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A week has passed and it's still hard to understand that Josh Rosen was traded for the 62nd pick in the NFL Draft in 2019 with a fifth round pick in 2020. I'm not surprised because it's clear since month The Arizona Cardinals have unfortunately mismanaged the 10th choice trade in 2018. I'm not surprised because last Friday it was obvious that they were only going to get a Day 2 pick for Rosen.
But it is difficult to look back and not be dismayed by the events that led to this point (already well narrated in this space last weekend) where Miami was able to buy Rosen for pennies in terms of salary (Arizona has already given him all his money in advance) and a compensation for the choice of milking. And this consternation extends well beyond the cardinals, but to the handful of other teams that might have already constituted an honest and convincing case for suing Rosen too.
This is not binary as Arizona gives up a potential franchise quarter and Miami takes advantage of the series of bizarre events that led the Cardinals to reach this stage 12 months after choosing Rosen with the 10th pick. There are corollaries and tangents that should have been explored further. Over time, when the stories of this just-finished draft are known, the Rosen / Kyler Murray link will be a central theme in the assessment and determination of winners and losers. But it also has tentacles – though they are not visible in real time – to the Bengals, Broncos, Giants, Buccaneers, Skins and Titans, and, to a lesser extent, to the Chargers and Patriots.
The reality is that, for all practical purposes, Rosen was the fifth quarterback selected in the 2019 draft, at choice No. 62, by the Dolphins, after raking Arizona. And it is also well established that the Cardinals hoped to be able to get a first-round pick for him, while refusing to do just what Rosen had to do and organize an auction for his services before the start of release for free. We can not do both things, which created a favorable climate last Friday so that Arizona could at best reach the 48th choice of Miami (before they were traded with the Saints) without that no other team comes to take Rosen. second turn.
The idea that Rosen, after being completely rejected by the Cardinals as a rookie in terms of shenaniganship, coaching, protection, attack equalization, talented players and continuity, was suddenly the 62nd best prospect in a safe draft. – QBs shooting and general talent players, will always leave me puzzled. It does not count. He was not arrested or fought with coaches, nor suspended, nor made like a fool despite Arizona's gross negligence in the way it dealt with him. So, how do you explain this fall – other than the cardinals who erode all the leverage and devalue that asset with ferocious speed by leaving him no chance of succeeding, then by being clearly at ease to take Murray with the first choice to return to the combine, if not before that date.
So I started asking evaluators I know and trust who work for teams that were not in the QB recruiting market to answer a few questions for me. I wanted to know, based on their notes from last year and this year, how Rosen would meet the top five quarters of the 2019 selection: Murray, Daniel Jones, Dwayne Haskins, Drew Lock and Ryan Finley. These are teams without a dog in the fight and who have nothing to gain or lose – especially after the draft – and teams that have assessed the quarterbacks over time.
Here are three of their lists:
| 1 | K. Murray | K. Murray | J.Rosen |
| 2 | J.Rosen | J.Rosen | K. Murray |
| 3 | D.LOCK | D.Haskins | D.Haskins |
| 4 | D.Haskins | D.LOCK | D. Jones |
| 5 | D. Jones | R.Finley | D.LOCK |
| 6 | R.Finley | D. Jones | R.Finley |
I contacted another appraiser who was not at the office, but I said unequivocally that Rosen was the highest ranked of all those quarters, with Murray second. Another team told me that Murray, Rosen and Jones were their top three.
Notice a trend here? At worst, Rosen is considered the second best option available, but he was traded 61 places after Murray and after four quarters total were drafted last weekend. It just does not fit. Of course, Rosen may be too smart, too forward thinking and too environmentally conscious to please some old school executives (arrears?) From the NFL, but he's been dealing with the whole Cardinals debacle with everything except class, including its outputand if he's even close to the player, many expect it to be a master shot for the Dolphins.
But we already knew it, even without the lists I just provided to save it. And I understand that Arizona, who was already using Kliff Kingsbury for a certain system, would then engage in a QB that he considered a perfect fit since Murray was like in college. But what about all the other teams that have taken a different direction?
giants General Manager Dave Gettleman is blamed for taking Jones with the sixth choice, when he would have been there at 17 (despite what he would say). But what about taking Josh Allen at six, staying with Dexter Lawrence at age 17 to fully consolidate that defensive line, then retaining their second-round pick (instead of trading Deandre Baker in a tie-up) diluted angle) and use that on Rosen? I understand – it's not the cup of tea Gettleman. But not all are raised by the Mannings and trained by David Cutcliffe, and you will not find many GMs who prefer Jones to Rosen. In addition, Rosen's academic output destroys what Jones has accomplished. Do not just consider it Jones vs. Haskins and Jones vs. Sam Darnold (whom Gettleman inexplicably passed on a year ago). It's also Jones versus Rosen, which Gettleman actually doubled: in the first round last year and the second round this year.
What would you say Washington? The Skins were clearly still focused on Haskins, and getting it at 15 is safe and could be very useful. Of course, they could have caught a potential stud replacement striker out there and continue to trade with Montez Sweat late in the first round and move on to the second round to trade against Rosen. I like the choice of Haskins, personally, but it's all a food for thought.
denver could have traded from 10 to 20 and land a tight end and still face the offensive line and make the move up to 42 as they did for Lock, and sent that choice to Arizona for Rosen (or simply stay at 52 and exchange that choice with the Cardinals). Of course, they did not do it because Lock embodies everything that John Elway likes in a QB and fits his style. It has the same look as so many errors from Elway's QB of the past – all the reason, I say, actually get out of this somewhat insular thought in this case and try to demand the supreme value of Rosen as a guy (temporarily) behind Joe Flacco. Rosen vs. Lock Bear is watching the next few years.
I've always believed that Rosen had the most sense for the Bengalsas a system and culture with 30-year-old rookie head coach Zac Taylor. Going to a small town like this with a team loaded with speed and talent at skill positions for such a cheap salary should have been a slam dunk for owner Mike Brown, who clearly praises Andy Dalton at this point. Instead, with the 52nd choice (after trading with Denver), they took a tight draft and then selected Finley at the top of the fourth round. I do not understand. It was obvious for a lot of levels and it was a risk-free bet at choice 52. We will now see how Rosen plays against Dalton / Finley.
the buccaneers and Titans Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota are on the brink and entering their option season for the fifth year without a contract extension and their future between the first two picks of the project was not long ago chosen. Neither of them deserved an extension and with both teams in purgatory, I would have explored Rosen. Tampa could have made the 39th overall pick for Rosen, or traded in round 2 to catch him instead of taking a corner (they spent three of their first four picks on DB and traded against a kicker in the fifth turn) and sent him to choose Rosen. The Titans chose the A.J. Brown speedster with the 51st choice. Rosen versus Mariota and Rosen against Winston in 2019.
the Chargers and patriots are clearly set for 2019 at QB, but both are looking for the next guy for quite some time. I love their rough drafts, but choosing a late second round for Rosen could have been an extreme value for a post that we will soon need. Rosen played at UCLA, and Philip Rivers would have been perfect for learning for a year or two (the Chargers won Easton Stick in the fifth round). For the Patriots, if Rosen actually had an ego problem, Bill Belichick could handle that very quickly (the Pats took Jarrett Stidham in the fourth round).
In the end, any of the 32 teams could have entered the pure value game, although inserting a quarterback at the end of the match under such unique circumstances could certainly create waves with the players already present in this room. Naturally, after a 2018 year to remember for record quarterback transactions via transactions, signatures and first-round picks, demand would never be stronger. But more teams than mere cardinals could regret the progress of all this and what could have been.
Miami could negotiate it again in a year, no problem. Or he may have solved their QB problem in the long run. Whatever the case may be, for the 62nd selection and loaded with choices in 2019 to go up or down the board as they see fit, the Dolphins are already the winners here.
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