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The hurricane season of the 2018 Atlantic may not be as active as predicted forecasters, warn two groups of meteorologists.
Meteorologists at Colorado State University (CSU) released a hurricane forecast on Monday. because of the cold temperatures of the tropical oceans and the strong shear of the wind.
The CSU forecasts 14 total storms named in May, including six hurricanes and two major hurricanes. Now, CSU experts predict only 11 named storms, including four hurricanes and a major hurricane – meaning a Category 3 or higher storm.
"The tropical and subtropical Atlantic is currently much colder than normal, and the chances of a weak El Niño" Phil Klotzbach, forecaster CSU Hurricane, wrote in the latest forecasts. "[19659005"WiththedeclineinourforecaststhelikelihoodofmajorhurricaneslandingalongtheUScoastlineandintheCaribbeanregionhasalsodecreased"wroteKlotzbachwarningthatcoastalresidentsshould"Preparethesameforeachseasonregardlessoftheactivityplanned
Similarly, meteorologists from the University of Arizona released their own forecasts on Monday. , predicting four hurricanes, including two major hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin for 2018 – one of the lowest forecasts.
Current Forecast of the Seasonal Atlantic #hurricane of 23 contributing agencies (eg, government, university and private sector) sector via https://t.co/rwHBHR5KF6. The average of 23 scenarios predicts 6 hurricanes – a season close to the average. pic.twitter.com/YLubJk5SgK
– Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) July 2, 2018
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted a "chance of 75% According to May forecasts, the hurricane season in Atlantic 2018 will be near or above normal.
NOAA forecasters have only predicted a hurricane season of 25% lower probability than normal, from June 1 to November 30. On average, the Atlantic sees six hurricanes, including three major storms, in one season
The revised Atlantic hurricane season forecasts are a good news for Caribbean and coastal residents, especially since the incredibly active hurricane season of 2017
The Atlantic hurricane season of 2017 has been marked by the strongest storms ever recorded, including hurricanes Irma and my ria
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