What do the polls really showing trump trump dems?



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The media, who are still in love with polls, really like them right now.

That's because they show that President Trump is being kicked buttocks.

And although the latest figures are certainly not good for the president, I'm going to flash a giant yellow light here.

As everyone knows, it's early, but the problems are deeper than that.

Experts worry about a new Quinnipiac University survey that shows Joe Biden darkens Trump, between 53 and 40%.

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Not only that, but other Democrats beat Trump with a smaller margin: Bernie Sanders (51 to 42%). Kamala Harris (49 to 41). Elizabeth Warren (49 to 42). Pete Buttigieg (47 to 42). Cory Booker (47 to 42).

The Q survey is widely respected, but here is the thing:

If Joe or Bernie or Kamala or any of the others are facing Trump in November 2020, the public will not see him as the same person as during the spring training period of the campaign in progress.

The final candidate will have suffered a year and a half of denunciations from Trump, his campaign, his allies and his substitutes. That goes along with millions of dollars in negative advertising from independent and pro-Trump groups and constant attacks by conservatives in the media.

In short, the person on the ballot will be fairly beaten and bleeding.

And Republicans do not have a monopoly on that. The Obama camp, the Democrats and the Liberals in the media pounded Mitt Romney long before he became the candidate, as a heartless executive, flip-flopper and blunderer.

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Now, by this logic, Trump will also be more scared in the fall of 2020 than he is now. But it will not be new. He has been beaten by the press and his opponents since the last campaign and, even though he will have to defend his record, all the personal controversies – his professional record, his women, his money – are well known.

On the other hand, no Democrats, including Biden, came to the fore. So the race will tighten. Nobody will win by 13 points.

At the same time, Trump attempted to silence a New York Times article in which he said: "After being informed of a poll of 17 devastating polls conducted by his campaign investigator, Tony Fabrizio, Mr. Trump told his associates to deny that behind Mr. Biden in many states he needs to win. "

Politico had previously reported that the poll showed Biden in front of Trump in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

The president has never explicitly denied the Times account. But when a reporter asked him yesterday, he said that there were "fake polls" published by "corrupt media … We have internal polls, very few, and they are very powerful".

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Would he deny that Fabrizio's polls were "devastating"?

Or had he gone after other surveys, such as the Quinnipiac poll so much boasted? This was not clear.

If this is the last case, the university said it was sticking to numbers after 25 years of independent voting.

"We are used to that," said Quinnipiac. "Whoever is on the wrong side of a poll is attacking the poll."

Kellyanne Conway, a career researcher, made some reservations yesterday.

"When the president says we have some of the best numbers we have ever had," said the White House advisor, "he means among Republicans and among the individuals who voted for him last time".

Obviously, it will take more than winning Republicans for Trump to reach 270.

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Conway added that when "the president says he has the best figures of all time, he also talks about unemployment figures, growth, optimism."

For all the exchanges, it is clear that an outgoing president who does not exceed 42% has work to do.

But the latest polls are more than ephemeral. They reflect a political landscape that can be radically changed once people start voting.

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