Why betting outsider Broncos is too good to go against the leaders

The 6-1 leaders are 7-0 against the spread. Their 43-40 loss to New England was as close to a defeat against the spread as you can get. It was a 3½ point dog, so the hook was covered.

This week, the Chiefs opened a 10-point favorite game at home for Sunday's rematch against the Broncos. But the number dropped to 9½ throughout the city and, according to Covers.com, 60% of the action went to the chefs.

Nevertheless, if you remember that first meeting of week 4 on a Monday night in Denver, the Chiefs were forced to score two TDs in the fourth quarter to win 27-23. Here are several reasons to love the Broncos with their points:

1. They covered the Rams at home two weeks ago in a 23-20 loss.

2. They had three more days of rest since the burial of the Cardinals last Thursday 45-10.

3. These two wins against the gap came after a week 5 crisis – a defeat on the road from 34-16 to the Jets. But remember this about the Broncos. They always fail to show up in the Eastern time zone.

Obviously, Denver is much better at Mile High. Nevertheless, you may want to consider this week acquiring 9½ or 10 points in Kansas City in a division game with a rested team.

I understand if you want to ride the series. And even if the winds in Kansas City are subject to a flurry of snow, do not forget that Patrick Mahomes played at Texas Tech. All those who went to Lubbock know the wind there and Mahomes conquered it. But do not forget that linebacker Justin Houston has doubts about his leg, which should make you think twice about the defense of the Chiefs.

The game: Broncos +9 ¹ / ₂.