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If a vote of censure overthrows the Prime Minister, the candidates who do not fail to calmly organize their candidacy are the following ones:
Dominic Raab
The former secretary of Brexit jumped on pole to become the first choice of many Eurosceptics. Raab's credibility may be greater than that of his predecessor, David Davis, because he had a more active relationship with Brussels, fought to the end, and resigned when he thought he was dismissed.
He has not supported any leadership challenge with May and, like many of his rivals, is almost certainly convinced that there is no personal benefit to doing it. He has the skills as the "true believer" of Brexit, but he is also seen as belonging to the new generation of Conservative MPs who have less baggage than some Cabinet veterans.
Boris Johnson
His name is never far from the lips of people who speak of May's successor, but, apart from his immediate condemnation of the agreement the day of its publication, Johnson kept his head down while the momentum tended to plots against May.
Officially, his allies remain convinced that it is politics and not the prime minister that needs to be changed. However, it is certain to stand in there's a contest and he has a dedicated audience. However, if he succeeded, this could cause schism within the party, a handful of pro-European MPs suggested that they would find it so unpleasant that they would leave the party when it was over. l & # 39; prevailed.
Michael Gove
Among the MPs, Gove has a dedicated supporter base that overlaps the division, including members such as Nicky Morgan and Brexiter converts such as Nick Boles. His decision to stay in the office is a calculation likely to be illuminated by his betrayal of Johnson in the last race for the leadership of the party, for which his reputation has suffered.
Many allies and collaborators would have advised him to resign from the government, but he decided to stay in the tent and lobby for change from the inside. His chances depend a great deal on whether he is punished for his loyalty or rewarded by intermediate conservatives who recognize that he has attempted to bring the transaction to a successful conclusion.
Amber Rudd
Back from a remarkably short stay in the wild after his disastrous response to the Windrush scandal, Rudd is the favorite of Brexiter's conservative leftovers and conservatives in the right-wing central wing of the party.
She is most likely to be the "stop Boris" candidate and this could very well play in her favor. However, she has several goals, as an easy target for the Labor Party's attacks since arriving at the Home Office and the small business of her Hastings constituency, where her majority is very small.
Jeremy Hunt
Hunt is clearly ambitious and could become a safe choice for Conservative MPs as an experienced minister. He has stood by but has become a straight talk Brexiter who makes several tough interventions in the Cabinet – who are then widely informed.
Hunt had a remarkable ability to survive damaging scandals, especially when he was Health Secretary where he resisted several NHS winter crises and strikes of junior doctors. He may be able to walk the tightrope between the leavers and the remaining players to win a contest, but it is unlikely that he attracts a lot of followers.
Sajid Javid
Javid is another ambitious minister who wanted to pass on his conversion to Brexit. Protected by George Osborne, he would have been instinctively Eurosceptic, but decided to stay only to stay in first place to please the Chancellor of the time.
However, Javid and Hunt are not members of Andrea Leadsom's "breakfast club" of five cabinet ministers who have formed a group to try to persuade the prime minister to change course on the withdrawal agreement – suggesting that they are not yet trusted in true believers.
Penny Mordaunt
The international development secretary is probably the cabinet minister who almost quit but took a step back. It's an ambitious Brexiter whose name has been mentioned by Jacob Rees-Mogg as one of his favorite candidates.
One of his tactics was to try to persuade May to allow Conservative MPs to vote freely on the final deal, a proposal that puzzled No. 10, but that Mordaunt can hope to be able to convince backbench curators to show that she is fighting.
