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Since the beginning of the off-season, the reports around the Mariners send a fairly consistent message: the Mariners are sellers. Until something really happens, we could not be completely sure. Even those who are hooked sometimes hear the wrong message. James Paxton deal, however, really feels like the beginning. A leading pitcher with two years of team control left was traded for three hopes. The logical thought process here is a reconstruction.
Enough about …
The sailors already traded Receiver Mike Zunino to the Rays is therefore the second deal to be made and, as Mr. Olney suggests in his report above, we are probably in the "it's over" part of the M's off season now . Who else could go?
Seeing the departure of star player Mitch Haniger probably hurt the feelings of Mariners fans, but this happens during a rebuild. Haniger is heading to his 28-year season and is under control of the team until 2022. He still has a year of pre-refereeing. After beating .285 / .366 / .493 (139 OPS +) with 38 doubles, four triples, 26 homers, 93 RBIs, 90 steals, 90 points and 6.1 WAR points last season, he would win a big bunch of prospects for the Mariners.
Same thing with the AL reliever Edwin Diaz. He will be only 25 years old next year and he will also be under the control of the team until 2022, when he will only have one pre-arbitrary year left. He has just earned an average of 1.96, 0.79 and 124 free-kicks in 73 1/3. Like Haniger, he would bring back a lot. Mariners general manager Jerry Dipoto commented on the potential of Diaz's negotiation, saying the organization should be "completely blown away" by what it gets in return.
But Haniger and Diaz should probably be the subject of a massive sale because they will pay the most. These are certainly not the only sailors that could be moving this winter.
Next step: Jean Segura. He will turn 29 next year, play a quality defense against the short stoppage and beat .308 / .353 / .449 in the last three combined seasons, averaging 29 steals for 162 games. He stays four years and he stays close to $ 55 million on his contract with a $ 17 million club option for 2023. That would be one of those "eat money" situations they want good prospects in return, but probably not a lot of money.
They could not get rid of Robinson Cano (five years and 120 million left) without eating a ton of money, but they may do it. The situation is similar with Kyle Seager (he remains three years and 57.5 million USD in his 31-year season, in sharp decline). I can not imagine that anyone else wants to pay much of the $ 27.858 billion that Felix Hernandez has to pay in 2019.
Dee Gordon hit only 0.28 / 0.28 / 0.349 (79 OPS +) last year and is expected to bring in more than $ 27 million over the next two seasons. Mike Leake has to pay $ 31 million over the next two seasons, but the cardinals have already paid $ 9 million, so maybe sailors will use some of that money and get something back.
Maybe they could get something of value for Marco Gonzales? He was 13-9 with an ERA 4.00 (102 ERA +) in 166 2/3 innings last year. He is under the control of the team until 2023 and does not participate in arbitration until 2021.
If it's really a large-scale reconstruction, expect to hear rumors about just about all the players mentioned above and maybe more. The franchise that has had the longest drought in the playoffs in baseball has been stuck in the mud for too long to not do anything radical.
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