Warren tops the Democratic presidential ranking at The Hill

The first debates are over, second-quarter fundraising totals continue and the battle for the Democratic presidential nomination is intensifying.

Here is the latest ranking of The Hill among the best candidates.

1. Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenThe "invisible primary" began 2020 The Democrats promise to be tough on the lobbyists. Trump trailing 10 points in his new poll PLUS (D-Mass.)

Warren is leading in none of the national polls – for the moment. But she is on the rise and her message on the stump resonates louder than anyone else.

The Massachusetts senator also seems to be about to supplant Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersMerkley on the postponement of the approval: "We have a different card game this time around" The "invisible primary" began 2020 Democrats are committed to being firm in the l '. Lobbyists MORE (I-Vt.) As the standard-bearer of the left – a development that would fundamentally reshape the race.

Warren was clearly the winner of the first night of Miami debates at the end of last month, although his performance was overshadowed by a more controversial clash the following evening.

It continues to launch political proposals at a faster pace than its rivals. On Friday, she presented a plan to increase wages for non-white women.

Warren is making serious efforts to get Black support, which suggests that she hopes to create a coalition similar to the one that propelled Sen at the time. Barack ObamaBarack Hussein ObamaThe "invisible primary" began to invoke Obama to defend civil rights. Biden says he's opposed to the expansion of the Supreme Court. (D-Ill.) To victory in 2008.

Warren, whom critics describe as a rigid and professorial figure, has turned out to be a much more warm and spontaneous figure in the electoral campaign trial than this caricature would suggest. According to her campaign, she has posed for about 35,000 selfies in the last six months.

The race is tight and the case of the former vice president could be argued. Joe BidenJoe BidenThe & # 39; primary invisible & # 39; Trump started hitting "Sleepy Joe Biden" after comments on working with segregationists Democrats of 2020 pledge to crack down on lobbyists MORE or Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisThe "invisible primer" has begun 2020 Democrats are committed to being tough on lobbyists. Trump trailing 10 points in his new poll PLUS (D-Calif.) At the top of this list.

Warren is third in the national rankings, behind Biden and Sanders. And Harris had an even better night at the Miami debates.

But like a runner sitting comfortably on the leaders' shoulders, Warren is perfectly positioned at this stage of the race.

Previous ranking, May 28: 3

2. Former Vice President Joe Biden

Biden can not be credibly placed below second place, as he is the leader of the national polls and his fundraising prowess is prodigious. He raised $ 21.5 million in the second quarter.

But Biden has problems.

His mediocre performance at the first debate hurt him in many ways.

This eroded his support among black voters in one fell swoop. She raised serious questions as to whether he would, after all, be the most powerful candidate against President TrumpDonald John Trump Democratic Senator: The White House has "used cruelty to children" as a tool of Amash immigration policy: "High-level" Republicans have thanked privately for supporting the Impeachment of Trump. people in poverty MORE – the reason for being central to his candidacy. And this has also fueled concerns about the sensitive issue of his age. Biden is 76 years old.

The former vice president also spent a lot of time cleaning up the mess. In an interview with CNN on Friday, he said that he "was not ready" for Senator Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) To attack it as aggressively as "the other day." she. Last Saturday, he finally apologized for having, in his previous remarks, given "the impression to the people I was hiring" two segregationist senators who died in the south of the country.

There is a huge general willingness towards democratic democrats towards Biden. But will that translate into votes when the critical moment comes?

Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonMerkley on postponement of approval: "We have a different card game this time" The "invisible primary" began Peter King: Inappropriate behavior of FBI officials "will come out" MORE, an ideologically similar figure, had much larger polls than Biden's at the very beginning of the 2008 and 2016 cycles – only to lose a battle against Obama and be threatened at the edge by Sanders in the other.

This is one of many factors that bodes bad for Biden.

Previous ranking: 1

3. Senator Kamala Harris (D-Calif.)

Harris had the greatest moment among all the candidates in the debate when she confronted Biden about school buses in extremely personal terms.

The exchange, which has often been broadcast on cable TV channels and social media, has fueled Harris' poll rankings.

Immediately after, she placed second in two national polls, winning 13 points in one, from Quinnipiac University, and 9 points in another, from CNN / SSRS.

The debate has also strengthened its profile and popularity with black voters, whose support will be vital if it wants to win.

Harris's performance during the debate was exactly the kind of break that she needed after an initially dynamic campaign began to stagnate in the polls.

Yet the Californian is facing questions.

His new notoriety calls for an investigation of his own record as the California Attorney General and District Attorney in San Francisco.

This story includes elements that upset the progressives, including a severe approach to absenteeism and resistance to the appointment of independent investigators to investigate firing by the police.

Harris has also been unstable on some elements of politics. Her own vision of school transportation is not entirely clear and she gave confusing answers as to whether she was supportive or not of the removal of private health insurance.

Harris has a real shot. She also has real weaknesses.

Previous ranking: 3

4. Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.)

Sanders' first run for president in 2016 far exceeded expectations. This time, the expectations were much greater – and he has not been able to satisfy them up to now.

Sanders claimed that he was the first to espouse the kind of opinions that have become more popular among Democrats, particularly with respect to income inequality and the imperative to make the university more affordable.

That's true. But that does not seem to broaden his support.

In the national average of RealClearPolitics polls (RCP), it is stuck at around 14% and has recently been pushed to third place by a Harris rising sharply.

His supporters believe that his message resonates and that he has real strength on the ground in the early states, especially in Iowa.

Sanders has already won a moral victory: the Democratic Party has moved in his direction.

As for knowing if he can win a victory in the battle for the nomination, this sounds a lot more debatable.

Previous ranking: 2

5. South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPeter (Pete) Paul ButtigiegThe "Invisible Primary" began 2020 Democrats promise to be tough on lobbyists. Trump trailing 10 points in the new poll MORE

Buttigieg, barely 37, was the media mood of the month when he launched his campaign.

He mobilized this attention to generate a breathtaking fundraiser – he raised $ 24.8 million in the second quarter, a higher total than the higher-ballot candidates, including Biden, Harris and Sanders. (Warren has not yet declared his total fundraising for the second quarter.)

Buttigieg's appeal lies in his youth, his sense of articulation and the feeling that he can appeal to voters beyond the democratic base.

But he also has an obvious gap: his support among black voters is remarkably low. This weakness was probably exacerbated by the controversy that followed the recent shooting by the police of a black man, Eric Logan, in his hometown.

Buttigieg has its place but, unless his support among black voters increases, it's hard to see how he will get out of it.

Previous ranking: 5

6. The former Secretary for Housing and Urban Development, Julián Castro

Castro had the best debate among second-tier candidates, his passionate and knowledgeable responses on immigration propelling him to the fore.

Castro also very clearly got the better of his fellow Texan, the former representative Beto O'Rourke (D), in exchanges on this subject.

It is very difficult to see Castro make a serious accusation for the nomination – he votes less than two percent of the national average of the SPC.

But he shines his reputation and would make an attractive choice to the vice-presidency.

Previous ranking: 9

7. Sen. Cory BookerCory Anthony BookerThe "unseen primary" began 2020 Democrats pledge to be firm with regard to lobbyists Biden declares that he opposes the enlargement of the Supreme Court PLUS (D-N.J.)

Booker has always struggled to stand out in such a vast area, and this problem has not been solved.

He had a strong performance in the debate but was eclipsed by Harris.

He managed to draw media attention to some of his activities – last week he went to Mexico City to meet people who were trying to seek asylum in the United States – but this did not translate into significant support.

Bottom line, Booker seems to lack a "factor X". He did not do anything embarrassing during his campaign, but he did not catch fire either.

Previous ranking: 7

8. Former Representative Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas)

O'Rourke has been the most disappointing candidate of this cycle so far.

A high-profile launch fizzled, supported from the beginning by O'Rourke's ill-advised comment to Vanity Fair that he was "born" to run for president.

He has clearly failed to create the kind of excitement that he sparked in a tight race against Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward Cruz2020 Democrats pledge against lobbyists. Five things to know about violations of the nuclear deal by Iran A Hispanic evangelical group proposes to provide shelter and help to migrant children MORE (R-Texas) last year.

An attempt to restart the O'Rourke campaign did not work. Debating was never his main pretext and he suffered when Castro accused him of not doing his "homework" on immigration in Miami.

O'Rourke's campaign so far has been slow. He needs something really exceptional if he wants to get back into the race.

Previous ranking: 6

9. Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy Jean Klobuchar2020 Democrats vow to crack down on lobbyists The Hill's campaign report: Biden looks to bounce back from a tough week Marianne Williamson shares the picture of herself transformed into a vogue now viral MORE (D-Min.)

Klobuchar has a place in the race – but the problem is that Biden already occupies it.

The senator from Minnesota is openly skeptical of the left-leaning party, hesitant about the electoral appeal of proposals such as the Green New Deal and Medicare for All.

She has competently completed the debate and had a particularly effective time in underscoring her commitment, as well as that of the other women candidates, to reproductive rights.

However, it is not clear that today's Democratic elector buys what Klobuchar sells.

Previous ranking: 8

10. Rep. Tulsi GabbardTulsi Gabbard2020 Democrats are committed to being tough on lobbyists. American pride and veterans running for president of the Hill. The Campaign & # 39; s Report: Biden hopes for a recovery after a difficult week MORE (D-Hawaii)

Gabbard nurtured curiosity during the debates, becoming the most googé candidate of the first night.

The Hawaii representative, an army veteran, more vigorously criticizes the "regime change wars" and the military adventure in general than some of her rivals.

She is probably too idiosyncratic to go very far, not least because of her ambiguous words about Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, but she at least left an impression.

Previous ranking: N / A

Other candidates:

Sen. Michael BennetMichael Farrand BennetBennet on solid economic numbers: "There are two economies" in the US, US Democrats are committed to being tough on lobbyists Biden says he opposes the enlargement of the Supreme Court PLUS (D-Colo.), Montana Gov. Steve BullockSteve BullockSteve Bullock raises one million for 2020 in the second quarter, according to a campaign, the 2020 Democrats join the voters around the beer Warren and Harris are getting closer to Biden in the new poll in Iowa PLUS (D), Mayor of New York City Bill of BlasioBill of Blasio2020: Democrats promise to crack down on lobbyists The Hill's campaign report: Biden wants to get up after a tough week Politicians are encouraging the USWNT to defeat England and qualify for the final of the World Cup. (D), former representative. John DelaneyJohn Kevin Delaney2020 Democrats are committed to being tough on lobbyists. The Hill campaign report: Biden seems to recover after hard week 2020 Democrats use July 4 to storm the first states of the contest. (D-Md.), Senator Kirsten GillibrandKirsten Elizabeth GillibrandThe "invisible primer" has started 2020 Democrats promise to crack down on lobbyists Gillibrand promises to ratify the UN treaty banning discrimination against women if elected MORE (D-N.Y.), Former Senator Mike Gravel (D-Alaska), Former Governor of Colorado John HickenlooperJohn Wright Hickenlooper2020 Democrats pledge to be tough on lobbyists The Hill campaign report: Biden plans to bounce back after a difficult week 2020 Democrats get in touch with voters around the world beer MORE (D), Washington Government Jay InsleeJay Robert Inslee2020 Democrats vow to crack down on lobbyists Inslee suggests that Lil Nas X inslee unite to the climate to demand the repeal of the key provision of the Trump tax as part of the education plan . MORE (D), Miramar, Florida, Mayor Wayne MessamWayne Martin MessamWarren and Harris get closer to Biden in the new poll in Iowa The Hill's 12:30 Report: Anticipation high before the first debate Announcement of the settlement of the first primary democratic debate NEXT (D), Rep. Seth MoultonSeth Wilbur MoultonMoulton strikes Trump for lack of military service. The 2020 Democrats are pledging to crack down on lobbyists. American pride and veterans coming to the presidential election MORE (D-Mass.), Rep. Tim RyanTimothy (Tim) John Ryan2020 Democrats pledge against lobbyists 2020: Democrats get in touch with voters around beer Warren and Harris get closer to Biden in the new poll in Iowa MORE (D-Ohio), Former Representative Joe Sestak (D-Pa.), Representative Eric SwalwellEric Michael Swalwell2020 Democrats pledge against lobbyists. The Hill campaign report: Biden hopes to bounce back after a tough week Warren and Harris move closer to Biden in the new poll conducted in Iowa PLUS (D-Calif.), Author Marianne WilliamsonMarianne Williamson 2020 Democrats Commit to Strong Lobbying Campaigns Hill Campaign Report: Biden seeks to bounce back from a tough week Marianne Williamson shares photo of her even published in Vogue now released PLUSbusinessman Andrew YangAndrew Yang2020 Democrats promise to crack down on lobbyists Warren and Harris make connections with Biden in a new poll in Iowa The DNC was preparing Biden for failure in the first debate NEXT.