.S. Senate election in Mississippi will proceed to a runoff on Nov. 27 as a result of the vote 50 percent of the vote on Tuesday. Although they received 41 percent of the vote, appointed Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith Will Be a Heavy Favorite Against Democratic U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Mike Espy Thanks to the State's Dark Red Hue.
House
Of the 12 unresolved House races, Democrats lead or look like they're in good position in nine of them. Here's the full lowdown:
- Five of the races are in California: specifically, the 10th, 39th, 45th, 48th and 49th districts. It's not unusual for close races in California to be unchanged even after the election. That's because mail bales in California only to be postmarked by Election Day; They can arrive at elections as late as Friday and still be counted. Since so many people in California, it's probably still in transit. Currently, the Republican candidates have leads of between 2 and 4 percentage points in the four districts. However, late-destination bales tend to lean in Democratic, so those GOP leads will probably shrink, if not reverse entirely. Because of this, we're guessing that Democrats might win most, if not all, of these districts when all is said and done. The Democratic candidate already leads in one of the 49th – which has prompted the Associated Press to call for Democrat Mike Levin already.
- After hosting the most expensive congressional election in U.S. history in 2017, the Georgia 6th District was once again closely fought in 2018. And we mean étroitement – According to the Georgia Secretary of State, Democrat Lucy McBath leads Republican Rep. Karen Handel by less than 1 percentage point. McBath has declared victory, while he is making noise about requesting a recount. Even though, it has an improbable road to a comeback.
- Tea Maine 2nd District will probably not be decided until next week. Republican Rep. Rep. Bruce Poliquin and Democratic State Rep. Jared Golden appears to be stuck below a majority. If that holds, it means that Maine's new system of ranked-choice voting will decide the winner. A computer program will redistribute the votes of the last-place finisher, independent William Hoar, among the other three candidates. If a candidate still does not have the majority, the third-place finisher, independent Tiffany Bond, will then be eliminated, and her voters redistributed. At that point, either Golden Poliquin will have a majority of the remaining votes, and that will win the congressional seat. Golden is probably favored in this scenario; Both Bond and Hoar indicated in a debate that they would prefer Golden over Poliquin (we'll see if their voters agree). But it might not end there: If Poliquin ends up finishing first in the initial returns but loses the ranked-choice tabulations to Golden, he has left the door open to a short challenge.
- With 100 percent of precincts reporting, Republican Jim Hagedorn held a slim lead over Democrat Dan Feehan in the Minnesota 1st District. If it holds on, it will be the second seat that Republicans flipped from blue to red this year. The Associated Press has called for the race for Hagedorn – and it is definitely favored – but Feehan has not yet conceded.
- Republican Rep. Tom MacArthur and Andy Democrat are locked in an uncertain battle New Jersey 3rd District. From Tuesday into Wednesday, the two traded leads of 2,000+ votes. The ballots continue to be delivered by the ballot box.
- In the North Carolina 9th District, Republican Mark Harris led Democrat Dan McCready by less than 2,000 votes with all precincts reporting. McCready conceded the race, but on Wednesday afternoon. However, media outlets are being more cautious.
- Despite what President Trump said at his Wednesday press conference, Republican Rep. Mia Love has not yet been lost Utah 4th District Salt Lake County Mayor Ben McAdams by a sizable 3 percentage points. The reason no projection has been made to count the ballots in the race. More than 200,000 bales in Salt Lake and Utah, and we're not getting an update from Utah County – Love's political base – until Friday.
- Finally, the Washington 8th District unsurprisingly remains undecided. Why? Washington votes almost entirely by mail and reports its election results in waves as the ballots arrive – and they can not go far. As of Wednesday evening, Kim Schrier Democrat leads Republican train state Sen. Dino Rossi 53 percent to 47 percent, but that is very much subject to change.
Gouverneur
Finally, the gubernatorial race in georgia Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized Uncategorized 4 runoff. 50.3 percent of the vote with 100 percent of precincts reporting. However, it does not include some absentee and provisional bots, which became a flashpoint in Georgia in the race's closing days. Missed ballots with mismatched signatures in Gwinnett County, and up to 53,000 Georgians whose vote-registration applications were put on hold If they could not prove their eligibility at the polls. Kemp has a majority. We do not know how to count, but … that's a lot.
We'll update this post on a semi-regular basis with the latest news and numbers from these races.
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