The economy is a buzz, but Trump is tweeting. Republicans are worried.

A party official said the legislators had spent $ 1.2 million for the campaign committee of the House after the call.

Among the Democrats, optimism has increased since Labor Day. Mr. Trump gave them fodder via provocations on Twitter, and reports of deep internal divisions in his administration added to the impression of a chaotic presidency – diverting the news cycle.

Party leaders have followed their polls in several public polls: at a meeting of congressional Democratic leaders on Wednesday night, an associate of Ms. Pelosi reviewed a list of five polls that revealed that Democratic voters by double-digit margins.

Representatives of the major "super pac" Democratic House, the Majority Fund, said the August polls showed that 17 Republicans were lagging behind and six tied – almost enough to take over the majority without even considering the numbers. free seats. defends. Strikingly, when the group polled this month some of the same districts where the Republicans had triggered a flood of negative ads, they found that the Democratic candidates had just slipped a little and that the races were still in the margin of error.

In the Senate, Democrats have been very optimistic and have found the way to a majority of right-wing states and conservative states. At this point in the cycle, some party members had feared that several incumbents would be heading towards a certain defeat, and once-inviting redemption opportunities would have disappeared from the map, notably in Tennessee and Texas. But these two states remain competitive and a group of Senate Democrats, like Sherrod Brown from Ohio, seem safe.

"Despite the difficulty of the geography of the map, if there is a big wave, I think our chances are very, very good," said Sen. Chuck Schumer, the Democratic leader in an interview, adding that it rarely changes much in November. "

And the main reason why Democrats perceive a wave is obvious to veterans.

"He does not allow himself to get credits for the economy," said James Carville, the Democratic strategist, referring to President Trump. Mr. Carville, who shaped Bill Clinton's 1992 mantra "It's the economy, stupid," continued, "It's bigger than the economy. Each conversation begins and ends with Trump. "