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Three things to know before betting on Michigan-Ohio State:
1. The best rivalry between college football is back and the stakes are more important than ever in this year's edition. Michigan is 10-1, a 10-game winning streak to defeat Notre Dame, and is almost tied for a playoff spot if it can defeat Ohio State and then Northwestern at the Big Ten Championship. Game. The Wolverines are 6-5 against the spread of this season. The campaign was less brilliant in Columbus, where problems off the field were only the beginning of the OSU's problems this year. A defeat against Purdue remains the only loss to the Buckeyes program, but the near-misses suffered by Maryland and Nebraska over the past three weeks have been disturbing to say the least. In addition, the wins in the first half of the season on TCU and Penn State do not seem as impressive as they did before. Ohio State is 4-7 against the gap in 2018.
Given the extent of rivalry, Ohio State-Michigan has not been particularly competitive lately. But while Michigan lost six straight games against OSU, the Wolverines have delivered the best possible game to punters in recent seasons, covering four of the last five meetings. Each of the losses against the team in recent weeks also suggests that Michigan is well positioned as a road favorite. Over the last five seasons, underdogs who have failed to cover four or five of their last six games have had a 58-108 record against the November game gap. At the same time, road favorites of 2.5 to 10 points that have failed to cover two of their last three games are 48-21 in November.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "College Football Week 13 Best performances: which two-digit outsiders stand out?"data-reactid =" 27 ">College Football Week 13 Best performances: which two-digit outsiders stand out?
<p class = "canvas-atom-canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "2. Since the Buckeyes field is more blue- Their defense has been embarrassing this season. (Maybe we should have known when the club lost 31 points to Oregon State in its opening game of the season.) Until Boilermakers have frantic for 7.5 yards per game and 49 points against the Buckeyes, after a week of recovery, the Ohio State still awarded 31 points to a Nebraska team that Michigan had beaten 52-10 on its own pitch. the Buckeyes' worst performance so far, as OSU has allowed two passes over 75 yards in Maryland in the first quarterand things have not been much better from there. In the season, the Ohio State grants 5.97 yards per game to its opponents, the 92nd best mark in FBS. "Data-reactid =" 28 "> 2. Since the Buckeyes have more blue chippers than almost everyone else In their country, their defense has been awkward this season. (Maybe we should have known when she 31 points to Oregon State in the first game of the season.) 49 points against the Buckeyes after a busy week, the State of Ohio still gave 31 points to a Nebraska team that Michigan beat 52 -10 on his own pitch as OSU allowed two touchdowns of more than 75 yards in Maryland in the first quarterand things have not been much better from there. Ohio State awards 5.97 yards per game to its opponents, the 92nd best mark in FBS.
The Michigan offensive can take advantage of it. Quarterback Shea Patterson, who was transferred from Ole Miss, did not disappoint. Last year's Michigan attack was ranked 109th in the FBS standings (6.4 yards per attempt), but this year Patterson is ranked 20th in the country at 8.5 YPA. His QB rating (157.7) was 17th and only three quarters had more passes than him, but less than his four interceptions. With a strong run also (5.03 yards per race, 27th in FBS), the Wolverines are well balanced and consistent. They have scored 30 points in all but three games this season, and at least 20 points in every game since the defeat at South Bend on September 1st.
3. Of course, no one will bet on Ohio State on the strength of his defense: it's the Buckeyes offense that drove them to a 10-1 record. Although they have tremendous talent in all positions, they can especially thank quarterback Dwayne Haskins for their success. In his first year as a starter, he broke OSU records in single season for passing yards (3,729) and touchdown passes (36), and only launched seven interceptions. He owns a wide range of various weapons at the starting point and the go, and participated in the Buckeyes' return win at Penn State in late September.
But against the Wolverine defense, the state of Ohio will have a battle to fight against all. With Clemson, Michigan is one of only two defense systems in the country to allow less than 4.0 yards per game. They also keep their opponents out of the end zone, giving them the fourth-lowest points per game. nationally (13.5 points per game).
Michigan is better than the state of Ohio, but given the intensity of this rivalry and the OSU field advantage, this line is right. As powerful as OSU's offensive is, it's not particularly prone to big games – the Buckeyes are winning 20 or more yards on 8.1% of games, only the 59th mark the most. highest of FBS. Meanwhile, the Wolverines make this type of parking on only 5.3% of snapshots, the 16th lowest rate in the country. Do not exclude any results in a game of rivalry, but it remains no less than the Wolverines are a value bet at -4.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Choice: Michigan -4"data-reactid =" 33 ">Choice: Michigan -4
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Level of confidence: moderate (on a scale of Low / Moderate / High / Very High / Extremely High) "data-reactid =" 34 ">Level of confidence: moderate (on a scale of Low / Moderate / High / Very High / Extremely High)
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