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Of the nearly 50 million people expected to travel this week despite health warnings, 95% are expected to do so by car, AAA said. Other modes of transportation, such as air, train and bus, are expected to experience sharp declines from last year, AAA said.
Regardless of the mode of transportation, traveling far from home this year is risky.
For those who heed the health warnings and are planning a virtual or outdoor celebration, the next question becomes: Will Mother Nature cooperate with your vacation plans?
End the weekend
On Sunday morning, the primary focus will be a line of downpours stretching from Detroit to Little Rock, Arkansas. Rain is the main concern south of Toledo, Ohio. For those north of this point there will be a rain / snow mix.
On Sunday afternoon, the showers move east with the primary focus between Syracuse, New York and Nashville.
Showers on Sunday evening will affect areas from Burlington, Vermont to Atlanta.
On Monday, the primary focus for showers will be from Caribou, Maine, to Raleigh, NC.
The good news is that overall rainfall and snowfall amounts are expected to be pretty low. Until Monday, precipitation is expected to peak at an inch or less in most places.
Snow accumulation will mainly be an inch or less since it will be mixed with rain in many places. The higher elevations of the Green and White Mountains as well as northern Maine could get a bit more snow, with 2-4 inches possible.
Floridians will also want to keep an eye out for a few showers, mostly in the eastern half of the state. Jacksonville, Orlando and Miami have a low chance of rain on Sunday before they dry out for the remainder of the week ahead.
The eastern United States is not the only region that will experience inclement weather at the end of the weekend.
Areas of the central Rockies and the southern plains will also see the possibility of showers Sunday through Monday, including Salt Lake City.
The next storm is setting in
On Tuesday and Wednesday, the system that was in the Pacific Northwest over the weekend will move to the Central Plains and the Midwest.
But the Pacific Northwest will face inclement weather again as many disruptions move to the region early next week during the holiday period.
November is often the darkest time of year in the Northwest, and the region will live up to those soggy expectations this week. Seattle and Portland, Oregon both have a chance of rain in the forecast every day Sunday through Wednesday.
Denver will also see showers on Tuesday, but it will mostly be in the form of snow. Temperatures will see a sharp drop from highs around 60 on Monday through the mid-40s on Tuesday.
For the southern plains, it’s not just rain, but thunderstorms expected Tuesday in Oklahoma City, Dallas and Wichita, Kansas.
By Wednesday, the same system will be concentrated from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast. The biggest impacts are likely to be for cities like Cleveland, Chicago, Atlanta, Memphis, Tennessee and Little Rock, Arkansas. The heaviest rains will come from Indianapolis to Little Rock, where 1 to 3 inches is possible. Highways 65, 70 and 75 will likely have heavy rain at times.
Macy’s Thanksgiving Parade
For those participating locally in the parade, temperatures are expected to hover around 50 degrees until the early hours of the morning with a high temperature expected in the mid-1950s. There is also a chance for scattered showers that morning. but the winds are expected to remain light, between 5 and 10 mph.
Will Mother Nature cooperate with your outdoor Thanksgiving?
The CDC said a small outdoor gathering is okay, but will the weather cooperate? In many areas the answer is yes.
The Upper Midwest and the Southwest Desert will be two of the most promising places for dry weather.
Minneapolis, Kansas City, and Green Bay, Wisconsin will all have a sweet, dry Thanksgiving. Even Chicago, which will start with a cloudy day, ends up being very sunny with temperatures several degrees above normal in the afternoon.
It’s a different story from Maine to Florida, where rain is forecast for Thursday. But it will not be a total wash and the temperatures will be about 5 to 15 degrees above normal.
In these cities, as well as places in the West such as Denver and Cheyenne, Wyoming, which also have a chance of snow on Thursday, it may be best to stay indoors and watch Macy’s Thanksgiving Parade from the comfort of your warm sofa.
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