The Khashoggi case simply does not want to disappear for Trump and his Saudi allies


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The timing of the two actions was certainly not a coincidence. It seems that both parties hoped that their answers would protect the crown prince from growing accusations of involvement.

But what a difference a day makes. Last Friday, the CIA concluded that the Crown Prince had personally ordered the journalist's assassination at the Saudi consulate in Istanbul last month, a senior US official and a source close to the case told CNN.

US State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert, however, said the government had not yet made any definitive conclusions about the officials, adding that there remained "many questions left without reply".

Nevertheless, the explosive evaluation of the CIA makes it more difficult to deny Bin Salman's repeated rebuttals that bin Salman was linked to Khashoggi's death. If this is true, this development could be a blow to Trump's privileged relationship with the Saudi royals.

Saudi Arabia has so much recounted how journalist Jamal Khashoggi was killed that it is hard to believe that he will now tell the whole truth.
Riyad first claimed to know nothing about Khashoggi's disappearance, but weeks later, the Saudi public prosecutor finally admitted that his murder had been premeditated. Saudi prosecutors presented Thursday another version of the events, claiming that Khashoggi had been killed by a lethal dose of a sedative during an unsuccessful abduction attempt.

Despite reports of CIA discoveries, Trump is keen on his friends in the Middle East.

Jamal Khashoggi was killed during his visit to the Saudi consulate in Istanbul.

Before being informed by the CIA on Saturday, Trump reaffirmed his conviction of the Crown Prince's innocence, saying that he "had been told that he was not playing a role "and that the country had been" a truly spectacular ally ".

"They give us a lot of jobs, they bring us a lot of business and economic development," he said Saturday.

The CIA's assessment, reported for the first time by the Washington Post, is based on a record provided by the Turkish government and other evidence, including US intelligence, said the official. American.

Among this information, there is a phone call from the Crown Prince's brothers Khalid bin Salman and Khashoggi, in which Kalid encourages the journalist to go to the consulate, according to the Post Office. Sources told the Post that Khalid had called his brother 's order.

Khalid denies the post office report, say on Twitter he never spoke to Khashoggi by telephone and "never suggested to him to go to Turkey for any reason".

A spokeswoman for the Saudi Embassy said in a statement that these claims were false. "We have and continue to hear various theories without seeing the main basis of these speculations."

Trump is not alone

Trump is not the only one to find a crown prince guilty of a geopolitical problem.

Shortly after Khashoggi's death, several world leaders called for an independent investigation. These calls have been whispering in recent weeks and few countries, other than Canada, are still talking about sanctions.

Saudi prosecutor calls for death sentence for Khashoggi murder, journalist killed by sedative overdose

Ayham Kamel, head of the Eurasia Group's Middle East practice, said that it was largely because few leaders want to see a failed Saudi Arabia.

"None of the major Western countries having relations with Saudi Arabia, the United States and their allies, wants to destabilize the kingdom or create the situation of an open power struggle," Kamel told CNN .

"There are too many hot spots in the Middle East and leaders do not want to add Saudi Arabia to the list.Open power struggles are hard to predict and control."

A challenge to bin Salman's authority would be particularly complicated.

At the age of 33, he exerts extraordinary power that the kingdom has never seen in princes. He oversees almost all the country's major agencies occupying the economy, security and intelligence.

The United States punishes 17 Saudis for the murder of Khashoggi

To put his dominance in perspective, it is the crown prince who was tasked to shake the country's intelligence apparatus in response to Khashoggi's death.

Bin Salman consolidated his position by intimidating his main rivals during a spectacular power show. The Crown Prince has held for months at the Ritz Carlton Riyadh hundreds of senior government officials, advisers and businessmen, turning the hotel into a gilded prison, in part of a hidden "anti-corruption" campaign.

He also has enemies in his own family. Bin Salman has ignored dozens of other princes who would normally precede him as heir to the throne, and any involvement of the Crown Prince's involvement in the Khashoggi affair could be a sufficient opportunity. for his rivals to reappear.

"Once the dust settles on Khashoggi's murder, the pressure on the crown prince to share power with the rest of the family will remain, if not increase," Stratfor, the geopolitical intelligence firm, wrote in a recent article. .

The Saudis under the American wing

Trump was reluctant to impose sanctions on Saudi Arabia, but he was forced to endure congressional pressure and he is less likely to want to target the Crown Prince even though if it means going against its own intelligence agencies.

Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kushner, has built a warm relationship with bin Salman and played a pivotal role in shaping Saudi Arabian politics in the United States, largely focused on the Crown Prince and his vision of modernization. 39 economy of the kingdom.

In a conversation with Saudi King Salman two weeks after Khashoggi's death, Trump seemed not only to understand the monarch's version that he and the crown prince did not know anything about the murder, he even explained to them the first story of the Saudis. , telling reporters that Khashoggi had been murdered by "dishonest killers" who were completely stranded from the king and his son.
This was the first sign in case Trump would join – or even coordinate with – the King and Crown Prince. He also pointed out that a journalist's life was not worth risking in lucrative commercial or armaments contracts (although he exaggerated the value of these contracts for the United States).

It is under the protective wing of the Trump administration that the Saudis have been able to conduct an aggressive foreign policy and act with impunity, according to Stratfor.

"For Riyadh, the calculation that he can afford to temporarily disrupt relations with friends, but only to restore them later, is reasonable," Stratfor wrote.

"Saudi Arabia's growing claim is partly motivated by the political coverage it derives from its privileged relations with the current US government." The White House relies heavily on 39 Saudi Arabia to contain its mutual opponent, Iran, Washington is also seeking Saudi cooperation temper the price of oil.

Saudi Arabia projects this insurance around the region, whether in a consulate in Turkey, in the world of Lebanese politics or in a brutal war in Yemen.

Even Canada has felt the wrath of the Crown Prince's overbreadth. When officials in Ottawa demanded the release of imprisoned activists, Riyadh froze new trade and investment agreements, suspended flights to Canada, expelled the Canadian ambassador to Saudi Arabia, while recalling his, and even moved Saudi students studying.

Possible motives for Turkey

The greatest pressure on Saudi Arabia, however, comes from Turkey, which claims that Khashoggi was strangled to death upon his arrival at the consulate and that his body was subsequently dismembered into a premeditated murder.

Turkish officials have published information on Khashoggi's death, drip, trying to arouse the world's interest and keep Riyadh at the center of his concerns.

Turkey gives records of Khashoggi's death to Saudis, United States and Britain - Erdogan
Turkey said for more than a month that she had audio evidence of how Khashoggi had been killed and, more recently, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said that his country had shared this evidence with several Western allies.

It is this flow of information that has forced the Saudi authorities to continually change their history and which seems to have prompted them to admit that the killing of Khashoggi was premeditated.

But Turkey, which is also suffering a brutal crackdown on journalists, will likely have other motivations to pursue Saudi Arabia so aggressively, Kamel said of Eurasia.

"This is used for geopolitical competition between the Sunni powers in the region, Ankara and Riyadh are long-standing competitors in the Middle East, and Turkey is using this business to expand regional power while at the same time ensuring control over the region. Saudi Arabia, "said Kamel.

"The agenda that Mohammed bin Salman presented on foreign policy is more focused on the Arab, not only under Iranian influence but also under Turkish influence." Saudi Arabia as leader of the Arab world does not necessarily correspond to Turkey's strategic interests.

In the meantime, Khashoggi's family still hopes to find out where their parent's body – or his body – is. The absence of Khashoggi 's body at a burial in an Istanbul mosque on Friday was a bleak reminder that the whole truth had still not been revealed and that she could never be seen again. ;be.

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