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We present the NFL slate of week 5 with the score predictions for each match of our Nation reporters, what to watch in the fantastic, Football Power Index projections of Seth Walder and Hank Gargiulo from ESPN Stats & Information, and much more.
Thursday night football result: BN 38, IND 24
Teams with byes at week 5: CHI, TB
Go to a match:
JAX-KC | ATL-PIT | NYG-CAR | GB-DET | BAL-CLE
MIA-CIN | DEN-NYJ | TEN-BUF | LAR-SEA | MIN-PHI
OAK-LAC | ARI-SF | DAL-HOU | WSH-NO
SUNDAY GAMES
Point of propagation: KC -3 | Quality of the match: 68.7 (out of 100)
Mike DiRocco's choice: Patrick Mahomes destroyed the Broncos out of pocket last week (192 yards), and Jaguars' No. 1 priority keeps him out of the net. They have the necessary staff to face the weapons of the chiefs, but the problem is to maintain coverage while Mahomes struggles. It will make three or four big games outside the pocket that will make the difference. In addition, the Jaguars have not recorded good consecutive offensive performances this season. Heads 24, Jaguars 20
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The career of the future member of the Hall of Famer could have been different if he had never been hurt in San Diego. Or he had signed with Miami. Let's change the story.
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With 30 teams out of 32 and a quarter of the season, how have the forecasts changed? Here is the current hierarchical order in the AFC and the NFC.
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The choice of Adam Teicher: The goal of Sunday leaders is to score more than 20 points. Jacksonville was 1-5 last season in games in which he allowed over 20 (the Jaguars have not allowed more than 20 this season). The Chiefs had a record of 10-2 last year and a 4-0 record this season when they scored more than 20. It's impossible to see how the Chiefs will not pass that mark on Sunday at the house, regardless of the quality of the opposing defense. Chiefs 24, Jaguars 23
FPI earnings projection: KC, 59 percent. What was the quality of the chiefs offense for four weeks? This is the fifth most effective offense since 2006, surpassing only the Rams of 2018 and three iterations of the Patriots (2007, 2011, 2015). This could be the toughest match so far in Kansas City, as the Jaguars are the highest ranked defense of the FPI and were the second most efficient unit of the season. The Jags are only slightly behind 2017, when they finished the season as the most effective defense.
What to watch for in fantasy: When T.J. Yeldon receives at least 15 hits in a match, he scores an average of 15.04 fantastic points for his career. He got a Chiefs defense that allowed 5.73 yards per race to the top in the league this season for a short week. Read more.
In case you missed it: The Jaguars' defense is preparing for the leaders' attack … "It's going to be crazy" … Tyreek Hill eager to take on the Jaguars' challenge "Jalen Ramsey
Point of propagation: PIT -3 | Quality of the match: 64.8 (out of 100)
Vaughn McClure's choice: The return of Devonta Freeman this week should make the Falcons offense average of 29 points per game even more dangerous. And the Steelers have allowed 12 touchdowns, so the Falcons should find the goal zone. But Atlanta's defensive troubles could continue with defensive tackle Grady Jarrett out of the lineup. He awarded 30.5 points per game and had communication problems. Today, Atlanta is heading for a very noisy stadium. Steelers 31, Falcons 28
Jeremy Fowler's choice: The Steelers know that dropping to 1-3-1 would require a serious resumption of the fight. Pittsburgh is bad in virtually every metric. He has averaged 2.8 yards per run in the past three weeks, leading the league with seven (42) penalties and his 1,682 yards and 12 pass-pass wins are the worst of the franchise in four games. Atlanta will probably capitalize on these issues. Hawks 35, Steelers 28
FPI earnings projection: PIT, 58 percent. Atlanta's defense has been decimated by injuries and this has been shown. The Falcons are ranked 30th in the league in terms of defensive efficiency.
What to watch for in fantasy: JuJu Smith-Schuster has attracted a lot of attention, but Antonio Brown still retains a 29% share of Ben Roethlisberger's goals (eighth highest in the league). Read more.
In case you missed it: Matt Ryan, Big Ben show: QB sneakers are not really a lost art in the NFL … The & # 39; Veon speaks: expectations, message to his teammates, business discussion … How can the Steelers survive? at a 1-2-1 start
Point of propagation: CAR -7 | Quality of the match: 47.6 (out of 100)
Jordan Raanan's choice: This is not a good place for the Giants offensive to be on the right track. The Panthers have a top 10 defense while Eli Manning & Co. have trouble scoring points. The Giants are 29th in the NFL, averaging 18.3 points per game. The Panthers have won their last three games and have played an average of 30.7 points. Panthers 26, Giants 18
David Newton's choice: The Giants have a hard time protecting Manning, who has already been sacked 15 times. The Panthers flourish by stopping the race and putting the pressure on the quarterback, which could be a long day for Manning against a defense with fresh legs as we approach next week. Carolina's offense began to be heard before the start, accumulating 230 yards (Christian McCaffrey was 184) in his last outing against Cincinnati to kick off the game. Panthers 28, Giants 13
FPI earnings projection: RCA, 73%. The Giants 'offensive is again in trouble, ranking among the league' s last five in terms of offensive effectiveness even with the addition of Saquon Barkley and the return of an Odell Beckham. Jr. in good health, the FPI still considers the Panthers' defense as a unit above average, ranking seventh in the league.
What to watch for in fantasy: McCaffrey has recorded 68 combined passes in three games this season and the Panthers are now facing a team that has allowed the fourth-highest rushing yards. Read more.
In case you missed it: Some realistic changes that giants can bring to fix their offense … Curtis Samuel's speed could match that prescribed by the doctor for the Panthers' offense
Point of propagation: GB -1 | Quality of the match: 47.5 (out of 100)
Rob Demovsky's choice: Aaron Rodgers is 13-3 in the Lions career with 34 touchdowns and six interceptions (including one interception in his last eight games against Detroit), but he never had to do it without his top three receivers . If Davante Adams (Calf), Randall Cobb (hamstring) and Geronimo Allison (concussion) are all absent, Rodgers and Packers have big problems. The Lions can form a double team with Jimmy Graham and let the three rookie receivers in a single cover. If that is the case, everything is in favor of Detroit. Lions 27, Packers 17
From Michael Rothstein to choose: Rodgers is perhaps the best quarterback in the NFL, but there is no question who he will be speaking to on Sunday. The strength of the Detroit defense is in high school with Darius Slay and Glover Quin. While three of the top four Lions security teams are also injured (including the Quandre Diggs starter), if the turns are healthy against novice players, there is a significant advantage in a game that seems otherwise equal. Lions 28, Packers 23
Tedy Bruschi predicts that Matthew Stafford will burst and lead the Lions on the Packers.
FPI earnings projection: GB, 50 percent. FPI considers this game as a coin. Although Rodgers led the Packers to a heroic victory in the first week, he has not recorded a total QBR of over 60 in all three games since. If Rodgers knee affects him, FPI will ignore him especially because it offers a broad view of the past performance of the quarter.
What to watch for in fantasy: Lions award 13.2 fantasy points per game to the lowest in the league to line-up players. This could be a difficult match for some inexperienced receivers. Read more.
In case you missed it: Aaron Jones: The Packers spark plug is back, starter later … Packers receivers for the moment: Adams and three recruits
Point of propagation: BAL -3 | Quality of the match: 45.2 (out of 100)
Jamison Hensley's choice: It looks like the Browns' best team for more than a decade, but she still finds a way to lose at the end of the game. Baltimore was the best second-half team in the NFL this year. The Ravens have not lost to Cleveland since 2013, beating the Browns 59 to 30 in the second half over the last four trips. Ravens 27, chestnuts 20
Pat McManamon's choice: Baker Mayfield did a lot of things, but the level of challenge increases against a Ravens defense ranked among the top five in each major category. Ravens 24, chestnuts 19
FPI earnings projection: BAL, 72%. This game pits a team that the FPI likes more than most to a team that is more skeptical than most. Although Vegas has Baltimore as a 3-point favorite, FPI thinks the line should be above a touchdown.
Darren Woodson takes the Browns over the Ravens to the chagrin of Tedy Bruschi.
What to watch for in fantasy: The Ravens have managed to reduce an average of five fantastic PPR points per game over the past four weeks. This is a problem for David Njoku, whose use of the red zone so far has been rather disappointing. Read more.
In case you missed it: The Ravens are the most complete team in the NFL … Why is Joe Flacco the best since his Super Bowl season … From teammate to rival: Facing Mayfield is a "scary thought" … Mayfield: Browns can be "super" with more attention to detail
Point of propagation: CIN -6.5 | Quality of the match: 44.4 (out of 100)
Cameron Wolfe's choice: The Dolphins are not sentenced after their defeat against the Patriots, but their margin of error is smaller than that of most good teams. It was already a tough match on the road before dolphin injury began to appear. The situation of Miami's improvised indoor offensive line screams a big day ahead of Geno Atkins, and the suddenly electric Bengals reception team could create trouble for a Dolphins side team without Bobby McCain. Bengals 27, dolphins 19
Katherine Terrell's choice: The Bengals are brimming with confidence after a 3-1 start, despite the disturbing performance of their defense over the past two games. But with the return of Vontaze Burfict and the likely return of Joe Mixon, the Bengals should be able to handle the Dolphins, whose offense disappeared against the Patriots last week. Bengals 31, dolphins 20
FPI earnings projection: CIN, 76 percent. The Dolphins rank last in front of our new Pass-Blocking Block Rate metric, which uses next-generation NFL stats. This does not bode well against a Bengals team with a good pass.
What to watch for in fantasy: Frank Gore has been the most productive running back in Miami this season, winning almost four yards per race. What does it mean for Kenyan Drake? Read more.
In case you missed it: Where is Drake? Dolphins must find a bigger role for RB … Bengals WR Tyler Boyd has patience in 2018
Point of propagation: NYJ -1 | Quality of the match: 23,1 (out of 100)
Jeff Legwold's choice: It would be easy to say that the Jets have a 21-year-old rookie quarterback that the Broncos defense should be able to confuse sometimes, but Sam Darnold has one more touchdown pass than Broncos' Case Keenum this season (four at Keenum) and Darnold started one less interception than Keenum (five against six). The Broncos say that they are worthy of the playoffs, and if that is true, it is a game that they have to win. Broncos 24, Jets 16
The choice of Rich Cimini: If the Jets can not stop Blake Bortles, how are they going to handle the Broncos, who have the third-ranked racing offensive and the big receivers? It's hard to imagine the Jets solving their defense problems in a week. Their season has this sensation that escapes. Broncos 23, Jets 17
FPI earnings projection: NYJ, 59 percent. It's one of the last two games in which FPI favors Jets. They will need more of Darnold's Week 1 version (83.1 Total QBR) than 2-4 Darnold weeks (24.3 QBR). The Denver defense has not lived up to the popularity of this season as it ranks 23rd in terms of defense effectiveness.
What to watch for in fantasy: Jermaine Kearse was injured early in the season but had 45 records on Sunday, the highest of the season. Seek him to be involved. Read more.
In case you missed it: The Broncos have to run more they want to win more
Point of propagation: TEN -3.5 | Quality of the match: 19.8 (out of 100)
Turron Davenport's choice: The Titans are in an offensive position after Marcus Mariota's attack for a total offensive of nearly 400 yards during the fourth week. The big receivers agree well with the Buffalo half-defensemen and running back Dion Lewis should be successful in capturing passes out of the backfield. Defense co-ordinator Dean Pees will compose the indoor gap and nickel blitzes to pressure Josh Allen to make unsent throws. Titans 27, Bills 13
Mike Rodak's choice: All week long, the Bills formula to repair their 31st offensive rank has been explicit: they want to run the ball more often during early testing and focus on quick and short shots when they decide to pass. The Titans have allowed the fourth-highest rush of yards per game (5.04) in the first and second trials this season, which could make Tennessee the perfect opponent to settle an attack led by Josh Allen who returned the ball to three occasions and allowed seven bags to score. a loss of white play last week. Bills 17, Titans 14
Tedy Bruschi considers the defense of the Titans as the decisive factor against the bills of the fifth week.
FPI earnings projection: TEN, 57%. The Bills have achieved the best full match in terms of overall efficiency (98.4%) since 2006 with their third game topping the rankings with an overall efficiency of less than 10% in the shutout against the Packers. Tennessee could potentially take control of the AFC South race with a win on the road, while the Jags have tougher competition in Kansas City.
What to watch for in fantasy: Kelvin Benjamin has been field-aligned on 89 percent of his bindings this season, including Josh Allen's left on 54 percent of his bindings (Malcolm Butler side). It could be a great day. Read more.
In case you missed it: The Titans need a hasty pass to force Allen to get noticed by the bills … The connection between Mariota and Corey Davis took flight in the 4th week … The bills should consider negotiating LeSean McCoy , Kelvin Benjamin
Point of propagation: LAKE -5 | Quality of the match: 46.5 (out of 100)
Paul Gutierrez's choice: Jon Gruden said the best after his first NFL win in nearly 10 years. There is no time to celebrate. Not with the Chargers, nor with the Raiders, who started in the two offensive shooting teams for the first time since at least the AFL-NFL merger in 1970, between the first-round pick Kolton Miller and the third round Brandon Parker. In addition, Philip Rivers has always worked on Oakland's high school, which is significantly slower this season, especially in the back-end. He has more passing yards (6,055) and touchdowns (41) than any other Oakland quarter has experienced in the history of the franchise. Chargers 30, Raiders 21
ESPN Chalk has covered all your NFL wagering needs Week 5:
Week 5 early look
Angry choice
Eliminator Choices
ATS ranking
The choice of Eric D. Williams: The Bolts swept the Raiders last season and are now facing an Oakland team that will face off against two rookies during an offensive tackle. So even without Joey Bosa, the Chargers should put pressure on quarterback Derek Carr. Rivers is 16-8 in career against the Raiders and faces an Oakland defense that totals 31 points per game, the second worst in the NFL. Chargers 31, Raiders 23
FPI earnings projection: LAC, 73%. The Gruden Raiders may have earned their first win of the season in Week 4, but the 5th week will be crucial for a possible playoff series. Oakland's chances of making the playoffs would drop to 2% with a loss, though thwarted here would drive them to nearly 9%. The Chargers, meanwhile, are looking to keep pace with the Chiefs for the division – a win would keep them a lot in the race with a 17.5% chance of taking AFC West.
What to watch for in fantasy: The Chargers rank seventh in the block standings, which only helps Melvin Gordon. Read more.
In case you missed it: Holy Roller at 40: How a degenerate Raider in TD has changed the NFL … The latest version of Beast mode by Raiders: a spirited leader and a wise mentor … The return of Corey Liuget after his suspension adds to the 39 Impulse to attack the Chargers … Another slow start, but the chargers find their "juice" of Rivers-Gordon combo
Point of propagation: LAR -7 | Quality of the match: 84.6 (out of 100)
Lindsey Thiry's choice: The Rams are 4-0 and are at the top of ESPN's power standings, but their match against the 2-2 Seahawks is not lightly, largely because of the sound of CenturyLink. And do not forget Russell Wilson. "He can beat you himself," said defensive coordinator Wade Phillips. "Not a lot of quarterbacks can do that, you have to cover it for a long time, and it makes things difficult." Rams 32, Seahawks 21
Brady Henderson's choice: Los Angeles leads the league with a fairly wide margin in yards per game at 7.38, and Jared Goff has got the most number of completions completed with more than 20 yards per quarter with 23. Slowdown Sean McVay's offense would be a difficult task, even at full strength. It's hard to imagine that the Seahawks are doing the same now that their defender is missing his eraser in Earl Thomas, in addition to linebacker K. Bow, of the Pro Bowl. Wright Rams 28, Seahawks 21
Steve Young talks about the Seahawks' rebuilding phase and Rams domination so far this season.
FPI earnings projection: LAR, 65%. Expect the rams to control the trenches in this one. Los Angeles ranks first in the Pass Rush Win Rate and Pass Block Win Rate rankings, our new metrics derived from next-generation NFL statistics.
What to watch for in fantasy: It was amazing to see Mike Davis – and not Rashaad Penny – become the return of Seattle with Chris Carson. Davis' 21 rushing attempts in the fourth week, for 101 yards and two touchdowns, make it a useful substitute for maybe another week. Read more.
In case you missed it: McVay culture resonates among Rams players … After a slow start, Donald, Suh & Co. have increased pressure on the QB … With Thomas's injury, the Legion of Boom is coming to an end. .. The NFL world reacts to Thomas's wounded middle-finger wagon ride
Point of propagation: PHI -3 | Quality of the match: 64.1 (out of 100)
Courtney Cronin's choice: Doug Pederson and Mike Zimmer say their team's difficulties early in the season will not put them off for the rest of the season. Consider that Week 5 is a turning point for the Vikings and Eagles. With running running, generating a ground attack with a not completely healthy Dalvin Cook against the first defense is a daunting task. For Kirk Cousins to continue orchestrating a prolific attack, he needs his defense to support his weight. The Vikings have lived for too long with the nightmare of the NFC title and have had 10 days to prepare for the Eagles. A surprise puts them back on track. Vikings 26, Eagles 25
The choice of Tim McManus: The Eagles' defense is a totally different beast at home, limiting its opponents to an average of 14 points per game, against nearly double that they're on the move, a trend that goes back to last season. Jim Schwartz's unit is eager to get back on track after a disappointing OT performance against Tennessee. The offense came back to Alshon Jeffery, who stepped in last week and collected more than 100 receiving yards for the first time in an Eagles uniform. Eagles 26, Vikings 20
FPI earnings projection: PHI, 60 percent. FPI gave the Eagles 19% and the Vikings 13% to go to the Super Bowl before the season. These numbers have dropped significantly after slow starts. Philly has only 4% chance and the Vikings less than 3%. A race for one or the other team should start soon.
What to watch for in fantasy: We need to be concerned about Cook's health and performance, but the match-up is not good for the halves, no matter what. Read more.
In case you missed it: What happened to the vaunted Vikings defense since the NFC title match? … Jeffery provides an instant "spark" at the Eagles' offensive
Point of propagation: SF -4.5 | Quality of the match: 26.7 (out of 100)
Josh Weinfuss's choice: The Cardinals desperately need a win Sunday against the Niners, which could be their best bet before the farewell. Arizona has hope with rookie Josh Rosen. However, Arizona still ranks 32nd in 21 offensive categories and will ask a rookie to win in his first game on the road. But Rosen is not your average rookie, and Arizona faces a team of Niners who are defeated and just lost a bad defeat against the Chargers. Cardinals 24, Niners 21
Nick Wagoner's choice: The number of injuries that the 49ers deal with makes this task difficult, but the Niners should have the opportunity to establish their sixth-ranked offense against Arizona's 31st-ranked running defense. Jaquiski Tartt should also benefit from the 49ers' pass defense. 49ers 24, Cardinals 17
FPI earnings projection: SF, 76 percent. FPI considers this to be the 49ers' best chance to win the rest of the season. They are favored five more times this season, but not as much as against the Cardinals. Arizona had its best offensive efficiency of the season with Rosen at the helm of the 4th week, but even that effort was below the league average.
What to watch for in fantasy: C.J. Beathard is far from the fantasy radar, but it seems relevant that his first start generated more fantasy points than Jimmy Garoppolo had on average. Read more.
In case you missed it: Rosen: The big-arm QB, with wider opinions and smart mouth … The drops do not baffle Rosen for an impressive first start … Beathard seeks balance in a battle of discretion and value
Point of propagation: HOU -3.5 | Quality of the match: 53.1 (out of 100)
Todd Archer's choice: In two road games, the Cowboys averaged 130 yards per game on the floor. The problem of the Cowboys, which goes back to the end of last year, is the game that passes. They have amassed more than 212 yards in a game away from home just once in their last six road games. They converted more than 40% of their third chances on only two occasions and scored more than 20 points once. This time, the passing game is just enough. Cowboys 27, Texans 20
Sarah Barshop's choice: In the first quarter of the season, the Cowboys tied 14 bags, tied for sixth place in the NFL. The seventh day of Texans will be another difficult task Sunday night, judging by last week. Behind another strong defensive performance of J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney – who combined for four sacks against the Colts – will win two consecutive games for the first time since 2016. Texans 21, Cowboys 17
FPI earnings projection: HOU, 58 percent. Although things have not gone as well as in his rookie season, Deshaun Watson has always played well and FPI is extremely optimistic about the young quarter's future – an important reason he favors Houston in this game.
What to watch for in fantasy: Geoff Swaim ran 73% of the Cowboys' passes and has a solid 12% target by the 4th week. He makes a good streamer this week. Read more.
In case you missed it: How Ezekiel Elliott came out of his comfort zone, dominated … Texans use movement, creativity to revive the offensive in difficulty
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Point of propagation: NO -6.5 | Quality of the match: 59.9 (out of 100)
John Keim's choice: The Redskins are 1-6 in Monday night's matches under Jay Gruden. But if they can win this match, it will give a huge boost. The key will be how far Washington can direct the ball. The Saints love to blitz and block the lanes, one of the reasons they rank third in authorized rushing yards. But it will be difficult for Washington to slow down the Saints' offensive and for Drew Brees. Saints 27, Redskins 24
Mike Triplett's choice: It sounds like a preparation for a Saints win – a prime-time home game Monday night with Brees just 201 yards from the NFL's leading pass position. Mark Ingram returns from suspension to join two of the most dynamic NFL playmakers at Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas. However, you can not sleep on a Redskins defense that has awarded less than 200 passing yards per game this year. Saints 26, Redskins 23
FPI earnings projection: NO, 62%. Brees lost 66% of the time, its highest rate since 2013. And it works, so it's hard to imagine that the Saints are changing anything despite Ingram's return.
What to watch for in fantasy: It is fair to expect Kamara's role to be reduced somewhat with Ingram's return, but he should still be more important than what he considered a rookie. Read more.
In case you missed it: Adrian Peterson's plans changed when Kamara arrived in New Orleans … Unexpected heights … Three wild breed timelines and how the NFL has changed
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