Warriors at Rockets: 5/10/19 in the playoffs, odds, analyzes, television, news

A team on the road still has not won a game in this series and there is no chance that this will happen in the sixth game now that the Golden State Warriors will no longer have Kevin Durant during their trip to Texas for face a Houston Rockets team in elimination, right?

Here, we discuss odds and analysis from the point of view of betting.

When: Friday, May 10, 2019 at 18:00 MST

Or: Toyota Center, Houston, Texas

TV: ESPN

Line: Warriors +7, 213.5

injuries: Danuel House Jr. (toe) and Kenneth Faried (staff) are questionable for the Rockets.

Kevin Durant (calf), DeMarcus Cousins ​​(quadricep) and Damian Jones (pectoral) went out for the Warriors.

Houston Rockets

James Harden, Chris Paul and the Houston Rockets had a third quarter lead in the fifth game before Kevin Durant retired, but could not capitalize in the fourth quarter of their 99-104 loss.

The Rockets are led by James Harden with 31.3 points and 6.8 assists per game, Clint Capela with 10.3 rebounds and 1.2 blocks per game and Chris Paul with 2.4 flights per game playoff to # 39, now.

Image by Lachlan Cunningham / Getty Images

Houston is 47-42-3 against gap (ATS), a 39-47-6, 24-16-2 lead against home advantage, 15-16-1 against the gap after a loss, 28-26- 3 ATS with a day off, 21-32-4 for the over / under with a day off, 15-16-1 for the over / under after a defeat and 20-19-3 for the home favorite this season.

The Rockets have an offensive rating of 110.5, a defensive index of 106.4, a step factor of 96.9 and a 7-3 record against the gap of 3-6-1 overall higher. / sub total in the playoffs, 4-1 against the gap and 3-2 to the over / under in this series

Warriors of the state of the gold

After the injured Kevin Durant's exit, the Warriors recovered as in 2015, under the Splash Brothers attack and thanks to the defensive efforts of the entire team, preparing a fourth quarter tense to serve at home.

The warriors are led by Kevin Durant with 34.2 points per game, Draymond Green with 9.2 rebounds, 8.1 assists and 1.4 blocks per game and Klay Thompson with 1.5 wins per game in these playoffs.

Image by Lachlan Cunningham / Getty Images

The Dubs have a 39-53-1 record against the gap, 45-48 against the over / under, 26-36-1 against after a win, 4-4 against the gap as outsider, against 24-30 with a day of rest, 3-5 to over / under as underdogs, 23-31 to over / under a day off and 34-29 to over / under after a win this season.

Golden State has an offensive index of 117.8, a defensive index of 111.9, a factor factor of 99.3 and a 4-7 record against the gap, 7-4 over / under the playoffs up to 39, now, 1-4 against the gap and 3-2 on the gap / under in this series

Analysis

Kevin Durant is considered by some to be the world's greatest basketball player and his imminent absence has completely changed the complexion of this series and the entire NBA playoff landscape.

Everyone hopes first and foremost that KD's health is not seriously threatened and that he is coming back this season, but if he is away for a long time, what does that mean for Golden State's chances in this series and for another title?

There is no doubt that the loss of KD is a blow to the Dubs, which negatively affects their chances of winning all the playoffs they play without him and therefore their chance of getting another title.

But never say never.

Although KD is a talent of all time, let's not forget that the rest of the Warriors team is not chopped liver.

Golden State still has the base trio of the 2015 Championship, which includes a former most valuable two-time player, the former defensive player of the year and the star player who holds the NBA record for the more points scored in a game and quarter points, and they can revitalize the original mentality and playing style of "Strength In Numbers", they still have a chance.

We watched the Dubs freeze and tighten when they left without KD this year, including their only regular season win over the Houston Rockets as four-underdogs and a victory at Oklahoma City Thunder as two. points. outsider.

In Durant's debut season with the Dubs, Kevin was released in February and the Warriors increased their defensive intensity, leading to a winning streak of 99.9 points over the weekend. Series.

We expect the Warriors to try to compensate for the loss of KD by more defensive efforts, just as we expect James Harden and Chris Paul to be under pressure from the playoffs.

James Harden has been criticized for being worn out late in the playoffs because of fatigue. We do not know if this is true, but honestly, we have trouble remembering when James Harden or Chris Paul qualified for the NBA playoffs. Now the Rockets will have more attention and expectations to beat a Warriors team that will play without KD for the rest of this series.

In the seventh game of the 2018 West Conference final, the Rockets scored only 92 points at home and set an NBA playoff record with 27 consecutive throws missed by three points. And Houston did not have to face KD when he scored only 104 home points in a loss to the Warriors two months ago.

Waiting for more intense defense from the Warriors and more tense Rockets shots in a home playoff game, we think seven points is too much to give the Dubs here and locked in Warriors +8 when it was available, and also lean towards the team's total Rockets finishing under 110.5 points in the sixth game.