Week 3 The best NFL bets: the pats will hit the Lions Matt Patricia, more choice of Jason La Canfora



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Well, too bad for this quick start. Week 2 m kicked. Not good. Not good.

One of my theories worked, at least, did away with the huge bills until Vegas caught up. We got two easy wins … and now there is a 17 point gap for the Bills / Vikings (I still love the Vikings, but I do not like it and I will not do it. not a better bet). Regarding the Colts' disappearance, it turns out that the defensive performance of week 1 was not an aberration. And in one way or another, the Texans have found a way to lose, squarely, a team of Titans without plating or quarterback, with a hit counterfeit which is very successful. Shame on me. I have not been great in Houston and I think they have real problems, I did not think it was so serious that they could not overthrow the Titans.

It is therefore time to click on the restart button. That 1-2 was ugly. I will take a break, refocus and let play a little more football. I will not stop playing two games this week and go where I see the most glaring talents and disparities in coaching. Do not become too cute. Do not recommend investing in teams that do not have a winning culture and established strengths.

Lions Patriots -6.5

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Bill Belichick is not going to let the former protégé Matt Patricia or his defense in trouble. Josh McDaniels has just seen how his counterpart Kyle Shanahan – and former Pats QB player Jimmy Garoppolo – is busy defending Lions and his various loopholes. He already knows Patricia and what he is trying to accomplish. Nobody bounces games like Tom Brady, and the mere presence of Josh Gordon as an outside lure can not hurt, given the talent of New England. Lions fans are already shy after seeing their team be embarrassed at home by an AFC Eastern team in prime time of Week 1, and they will be ready to light Matt Stafford and Co. from the start a departure fast Sunday night. I think Belichick is choking Golden Tate and forcing someone to beat his defense. Still not sold on Lions' long absence game. Give me Brady in a dome against an intermediate pass race all week and twice Sunday.

What NFL choices can you confidently make in the third week? And which favorite breaks down? Visit SportsLine now to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50% of the simulations, all from the model that has beaten 98% of the experts in the last two years.

Jaguars -6.5 against Titans

Notice a trend here? Yeah, could be a disappointing game for the Jags after defeating the Pats last week. I totally understand that … but it would be a helluva disappointment to lose this one at home. Little does it matter if Blaine Gabbert or Marcus Mariota are in the center, difficult to see Tennessee take two straight in a row against the opponents of the AFC South. I could say that the Titans should also be disappointed, because they made everything disappear a week ago, the guys were running like crazy, the energy was beyond normal. Can they continue for two weeks on a road, now on the road, with a novice head coach? Titans have no attacking identity and rely on money tips that can only help you. And unlike the Texans from a week ago, the Jags have a peak pass and are silent in the high school. Blake Bortles plays the best football of his life and the reality is that, even if he has regressed into a shell, as long as he stays away from the pick-six, his team should have a touchdown at least better than that opponent.

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