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According to his campaign's estimates, it is the largest crowd that the Massachusetts senator has attracted in his quest for nearly a year to be the Democratic presidential candidate of 2020. (The number of 15,000 comes from Warren's campaign, so take it with a slate grain.But it is clear from the photos that there were LOTS of people.)
Well, it depends. Politicians will remember that in the final stages of the 2012 presidential campaign, Mitt Romney was confident that he was going to beat President Obama because – at least in part – the size of the crowd attending his rallies. Romney did not win – nor even approached.
On the other hand, the massive crowds attracted by Obama – both to replace other candidates in the 2006 round than for himself as a presidential candidate in 2008 – were a telling indicator of organic passion and the energy that he created within the electorate.
Where is Warren's crowd in this spectrum between Romney's false positive and Obama's, uh, true, positive? It's hard to say for sure yet, but here's what we know:
1. Being able to attract 15,000 people to a campaign rally at the end of August is rather impressive.
2. The size of the crowd, especially in a primary, is a generally consistent indicator of organic energy
When you consider this context, Warren's recent crowd is certainly an indicator of the momentum and enthusiasm generated by his candidacy. No . No matter what his rivals might say behind closed doors (or in public) about what the Warren crowds mean (or do not mean), you can be sure that any of them would like to be able to shoot them. numbers that the senator from Massachusetts is right now.
The Point: Yes, it's August 2019, not February 2020. But Warren is on a significant roll – and the impressive size of his crowds reflects that momentum.
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