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Week 10 is by far the biggest of the 2018 college football season, and I'm not sure it's close. Each conference features key games, from Georgia Southern-ULM to Sun Belt (both teams head their divisions) to WVU-Texas at the Big 12 via the SEC's two flagship games (Alabama-LSU and Georgia-Kentucky). While MACtion has already started the show, the action really resumes Thursday with Temple-UCF.
The are two headers, however. The top 10 vs. 10 games are being played this week in the SEC, where East and West will have top contenders for the national title by Sunday morning.
Georgia-Kentucky will be the scene of a brilliant atmosphere in Lexington and a top-10 offensive (UGA, by S & P +) against a top-5 defense (Kentucky).
But the biggest confrontation is at Baton Rouge. LSU-Bama has done more to define the title race than any other rivalry of this decade, and this year, two teams rank among the top three in the initial PCP rankings.
More importantly, he will answer many questions about the offense in Alabama. Admittedly, Bama's attack is brilliant – the best outside of Oklahoma – and Tua Tagovailoa is one of Heisman's favorites in November. Even with a lingering injury and a slight drop in October, his stats are unlike anything we've ever seen. But although the arguments "do not play anyone !!" be boring, LSU's defense is beyond doubt.
The Tigers are eighth in Def. S & P +. They rank well 21st in Rushing S & P + and 16th in Standard Downs S & P + and brilliant third in Passing and Passing Downs S & P +. They are doing well in basic situations, but coordinator Dave Aranda has dialed exotic calls of third descent as well as anyone.
Nobody Tagovailoa made mistakes this year (his current TD / INT ratio is 25: 0, an infinity). November), and if it flames this defense, just call the Heisman race. Against this defense, in this environment (Valley of Death at night), he will certainly face much more adversity than this season, but how much? And an extremely ineffective LSU offense can it be enough to keep the Tigers nearby I'm anxious to find out.
The university football season has officially started, all of you.
Below you will find FBS choices and projections using the S & P + projections, which are listed in their entirety for the 130 FBS teams.
See the bottom of the article for more details on this subject.
The gap (shown in parentheses) is indicated next to the S & P + choice for each match. The bold team is projected to beat the gap. (In most books, there is no mailing list for FCS games.) When S & P + predicts a tie or an impulse (a tie with Vegas, by and large), I list the choice on the side that S & P + would choose if the teams could score in decimals..
This document divides the games (and the performances of the season of S & P + so far) in their decimal glory. This year, I included and also monitors the total selections (plus / minus).
- No. 12 UCF 31, Temple (+11) 21 (Nov 01, 7:30 pm ET, ESPN)
- No. 25 Virginia (-7) 33, Pittsburgh 24 (November 02, 7:30 pm ET, ESPN2)
- Arizona 28, Colorado (+3) 28 (Nov 02, 10:30 pm ET, FS1)
- Buffalo 29, Miami (Ohio) (+7) 22 (Real projected score: Buffalo 28.9, Miami 22.0) – Buffalo won by 9
- State of Kent (+1.5) 36, Bowling Green 35 – The Kent State won by 7
- Middle Tennessee 32, Western Kentucky (+13.5) 21 (Nov 02, 8 pm ET, CBSSN)
- Northern Illinois (-6) 22, Akron 16 (Nov 01, 7 pm EST, CBSSN) (Real projected score: NIU 22.24, Akron 16.18)
- Ohio 37, West Michigan (+2.5) 37 (Nov 01 7 pm ET, ESPNU)
- Toledo 41, State of the ball (+19) 25 – Toledo won by 32
Colorado was one of the last unbeaten FBS teams, but has now lost three times in a row following Saturday's bizarre (and statistically unlikely) collapse against the state of Oregon. The Buffalos are now projected as underdogs in every remaining match; Bowl eligibility is not a given.
- No. 1 Alabama 34, LSU No. 3 (+14.5) 23 (Nov 03, 8 pm ET, CBS)
- No. 6 Georgia 29, No. 9 Kentucky (+9) 20 (November 03, 3:30 pm ET, CBS) (actual projected score: 28.8 UGA, 19.9 UK)
- No. 5 Michigan 30, No. 14 Penn State (+10.5) 21 (November 03, 3:45 pm ET, ESPN)
- No. 13 West Virginia (+2) 33, # 17 Texas 29 (Nov 03 at 3:30 pm ET, Fox)
Kentucky has not allowed more than 20 points in a game of the season, but LSU is the only team to keep Georgia under control. 35. Except for some questionable criticisms of the goal line, the Dawgs attack was excellent against Florida, especially in the air. It is a type of confrontation of the type "irresistible force vs. immutable object".
- No. 2 Clemson 45, Louisville (+39) 11 (Nov. 03, 12:00 pm ET, ABC)
- No. 4 Our Lady (-9.5) 30, Northwest 17 (November 3 at 7:15 pm ET, ESPN)
- No 7 Oklahoma 42, Texas Tech (+13.5) 30 (Nov. 03, 8 pm ET, ABC)
- No. 8 Washington State 32, California (+10) 22 (Nov 03, 10:45 pm ET, ESPN) (current projected score: Wazzu 31.7, Cal 22.3)
- No. 10 Ohio State 39, Nebraska (+17.5) 24 (Nov 03, 12 noon ET, Fox)
- # 11 Florida 32, Missouri (+6) 27 (November 03, 4 pm ET, SECN)
- No. 15 Utah (-7) 33, Arizona State 24 (November 03, 4 pm ET, Pac-12)
- Purdue 27, No. 16 Iowa (+3) 26 (03 Nov 15h30 ET, ESPN2)
- No. 18 State of Mississippi 34, Louisiana Tech (+23.5) 17 (November 03, 7:30 pm ET, SECN)
- No. 19 Syracuse 34, Wake Forest (+6) 29 (Nov 03, 12 noon ET, ACCN)
- Auburn (-4) 27, No. 20 Texas A & M 21 (Nov. 03, 12 pm ET, ESPN)
- N ° 21 NC State 30, State of Florida (+9) 22 (Nov. 03, 3:30 pm ET, ABC)
- # 22 Boston College 30, Virginia Tech (+2.5) 29 (November 03, 3:45 pm ET, ACCN)
- No. 23 Fresno State 43, UNLV (+25) 19 (Nov 03, 10:30 pm ET, CBSSN)
- No. 24 State of Iowa (-14.5) 34, Kansas 19 (Nov 03, 12 noon EST, FSN)
Dexter Williams of Notre Dame was suspended for four games and is again in rhythm for a season of 1,000 yards. Northwestern's defense is excellent for the passes and could cause injury to the Irishman and quarterback Ian Book if he is forced out of the calendar. But Williams makes it very difficult to force the Irish out of the calendar.
- Georgia Tech 34, North Carolina (+6) 30 (November 03, 12:15 pm ET, ACCN)
- Miami 30, Duc (+9.5) 22 (November 03, 7 pm ET, ESPN2)
- Michigan State 24, Maryland (+2.5) 23 (Nov 03, 12 noon, ESPN2)
- Minnesota (-9.5) 35, Illinois 24 (Nov 03 at 3:30 pm, ET, BTN)
- State of Oklahoma (-7.5) 38, Baylor 29 (Nov 03, 12 noon ET, FS1)
- Ole Miss (+1) 36, South Carolina 32 (Nov 03, 12 noon ET, SECN)
- Oregon (-10.5) 36, UCLA 25 (Nov 03, 7:30 pm ET, Fox)
- TCU (-8) 34, Kansas State 21 (Nov. 03 at 3:30 pm ET, FS1)
- USC 40, State of Oregon (+16.5) 25 (Nov. 03, 22h00 ET, FS1)
- Washington (-10) 33, Stanford 20 (November 03, 9 pm ET, Pac-12)
- Wisconsin (-28) 42, Rutgers 13 (Nov 03, 12 noon ET, BTN)
Washington-Stanford, a battle of unclassified teams. Not sure that too many people have seen this come in the preseason.
- State of Appalachia (-14.5) 41, Coastal Carolina 24 (November 03, 5 pm ET, ESPN +)
- State of Arkansas 37, South Alabama (+16) 25 (03 Nov 15h00 ET, ESPN +)
- Army 34, Army of the Air (+7) 27 (Nov 03, 12 noon ET, CBSSN) (Real projected score: Army 33.6, AFA 27.2)
- State of Boise 35, BYU (+13) 22 (Nov 03, 10:15 pm ET, ESPN2) (Real projected score: BSU 34.7, BYU 22.0)
- Cincinnati (-17.5) 38, Marine 20 (November 03, 3:30 pm ET, ESPNU)
- East Michigan (-13.5) 33, Central Michigan 17 (Nov 03, 12 noon ET, ESPN3)
- FAU (+3) 31, CRF 28 (Nov 03 at 7:30 pm ET, stage)
- South Georgia (-7.5) 36, UL-Monroe 26 (Nov 03 at 3 pm ET, ESPN3)
- Georgia State 28, State of Texas (+5.5) 28 (November 03, 2 pm ET, ESPN +)
- Houston 37, SMU (+14) 25 (Nov 03, 7 pm ET, ESPNU)
- Marshall 22, Miss South (+3) 21 (Nov 03, 3 pm ET, Facebook)
- Massachusetts (-2.5) 37, Liberty 33 (November 03, 3:30 pm ET, ELVN)
- Memphis (-13) 36, East Carolina 22 (Nov 03, 12 noon ET, ESPNU)
- State of San Diego 31, New Mexico (+10.5) 21 (Nov 03, 10:15 pm ET, ESPNU)
- Tennessee 35, Charlotte (+21) 22 (November 03, 4 pm ET, SECN +)
- Troy 40, UL-Lafayette (+10.5) 30 (03 Nov 15h30 ET, ESPN +)
- Tulsa 40, UConn (+18) 22 (Nov 03, 7 pm ET, CBSSN) (actual projected score: Tulsa 39.7, UConn 22.2)
- UAB (-22) 35, UTSA 11 (Nov 03, 7:30 pm ET, beIN)
- USF (-7) 36, Tulane 22 (November 03, 3:30 pm ET, CBSSN)
- State of Utah 41, Hawaii (+18) 24 (Nov 03, 11:59 pm ET, Stade)
- UTEP (+1) 27, Rice 25 (November 03, 15:30 ET, ESPN3)
- Wyoming 32, State of San José (+14) 18 (Nov. 03, 2 pm ET, MWC video) (actual projected score: UW 31.7, SJSU 18.2)
While the AAC East race could remain fascinating, Houston could well lock AAC West with a win and a loss against Tulane (as expected). Not bad for three days in November.
- State of New Mexico 24, State of Alcorn 5 (Nov. 03 at 4 pm ET, AggieVision)
The dream of playing bowl back to back for NMSU was dead in October. The Aggies are 2-7.
Every year, I publish weekly S & P + selections to confirm the validity of the ratings. I use my S & P + system in addition to most of my analyzes, and the selections are a way to show that he usually knows what he is talking about.
S & P + tends to hit between 50% (meh) and 54% (excellent) against the gap year by year. He's not always the best performer, but he keeps up.
Beyond the choices, however, it goes further than any other set of academic football scans on the market. You can go into granular details regarding the strengths and weaknesses of a team in a way that does not allow it. (See the annual statistical profiles of the team as proof.)
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