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I am currently in the worst period of my life. The Six Pack went 0-5-1 last week after 1-5 the previous week. I've never finished a season with a lost record as long as I made choices at CBSSports.com, and I'm currently sitting at 24-29-1 on the season.
The way I figure, it means one of two things. Either I do not really know what I'm doing, or I'll be lucky soon. For my sanity, I will pretend that it is the last while living in fear, it is the first. Whatever it is, if you choose to do the opposite of every choice I make here, I am completely partisan, provided it works for you. As long as I earn money for someone, it is good.
So, are you going to #TrustTheProcess or #FadeTheProcess? The decision is yours, and absolves me of all responsibility! Hooray, I already win again!
Games of the week
Alabama # 1 at LSU # 3 (Under 54)Former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson once said "everyone has a plan until he gets hit in the mouth". At this point in the 2018 season, no one has even been able to pinpoint Alabama, let alone punch in the mouth. Is this the week that's going on? I do not know, but on defense, LSU is able to make life difficult for the tide. There are not many secondary players in the country who are as good at limiting explosive games. Alabama's foul has survived the passing game this season. With Greedy Williams and Kristian Fulton at the corner, LSU has two guys he can trust to line up against big Alabama play receivers. The Tigers also have Grant Delpit and John Battle at the back for help.
Theoretically, this will allow LSU to use its top seven positions to find ways to put pressure on Tua Tagovailoa. The problem is that I do not trust enough LSU's offense to take the Tigers and points. I do not know if you have heard of it, but the defense of Alabama is very good too. Even though LSU is slowing down Alabama enough to force Tagovailoa to take pictures in the fourth quarter, I do not know if LSU can score enough to keep pace. more than 60 minutes. So, instead, I will trust both defenses to keep things reasonable. I mean, the sub is not really a new phenomenon in this series. The submarine has played in the last four meetings between these two and the last five at Baton Rouge. In fact, during Alabama's seven-game winning streak on LSU, these two players scored an average of 33.9 points per game. Alabama 27, LSU 14
No. 6 Georgia (-8.5) at No. 9 KentuckyGeorgia and Kentucky are playing with SEC East on the line, as we all expected in August. Honestly, I do not know how Kentucky continues to do what it does, but never mind if these cunning Wildcats can not find ways to keep winning.
And that's why I can not bet on it. I know Kentucky is at home and his defense is excellent, but he can not score. Scoring is a vital part of winning football games in 2018, and I do not think a Kentucky attack will do much against this Georgia team. Georgia has one of the country's most effective offenses and, even if Kentucky slows it down, it will not be able to stop it completely. Georgia 28, Kentucky 14
Lock of the week
Air Force at Army (Under 44): This is an automatic game for me whenever this happens. As I wrote in this same column a few weeks ago, you want to bet that two service academies are fighting over each other. Why? Well, because the basement has gone 24-6-1 in games between the Army, the Air Force and the Navy since the 2008 season. I've been lucky enough to get this line at 49.5 shortly after its first release, but it was set at 44, and it should drop further before Saturday's kick. Then enter as quickly as possible. Army 24, Air Force 17
Underdog of the week
Florida Atlantic (+3.5) at Florida International: From time to time, you will see a line that is defined according to the perception of the teams involved rather than the ability of each team. It's one of those times. Casual bettors will see that the FIU is 6-2 and the FAU is 3 to 5 years old and thinks that the FIU is only favored by 3.5 points, which is easy money. Well, the disc does not tell the whole story. According to Sagarin ratings, the CRF ranked 143rd in the country (Sagarin rankings include FCS teams) and 122nd ranked according to S & P +. FAU, however, played the country's 60th most difficult program according to Sagarin and the 42nd according to S & P +. It's not because their records are different that the talent level of these teams is different. In fact, I am inclined that FAU is favored in this case, and I also take them to win. Florida Atlantic 34, Florida International 31
Revenge Game of the Week
UCLA (+10.5) in Oregon: Chip Kelly returns to Autzen Stadium to face his former team. No, he is not looking for revenge, but I needed something to call that choice and the game of revenge of the week looked good. Whatever it is, I just think this gap is a bit too big. After winning a win against Washington three weeks ago, the Ducks have lost their last two games, and they look worse than the week before at every show. UCLA, meanwhile, has not been great, but it's not as bad as his case suggests. I mentioned the difference in strength between FU and FIU in the last choice schedule, and UCLA's SOS ranks third in Sagarin and the first at S & P +. The Bruins have had a tough run, and I think this game will be important to Kelly for all the obvious reasons, and the Bruins will play well. Oregon 35, UCLA 27
The other under the week
Duc in Miami (Under 51): There has been little or no consistency in the Miami crime in recent weeks. The Canes went from Malik Rosier to N & # 039; Kosi Perry and back to Rosier, but none of these changes allowed Miami's attack to be better than average. Miami has scored 27 points in its last two games, but aside from the first quarter of last week 's loss to Boston College, the defense has continued to be strong. As for Duke, the Blue Devils lost their defeats to Miami four times in a row and averaged 16 points per game in those losses. Miami has one of the most disturbing defenses in the country and Duke has struggled to resist the pressure this season. It sounds like a bad match for them and I do not expect both teams to score a lot of points. Miami 27, Duke 17
SportsLine Bonus Choice of the Week
No. 4 Our Lady in the Northwest: Notre Dame is looking to maintain its hopes in the playoffs on college football against Northwestern. The Irish are the favorites of 9.5 points with a total of 53.5. I have a strong game on the spread at this game, and you can read my explanation for pickup at SportsLine.
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Game (s) of the week |
0-1-1 |
8-10-1 |
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Lock of the week |
0-1 |
4-5 |
|
Global |
0-5-1 |
24-29-1 |
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