The chances for the system heading to the Gulf of Mexico to become a tropical depression



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A meteorological system observed by meteorologists in the Caribbean is now very likely to become a tropical depression, the National Hurricane Center announced Friday (October 5th). The system is moving north into the Gulf of Mexico.

The system is currently located near the northeastern coast of Honduras, producing "a disorganized shower and storm activity" in Central America and Hispaniola.

Forecasters now give it a 70% chance of moving to a tropical depression in the next five days, probably towards the end of the week or early next week. The system has a 40% chance of development within two days.

Although the system is likely to travel to the Gulf of Mexico, it is too early to say where it will go or whether it will get stronger again, forecasters say. Currently, meteorologist Steve Caparotta of the WAFB Baton Rouge reports that large models show that the storm is heading towards the panhandle of Florida. Wind shear may also mean that the west side of the storm – the closest side of southern Louisiana – would be relatively dry.

Josh Eachus, meteorologist at WBRZ in Baton Rouge, wrote that much of what will happen will depend on the timing of a cold front coming from the northwest and how it interacts with the system. tropical.

Anyway, meteorologists say the people of Louisiana should be careful.

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