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We have a preview of NFL Week 4 with score predictions for each game of our Nation reporters, what to watch in fantasy, the Football Power Index projections of Seth Walder and Hank Gargiulo of 39, ESPN Stats & Info and many more.
Result of Thursday night in football: LAR 38, MIN 31
Teams with byes in week 4: WSH, CAR
Go to a match:
CIN-ATL | MIA-NE | PHI-TEN | HOU-IND | DET-DAL
NYJ-JAX | BUF-GB | TB-CHI | CLE-OAK | SEA-ARI
NO-NYG | SF-LAC | BAL-PIT | KC-DEN
Sunday games
Spread of points: ATL -5 | Quality of correspondence: 59.4 (out of 100)
Katherine Terrell's choice: If A.J. Green is healthy, the Bengals should be able to attack the Falcons defense, which has just lost a third starter. If that is not the case, the Bengals attack is disabled without him or the offensive midfielder Joe Mixon. The Falcons struggled to execute the ball against the Saints, which is a good sign for the Bengals after their defeat against the Panthers in the third week. Bengals 34, Falcons 28.
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What if the NFL teams could have a cheap quarterback forever? It is not so crazy. And the Rams with Jared Goff could be the perfect guinea pig.
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Dozens of statistics to consider when defining the queues of Week 4, plus the steps of what you feel when David Johnson is on your list this season.
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Vaughn McClure's choice: The Falcons are defensive, which puts the offensive responsibility at the expense of every opportunity to score. If rookie Calvin Ridley continues to play at a high level after Julio Jones and the Falcons find a way to block the Bengals Geno Atkins defensive lineman, they should score enough points to win at home. Hawks 28, Bengals 24.
FPI Projection: ATL, 66%. No team grew more in the FPI season than the Bengals from 25th to 14th. The Falcons could be 1-2, but FPI still ranks them in the top five thanks in large part to what it considers to be the fifth strongest attack.
What to look for in fantasy: Tyler Boyd was on the field for 38 of the Bengals' 47 passing games, and had seven more goals in the third week. It can safely be said that he won the weekly WR3 discussion. Read more.
In case you missed it: Kirkpatrick: "It's personal" in the battle against the Falcons … Ridley makes the pride of his family and the Falcons … "Mullet power" led Eifert to his best start since 2015
Spread of points: NE -7 | Quality of correspondence: 50.4 (out of 100)
Cameron Wolfe's choice: The Dolphins have not won at Foxborough for a decade and this seems to be one of their best chances of catching a struggling New England team. It also appears to be an excellent opportunity for Tom Brady to win against a Miami defense that will be without leading defenders William Hayes and Andre Branch and possibly Chase Allen. A defeat of the dolphins will show that progress is needed to catch the patriots of the AFC East. Patriots 31, Dolphins 23.
Find out what's going on in week 4:
• Ranking of the top 10 rookies to date »
• Sampling / Sub-ranking for rookie QB beginners
• Power Rankings: Defects for Each Team
• Best and worst QB of week 3 »
• Leaders predict Bucs' Jameis decision
• Course of the week 3: Look at the South of the NFC »
More NFL coverage »
The choice of Mike Reiss: The first thing Bill Belichick noticed about the Dolphins at his midweek press conference was that they were first in the NFL at the start of the race (31.7 yards) in betting. It seems like he's expecting a type of field game in which a turnover could affect the outcome. I like patriots to bounce back after consecutive defeats. Patriots 27, Dolphins 17.
FPI Projection: NE, 72%. Obviously, neither team can win the East AFC on Sunday, but the winner can do a lot to take control of the race. If the Dolphins upset Foxborough, Miami would lead the division as a favorite at 68%. If the pending Pats are used at home, they would be the favorites at 57%.
What to look for in fantasy: Sony Michel's career in the NFL started slowly, but it did not help to see more than eight men in 42% of his 24 races. Read more.
In case you missed it: A New England guide "Oh no!" begins … Amendola uses the lessons learned by the patriots … The recovery of the pats starts against the race
Tedy Bruschi and Charles Woodson of NFL Live explain their choice for the Week 4 game between the Patriots and the Dolphins.
Spread of points: PHI -4 | Quality of correspondence: 48.9 (out of 100)
The choice of Tim McManus: The Eagles' defense has reported 25 points per game as a visitor last season, compared to 12 points at home in 2017, and the trend has continued for three games this season. Fortunes could change some this week against a team of Titans who are near the bottom of the league in the score (16.3 PPG). Carson Wentz should pick up a weapon twice on Sunday, and the offensive will be enough to do the job. Eagles 23, Titans 17.
Turron Davenport's choice: The Titans are looking to make a statement with a win over the reigning Super Bowl champions. They have won 11 of the last 13 home games. The Tennessee 's physical defense will keep the game tight, while Marcus Mariota and the offensive will find a way to generate two big wins against an overly aggressive and unsecured Eagles secondary, Rodney McLeod. Titans 24, Eagles 20.
FPI Projection: PHI, 62%. Wentz's QBR total (36.3) on his return from the first week was his lowest in a match since Week 11 of 2016 in Seattle. For the Titans, Mariota was apparently not healthy enough to start, but he was healthy enough to register the best QBR of the season with a 62.2 save against injured Blaine Gabbert.
What to look for in fantasy: The Titans' defense ranks fifth in terms of the fantastically adjusted points allowed so far, so Wentz may not be the best start to the season this week. Read more.
In case you missed it: Three moments that defined the return of Wentz … Byard: Titans, not Jags, the big dogs of AFC South right now
Spread of points: IND -1.5 | Quality of correspondence: 46.2 (out of 100)
Sarah Barshop's choice: In his first three games, Houston racked up 19 points in the first half and 40 in the second half. DeAndre Hopkins played five consecutive games without a first-quarter pick. It's a win for the Texans if they want to have a chance to turn around their season, but they will miss in Indianapolis against a Colts team that has also been competitive in all three games. Colts 24, Texans 20.
The choice of Mike Wells: The Colts are two failed attempts in the red zone at the last minute of their two defeats, 3-0. They scored only one touchdown on five attempts inside the 20-yard line against Philadelphia in the third week. The Texans are 21st in the category in this category. The Colts beat the Texans in Indianapolis after losing two straight games at Lucas Oil Stadium. Colts 23, Texans 17.
FPI Projection: IND, 61%. Does the Colts soften Andrew Luck after a long layoff or is there anything missing from his game? The average target depth of luck was just under 5.5 yards, which is well below his career average. Deshaun Watson, on the other hand, was aggressive in passing, with an average target depth of more than 11 yards.
What to look for in fantasy: Since the beginning of last season, no team has allowed deeper finishes than the Colts. Read more.
In case you missed it: Watt finishes his "long drought" with his first bags since 2016 … Chance, attack of Colts in catching defense
Spread of points: DAL -3 | Quality of correspondence: 45.7 (out of 100)
Michael Rothstein's choice: Detroit is the best defense against the pass and the worst run defense in the league. And this plays in the Dallas offensive forces. The question is whether or not Lions can do enough to force Dallas to win by having Dak Prescott beat them. The Lions have discovered an offensive balance against the Patriots – and they will carry that on the road. It will be a close match. Lions 27, Cowboys 21.
ESPN Chalk has you covered all of your NFL Week 4 betting needs:
Week 4 At a Glance
The best choices of eliminators
ATS ranking
Todd Archer's choice: The passing game was a weakness for the Cowboys, which dates back to the middle of last season. The Lions come to AT & T stadium with No. 1 defense. It's perhaps because they're tuning 149.3 yards per game on the ground. It's a week ago for the Cowboys to go to Ezekiel Elliott, left, right and middle, that's it. Elliott has played three straight games with no 20 races, the longest in his career. If the Cowboys want to copy a model to succeed, deploy what Seattle did last week. Cowboys 24, Lions 16.
FPI Projection: DAL, 69%. The Cowboys would have only a 14% chance of reaching the playoffs with a loss, through FPI. Dallas only reached the playoffs once after a 1-3 start (1996).
What to look for in fantasy: Byron Jones has been one of the best turns of the season this season, which could be a problem for Marvin Jones Jr. Read more.
In case you missed it: The small change that Stafford has made hoping for more success … Responses to the offensive problems of the Cowboys must come from within … How the star of Fortnite Ninja became a fan of Lions enraged
Spread of points: JAX -7.5 | Quality of correspondence: 45.2 (out of 100)
The choice of Rich Cimini: The Jets are not in a good offensive position – only two touchdowns over 28 yards in the last two games. And now, they are supposed to bounce back against arguably the best defense of the league? On the road? With a rookie quarterback? Do not happen. Their only chance is to turn Blake Bortles into Tyrod Taylor. Jaguars 23, Jets 13.
Mike DiRocco's choice: It is good that the Jaguars have Leonard Fournette (hamstrings) and A.J. Cann (triceps). Fournette, who has not played since the start of the season, was missed last week against Tennessee, especially with T.J. Yeldon (ankle) banged. Coach Doug Marrone said that Fournette would not be limited to his return. This should spur an attack that could not get into a rhythm and did not run in the red zone last week. Jaguars 17, Jets 14.
FPI Projection: JAX, 73%. After registering a total of 83.0 in QBR in the first week, Sam Darnold followed with 24.6 in his last two games. It will not be any easier against a Jaguar defense that has offered the lowest QBR opponent since the start of last season.
What to look for in fantasy: Isaiah Crowell's habits through three games have not been encouraging, as he is only 38 years old for Bilal Powell. He now has a strong defense of the Jags. Read more.
In case you missed it: The love of Marrone for Bologna and cheese helps fight against cancer in children … Look at the beginning of Darnold: Early trends, warning signs … Seferian-Jenkins: Time with Jets m & Saved the life
Spread of points: GB -10 | Quality of correspondence: 40.1 (out of 100)
Mike Rodak's choice: The opponents posted a total QBR of 50.0 or more in seven of 10 road games for the Bills with coach Sean McDermott. In his home career, Aaron Rodgers is 49-6-1 with a total QBR of 50.0 or higher. If Buffalo looked like an underweight quarterback, he would be upset if Rodgers loses at home playing average or above average. Packers 28, Bills 21.
Rob Demovsky's choice: How will a brutal call affect this game? This seems to be in the minds of everyone around the Packers. They lead the NFL with five such penalties in three weeks, but at least Sunday referee Bill Vinovich has only called two so far. Maybe the Packers will come out clean for a change and will benefit from an easy win. Packers 31, invoices 23.
FPI Projection: GB, 76%. No team had a bigger improvement in their REIT after last week than the Bills. FPI raised its estimate of four-point bills, one of the biggest improvements of a week, regardless of the change in QB in the metric history.
What to look for in fantasy: Josh Allen is ranked 17th overall with 21 OFP at Week 3. He had 28 fantastic points and must now be taken even more seriously as a potential fantasy option. Read more.
In case you missed it: More Jones could mean less stress on Rodgers … Bills turn back defensive, but do not show Davis's exit
NFL Live's Tedy Bruschi and Charles Woodson explain their picks for the Eagles-Titans Week 4 game.
Spread of points: CHI -3 | Quality of correspondence: 38.7 (out of 100)
Jenna Laine's choice: The Bucs will not score 30 or 40 points on a Bears defense that awards just over 18 points per game and puts pressure on opposing quarters on 30% of their delays. But the Bucs showed last week that despite a difficult start to the season, they can come back, Ryan Fitzpatrick making two touchdowns in the fourth quarter and a young defensive against three defensive backs retaining the Steelers at zero in the second half. Bucs 23, Bears 20.
Jeff Dickerson's choice: The Bears, who lead the NFL with a 12.2% bag / dropback ratio, are confident that they can put pressure on anyone who plays a quarter for the Buccaneers. They will put pressure on Fitzpatrick, Jameis Winston or both in sufficient errors to win at home. Bears 24, Bucs 20.
FPI Projection: CHI, 58%. FPI has weighed in the controversy over the QB of the Bucs. The model – who is blind to suspensions and to FitzMagic – estimates that the Bucs would have a better shot (46%) with Winston than with Fitzpatrick (38%).
What to look for in fantasy: Is Peyton Barber a viable flex? Not enough. Barber racked up 35 races in weeks 1 and 2, but was kept 91 yards (2.6 yards per race) and added only one. Read more.
In case you missed it: Reset NFC's North after Three Weeks … NFL Leaders on Tampa Bay's Jameis Decision
Spread of points: OAK -3 | Quality of correspondence: 26.6 out of 100
Pat McManamon's choice: It's dangerous to intervene after half of the game, but Baker Mayfield's debut has shown too many good signs to ignore, especially in the face of a winless team that grants 27 points per game and who is the last in the bags. The Browns begin a series of victories. Browns 27, Raiders 20.
Paul Gutierrez's choice: The three bags of the Raiders are the last of the league; the Browns have dropped 14. This is the week Oakland presents itself, with veteran Bruce Irvin and rookie Arden Key. Yes, even against a more mobile gunman at Baker Mayfield. "We expect him to come home," said Raiders coach Jon Gruden. With Derek Carr completing almost 80% of his passes, it will be a shootout, and the Raiders, who have been beaten by a combined 37-3 in the fourth quarter so far, hold firm. Raiders 31, Browns 30.
FPI Projection: OAK, 66%. Mayfield gets a soft landing for his first start in the NFL, while the Raiders have the second lowest league pressure rate.
What to look for in fantasy: Is Mayfield worth adding to your fantasy league? It might not be a starting option yet. Read more.
In case you missed it: With the representatives of the first team, Mayfield sends his self-confidence … The fast-paced Raiders are the worst enemies of the last collapses … The wealth of Raiders passcasters is useful or an obstacle?
Spread of points: SEA -3 | Quality of correspondence: 17.0 (out of 100)
Brady Henderson's choice: Despite the misfortune that the Seahawks have experienced at State Farm Stadium in recent years – the Super Bowl XLIX and the injuries of Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor who turned the franchise – they have been 4-0-1 in the last five seasons. games there. The fact that the Seahawks have already eight points to their credit shows how well their defense has played despite all the defeats and new faces. Seahawks 21, Cardinals 17.
Josh Weinfuss's choice: The Cardinals offense, the worst of the NFL, hopes to get an injection of yards and points by tossing Rosen. But will that suffice? Arizona faces a Seahawks defense that has the best NFL interception rate. The Cardinals have not beaten the Seahawks at home since 2012. Seahawks 27, Cardinals 10.
FPI Projection: SEA, 67%. It may not be the best days of the Boom Legion, but the Seahawks' defense is still strong, ranking eighth in the defensive REIT and seventh in defensive efficiency. FPI knows that Rosen played decently in a few games last week, but a full match against a good defense should give us a quick overview of what to expect from the 10th pick in the 2018 draft.
What to look for in fantasy: Chris Carson had 13 quick attempts in the first two weeks, then 32 in the third week. What is the true? Read more.
In case you missed it: Griffin is just beginning … Can Card's offensive coordinator adjust the offensive to succeed with Rosen? … Take a bow because Thoma, Seattle faces a dilemma … Why Bradford did not work like Cards QB
Spread of points: NO -3.5 | Quality of correspondence: 51.5 (out of 100)
Mike Triplett's choice: The Saints' offense ranks second in the NFL with 34.7 points per game and the defense ranks last with 34.3 points per game. Giants receiver Sterling Shepard could have a big game after the Saints lost the corner of nickel Patrick Robinson in the injured reserve. The passer of Saints Cameron Jordan could also have a field day against the offensive line of the Giants. The saints should be able to generate enough pressure to increase their total a to take away this season. Saints 29, Giants 26.
Jordan Raanan's choice: The Giants have allowed 20.7 points in the first three weeks of the season, but that will be the real test for their defensive turnaround. They did not face a pass attack like the Saints, who averaged 345.3 yards per game. This is not an ideal match for a Giants defense that can not dismiss the quarterback (four sacks) and is in the middle of the pack against the pass, despite playing in Jacksonville, Dallas and Houston. Saints 27, Giants 24.
FPI Projection: NO, 50 percent. For all Giants playmakers, the team ranks 26th in terms of offensive efficiency. But the Saints have the opportunity to put themselves on the right track as they have been the worst defensive team in the league.
What to look for in fantasy: Alvin Kamara finished in the top three fantasy every three weeks and is positioned on fantastic points. Read more.
In case you missed it: Harrison is the only racing machine of the Giants … Back to their old habits, the Saints are fighting to stop the big games
Spread of points: LAKE -10.5 | Quality of correspondence: 48.5 (out of 100)
Nick Wagoner's choice: Philip Rivers left for one of the best starts of his career and this week he will face a 49-assault 27-ranked defense that fights various injuries. Even if the Niners had not lost quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo following an injury to the ACL season, the climb would have been difficult. Without him, it seems too difficult to overcome the fifth consecutive loss of the regular season of the Niners against the Bolts. Chargers 27, 49ers 13.
The choice of Eric D. Williams: The Chargers are favorites at home and face a San Francisco squad that starts backup quarterback, C.J. Beathard. Even without Joey Bosa, the Chargers will collect enough passes to create constant pressure in front and cancel the 49ers' effective running game. The Bolts attack should have enough points to keep the 49ers at bay. Chargers 28, 49ers 20.
FPI Projection: LAC, 76%. What does life look like after Jimmy G? FPI would have always had the Chargers as favorites if Garoppolo played, but the Niners would have had a 31% chance of winning.
What to look for in fantasy: Although not a starter in the 10-team leagues, Mike Williams is a positive addition that could possibly rank in the top 30 of our receiver rankings on a weekly basis. Read more.
In case you missed it: In the second round, Beathard relies on support … The defense of the shippers failed the tests against the best teams
The fantasy show Matthew Berry discusses the clash of quarters that he likes and hates for week 4.
Spread of points: PIT -3.5 | Quality of correspondence: 76.7 (out of 100)
Jamison Hensley's choice: The Ravens have lost seven of their last eight regular-season games against Ben Roethlisberger at Heinz Field. Why? Baltimore can not stop Big Ben when it counts. He owned the Ravens in the fourth quarter, scoring seven touchdowns and no interceptions. Steelers 31, Ravens 30.
Jeremy Fowler's choice: The Steelers have won their last 10 games in prime time and in four games at Heinz Field, Ben Roethlisberger has run 1,520 yards with 14 touchdowns and two interceptions. Baltimore has improved a lot and is averaging 32.3 points per game before facing one of the defensive defenses of the league. Pittsburgh seems ready to handle a shootout. Steelers 35, Ravens 28.
FPI Projection: PIT, 56%. It would have been hard to imagine a prediction so close in the pre-season, but the FPI has a big crush on the Ravens. It's mostly defense, certainly the special teams and not really Joe Flacco.
What to look for in fantasy: The Steelers gave up the most fantastic points to the players lined up on the left. Read more.
In case you missed it: Can the Ravens slow Brown without his kryptonite? … Why the Ravens sizzle in the red zone at the historic pace … The fault of the Steelers buzzing
Monday night football
Spread of points: KC -4.5 | Quality of correspondence: 44.7 (out of 100)
The choice of Adam Teicher: The Chiefs beat the Broncos five times in a row because they found a way to break Denver's defense. Kansas City has at least 27 points in each of these games. All but one took place with Alex Smith at QB. Under Patrick Mahomes, the leaders have even more offensive abilities and have shown their production. The Chiefs are leading the league by scoring more than 39 points per game and they will find a way to surpass the Broncos again. Chiefs 34, Broncos 27.
Jeff Legwold's choice: The Chiefs outshot their opponents 49-6 in the first quarter and have won three times. The Broncos will need the discipline to avoid the silly penalties they've already had this season, as well as the discipline to follow with a racing game that has shown that it could propel the ball out of the box. whoever they were willing to stay with him. Chiefs 31, Broncos 24.
FPI Projection: KC, 58%. How hot was the beginning of Mahomes? His total 90.7 QBR in three games is the fourth best of the first three weeks of the season since 2006.
What to look for in fantasy: The Chiefs' defense fought the pass this season and conceded 362.7 yards per game, the worst in the NFL. Read more.
In case you missed it: Chefs are having fun with "Showtime Mahomes & # 39; at QB … How versatility can Harris help Broncos slow down Chiefs … is Bieniemy Reid's next offensive coordinator? … The Broncos struggled to defend tight ends
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