Week 3: More than 90% of experts choose the Bears to defeat the Cardinals



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You have come across (too) bold predictions, a weekly column that looks exactly like this! Here we will take nuanced, well-researched and useable information to make incredibly unlikely predictions. Analysis!

J.J. Stankevitz

1. Leonard Floyd has a breakout game.

A year ago, Floyd had a monster match against Sam Bradford, dropping twice a quarter of the Minnesota Vikings, one of whom had gone for safety. Floyd is doing the same thing Sunday, recording his first two sacks of the season in his first game without playing with a club in his right hand. One reason for this optimism: the Cardinals left the tackle D.J. Humphries gave 10 presses on 70 blocking passes in weeks 1 and 2. This should be a good confrontation for Floyd, and without the club he benefits. We will say that the breakout game has at least two bags and five total pressures.

2. Mitch Trubisky will hit several shots in the ground.

Trubisky missed Monday night Taylor Gabriel and Allen Robinson on throws that could have helped the Seahawks defense off the line of scrimmage. Connecting to these deep blows is essential to freeing up more space for Jordan Howard, especially against a Cardinals defense that managed to stop the race (3.6 yards per race, sixth in the NFL). But the Cardinals' defense was dug into the air, allowing 9.8 yards per attempt (31st). Trubisky will make two shots in the first two strokes of the Bears, which will greatly facilitate Sunday's offensive success.

Cam Ellis

1. Tarik Cohen will take one home.

Cohen has not yet contributed too much to the offense, although you can argue this argument for just about anyone who is not named Allen Robinson. That's less the case for the special teams: after averaging 9.38 yards per return last season, Cohen jumped to 17.17 this year (even though it's still a bit early to take averages seriously). That's one of the reasons why the Bears have the 5th best special team according to S. Out of Football Outsiders. DVOA. In honor of the return of Devin Hester and the Bears to Arizona in 2006, my bet is that Cohen, who joined the NFL All-Pro team last year for kickoff returns, opens the match with a touchdown of more than 50 yards.

2. Kevin White will put his career very high in the catches

After playing 12 times at week 1 (12%), White only played twice (3%) against the Seahawks in the second week. go around. With all eyes on Allen Robinson and Taylor Gabriel, Kevin White – should he play – is going to have a lot of one-on-one meetings. The Whites captured six catches in games against Dallas and Detroit in 2016, and it will resurface at least one game against one of the worst defensive defenses in the league.

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