The winter storm has changed, see how much snow you get

The winter storm watch issued yesterday has been finalized. Now, much of the lower Michigan is subject to a winter weather advisory.

The more ominous progression from winter surveillance to the winter storm warning did not occur with the imminent snowstorm Sunday night and Monday morning. Always expect solid, wet snow in much of Lower Michigan. The National Weather Service estimates that snow totals will fall just below the warning criteria in the event of a winter storm.

The map above shows where winter weather warnings are in effect for Lower Michigan.

Winter weather warnings usually begin around 7 pm this evening and continue towards 13 hours. On Monday. This period gives you a good idea of ​​the most dangerous moments.

The winter weather advisory includes Kalamazoo, Grand Rapids, Muskegon, Lansing, Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, Midland and The Thumb. The notice also includes Ludington, Manistee, Cadillac, Mount Pleasant, Clare, Houghton Lake and Tawas City.

The winter weather warning is about a solid, wet snow.

Just above is the total snow forecast for this storm. The quantities are produced by real human meteorologists at the offices of the National Meteorological Service. Human prediction is based on a compromise between our two most reliable computer models.

First big winter storm for Lower Michigan, but for which regions?

I would call it a solid snow of four to six inches for a broad band running from the southwest of Lower to Northeast of Lower and Saginaw Bay. In the heaviest snow band, there is a low total snow chance of seven inches, and a very small chance of an isolated amount of eight inches. The heaviest snow axis expected, starting at 6:00 am today, runs from Grand Rapids to Saginaw and Bay City.

Due to the warm air for the first half of the storm, the extreme south of the lower limit will only have one to three inches of total snow. I would lean towards the lower end of this range for Detroit and Ann Arbor.

Jackson is sandwiched between heavy snow and light snow. Jackson will probably have two to four inches of snow.

Watch for updates that may still include a slight shift south or north. I do not expect big surprises on the course of the storm and the potential for snowfall. The only uncertainty is the amount of melted snow melting at temperatures of 32 to 34 degrees. If the snow is melting, the amounts of snow can be reversed by an inch or two.