The Oscars in the Atlantic, but the weather in late October probably means it's not a problem for the United States.

The subtropical storm Oscar has formed in the central Atlantic Ocean, but it should stay away from the land.

The wind shear should relax on Saturday, which should allow Oscar to intensify gradually over the next few days as he winds his way east from Bermuda.

The sea surface temperatures in the central Atlantic region where the system is located are rather cold for tropical development – in the upper part of the 70s. A water temperature of 80 degrees or more is usually necessary for the formation of a tropical depression or a storm.

Part of the energy on which Oscar sustains comes from a higher level low pressure system, but this system should be in a more favorable position for Oscar to be a tropical system. from here the end of the weekend.

(PLUS: What is the difference between tropical and subtropical storms?))

It is expected that this system will turn west or southwest towards the north and northeast of the Lesser Antilles during the weekend. This path will go through slightly warmer waters – about 80 to 82 degrees – which will also facilitate this transition to a tropical system.

With a cold front pushing the east coast of the United States next week, it is highly unlikely that the system will ever endanger the United States, as the front propels it safely.

However, interests in Bermuda should monitor the latest forecast for Oscar, even though most computer-based forecasting models maintain the system well east of the island. Oscar could improve Surf Surf early next week as the system makes its way to Bermuda.

A mid-Atlantic hurricane season presents a new named storm before the end of the season, November 30, according to the NHC.