The American House at the fingertips of the Democrats, the Senate at your fingertips

(Reuters) – After two years without any political power in Washington, the Democratic Party is likely to take control of the US House of Representatives in next week's election, with Republicans likely to the Senate.

If Democrats were in the majority even in one of the chambers in the elections of November 6, they would have the opportunity to oppose more effectively the program of Republican President Donald Trump and to possibly initiate investigations on its administration.

The Republicans hold a 23-seat majority in the House of Representatives out of 435, far more than the majority of the two-seat Senate in 100 seats, but are more vulnerable to the lower house where they defend 41 seats without an outgoing president. the most since 1930.

In the Senate, which gives more voice to rural voters who make up an important part of the Republican base, the Democrats defend 10 seats in the states won by Trump in 2016, some with huge margins. This favors Republicans.

According to data from the University of Florida, several states have experienced exceptionally high early voting rates.

What are the parts centered on?

Democrats have focused their closing message on the defense of the Affordable Care Act of 2010, known as Obamacare, and on the protection of insurance coverage offered to people with pre-existing illnesses .

Republicans have contradicted the recent confirmation by the Senate of Brett Kavanaugh, Trump's second candidate for a life seat on the Supreme Court, which has consolidated a conservative majority of 5 to 4. Trump also drew attention to immigration issues, including a caravan of Central American migrants from Mexico to the US border.

"They (the Democrats) have misinterpreted the electorate in many areas, especially with regard to the Senate," said Marc Lotter, former high-ranking associate of Vice President Mike Pence. "You've seen a big change to the Republicans in many states that the president has worn."

WHY DO REPUBLICANS HAVE A SENATE EDGE?

The Democrats, who controlled the Senate for the last time in 2014, are spending hundreds of millions of dollars trying to protect five critical seats where incumbents are particularly vulnerable this year. Losing only one seat in West Virginia, Indiana, North Dakota, Montana and Missouri – all won by Trump in 2016 – would risk losing any advantage to a Senate victory .

Opinion polls reveal races on the rise in Indiana and Missouri. In Montana, where Trump has accumulated 20 percentage points, outgoing Democratic Senator Jon Tester is leading recent polls by more than 4 points. In West Virginia, where Trump has accumulated more than 40 percentage points, Democratic Senator Joe Manchin has led up to 16 points in a recent poll.

But in North Dakota, Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp is far behind the representative of US Republican Representative Kevin Cramer in recent polls.

Republicans have asked some Democrats to call for the abolition of the Immigration and Customs Control Agency, better known as the ICE, and the angry mob protesters invading Capitol Hill to oppose Kavanaugh's appointment to Supreme Court, charged with several decades of sexual assault

While striving to contain all states won by Trump, Democrats are also focusing on Florida, Arizona and Nevada, which, according to strategists, would constitute a decisive system for the party.

HOW MUCH MONEY WAS STATED?

Fundraising is a measure of the intensity of interest for this campaign season. This year's congressional campaigns were about to break fundraising records for the mid-term elections, when Congress, but not the White House, is at stake, according to Reuters analysis of the revelations about the financing of the campaign.

The Democrats collectively raised funds for the Republicans. Democratic senators collected at least $ 551 million, while Republicans raised at least $ 368 million. Candidates in the Democratic House raised at least $ 680 million, while Republicans raised at least $ 540 million.

The total fundraising in each room exceeded what was collected at the same time of the 2010 campaign cycle.

WHAT PART HAS THE ADVANTAGE IN HOME COURSES?

In the House, Democrats hope to overcome a disadvantage embedded in gerrymander cards and capture seats designed to elect Republicans. A lot of the seats at stake are in suburbs or urban areas lost by Trump in 2016.

Internal Democratic polls show that cuts in health care and Republican taxes, seen by some voters as a gift for wealthy Americans and big business, are winning questions for Democrats in November. Health care has proven to be a particularly powerful problem in the House, which has voted several times to repeal Obamacare in the last eight years.

Republicans have not abandoned their goal of reducing taxes and pursuing economic recovery.

Doug Thornell, a former spokesman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, said that in tight meetings in the Senate and House, Republicans who had attempted to rally Trump's supporters base in the first half of the year, said they were in trouble. associating with the President paid the prize to independent voters.

"(Republicans) really do not have much choice. They have to kiss it, otherwise they suffer the consequences, "Thornell said. "When they embrace it, it eliminates a whole group of voters they need to win."

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