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What to expect from Dario Agrazal



The pirates have recalled right-handed starting pitcher Dario Agrazal. He must make his league debut against the Marlin in Miami on Saturday.

The Panamanian 6-22, 240 pounds, at age 24, is in its seventh season in the Pirates organization. He progressed steadily, generally one level per year, to Triple-A in Indianapolis last month after opening the season with four starts for Altoona. Together, he is 5-3 with an average of 3.27 in 2019.

The main characteristic of Agrazal is its control, even if it does not miss a lot of bats. He never made more than 18 steps in a season (150 IP for Low-A West Virginia in 2016), and this year has issued only 10 free passes against 58 in 74 1/3 sleeves.

The MLB offers this assessment:

At its best, Agrazal fills the end zone and gets a ton of outsiders. Its weight on the ground will sometimes reach 95-96 and will be in the 90s, which led to a career ratio of 1.48 GO / AO at the beginning of the 2018 season, a rate that reached 1.80 in 2017. Agrazal do not miss a ton of bats, but it never gets hurt with walks as evidenced by its ratio of 1.3 BB / 9 in the miners. He has a decent feeling of change and can turn a broken ball, even though it is classified as marginal secondary offerings.

Raw statistics

Year Age Level Team ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB N / A
2013 18 F-Rk Pirates-2 2.40 13 12 60.0 57 21 16 2 17 32
2014 19 Rk Pirates 4.20 12 12 55.2 65 30 26 3 5 34
2015 20 SS-A Morgantown 2.72 14 14 76.0 71 27 23 3 11 45
2016 21 Low-A West Virginia 4.20 27 27 150.0 173 80 70 18 18 88
2017 22 High-A Bradenton 2.91 14 13 80.1 73 34 26 4 10 63
2017 22 Double-A Altoona 4.50 1 1 4.0 3 2 2 0 2 2
2018 23 High-A Bradenton 0.00 2 2 8.0 3 0 0 0 0 4
2018 23 Double-A Altoona 3.99 15 14 85.2 91 41 38 9 13 52
2019 24 Double-A Altoona 3.60 4 4 25.0 29 10 10 3 0 19
2019 24 Triple-A Indianapolis 3.10 8 8 49.0 38 19 17 4 10 39 

Here are Oliver's MLEs adjusted for Agrazal

Year Age BFP GB% WOBA BA / OB / SA BH% HR% BB% NA%
2013 18 272 47.7 385 309/356/551 310 059 065 117
2014 19 238 53.5 346 301/312/510 313 044 022 138
2015 20 361 59.5 312 259/299/424 286 036 039 170
2016 21,637 49.3,369 313/337/533 326,053,029,139
2017 22 335 55.3 283 245/275/381 282 033 036 202
2018 23 420 51.3 362 299/340/510 309 248 042 146
2019 24,287 51.7 317 254/282/468 279,058,036 204

And the Oliver 2019 showing after each season

Year Age Size ERA WOBA BA / OB / SA WHIP H / 9 HR / 9 BB / 9 SO / 9
2013 18,220 6.29 387,303/376/527 1,74 11.0 1.7 4.1 5.7
2014 19 350 5.14 356 286/344/484 1.51 10.2 1.4 3.1 5.7
2015 20,542 4.72 343 278/332/463 1.44 9.8 1.3 2.7 6.2
2016 21,886 5.01 354 291/335/497 1.45 10.4 1.5 2.1 5.7
2017 22,876 4.46 336 275/323/459 1.37 9.7 1.3 2.2 6.4
2018 23,948 4.88 350 284/334/481 1.45 10.1 1.5 2.4 6.0
2019 24,1087 4.48 339 273/318/474 1.35 9.6 1.5 2.1 6.5

The projections are consistent since 2015, with a 4/5 thrower well controlled throwing balls on the ground, but not a lot of K, and can be scored by a long ball when he recovers the ball.

In other words, Ivan Nova.


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