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Mercedes has won the last three grand prizes, but his speed in Singapore and Russia has left rival Ferrari title on the back foot.
Hamilton said that the way Mercedes revised Ferrari in terms of speed was a surprise, but he did not think the explanation came from new parts of the car.
"We did not expect to be as fast as in the last race," said the world championship leader. "I think our car has worked very well, but it's hard to know how far we've improved, whether they've stayed still or whether they've pulled back. We have no idea.
"Perhaps we will have a better understanding when we come here. He should be pretty close to here.
However, Hamilton is convinced that most of the progress at Mercedes comes from the fact that the team has fully exploited the full potential of its car.
"We had an upgrade to Spa, then a small upgrade to Monza, and a small upgrade in the last race. So these are not big steps, they are small pieces, "he said.
"But our understanding of the car continues and we understand the most important steps. All around the car feels good.
"The engine performance improves, the efficiency increases and the stability of the car improves. It's a good point of the year because the car is the best of the year
"I'm really looking forward to this track because it will be the fastest we have driven here in Suzuka. This first sector is going to be crazy. "
Hamilton says the race for form that helped him win five wins in the last six races made him dream.
"I could not have hoped for better performances," he said. "When I look back, there were real dream experiences for me, races that I dreamed of having and performing at these levels.
"That's why I live. You do not always have the chance to know your target. I am just grateful for the races I have had and the number of times they have failed. "
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