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Since Lady Gaga arrived at the Venice Film Festival last summer, it seemed like a fatality: A star is born would be a darling of the awards season.
Maybe it was the transition from the superstardom pop to the movie, or the Hollywood mythology around A star is born (Judy! Barbra!), Or the fact that Bradley Cooper was Clint Eastwood in his directorial debut. Throw in the movie Titanicmelodrama and his way of consuming pop culture (so many memes), and there was a feeling in the ether that A star is born (2018) could become the rare commercial success at the box office that would double with an Oscar nominee. Last fall, believed the Gold Derby price prediction site A star is born would be the most likely winner of the best picture at the Oscars, on Roma.
These days, though, not really. On the eve of Sunday's Oscars, Roma is now the favorite, and ASIBChances are 8 to 1. And although often named, ASIB has been overlooked in the main categories (Best Film, Best Actor, Best Actress and Best Director) in most Hollywood shows. Gaga has always won the best original song for "Shallow", but the great performance of the film, once buzzy, has left some fans, including myself, to the loss.
"On paper, A star is born is the ideal Oscar nominee, "Kyle Buchanan, columnist for the awards season The New York TimesCarpetbagger, said Vogue. "This is a critically acclaimed success that also concerns the entertainment business. So why has it been neglected again and again by the major rewards organizations?
Below, an inquiry. Note: This is not – I repeat, do not-An echo of Sean Penn's breathtaking Deadline Hollywood A star is bornIt should be noted that there are more serious problems in the Hollywood ecosystem than Gaga and Cooper who do not win prizes, but who remain rich, famous and promising. (Indeed, like many other award-winning films throughout history, ASIB Racial and ethnic diversity, with the exception of Dave Chappelle and Anthony Ramos, was insufficient.) Rather than the Oscars, consider the following theories as an attempt to close.
A star is born peaked too early. . .
Experienced Oscars fans know that most of the award-winning films are released almost at the time of nomination – usually Christmas Day (or at least about). And even, ASIB fell two and a half months earlier on October 5th. Big mistake. . . huge? "It was as if the information was old by the time the awards season took off," said Paul Sheehan, editor-in-chief at Gold Derby.
. . . which led to Cooper / Gaga fatigue.
"Too much to watch, too much of the song [‘Shallow’]Too much of "Cooper, it's Clint now!", Too much time to sit down with her and start looking elsewhere for something / someone new to support, "said writer / publisher, David Walters. Add to the fact that "it was the fourth version of this story," noted Sheehan, referring to the previous A star is borns, "and he does not feel special enough to be distinguished."
But also: maybe Bradley Cooper has not done enough campaign.
"As a hangman, Cooper has been far away and often late or absent from big events," said Buchanan (see: Cooper's brief interview with the Time in September). "He wanted to let the work speak for itself, but I think that a little bit of fun is going well in Hollywood," said Denise Warner, digital copywriter at Display panel (who identifies as a frequent tweeter on ASIB). "Yes, he did the traditional press tour before the release of the film, but it's not enough for the awards season." Imagine Gaga being tattooed "La Vie en Rose"!
"While other Oscar nominees Best Song are organizing mini concerts in Los Angeles to promote their film, Cooper and Gaga have abstained," added Buchanan. "Would not that do a lot to remind people what magical chemistry they have?" Once admired by the Best Director category at the Oscars, however, Cooper seemed to have changed his mind. "So, what does he do?" He goes out and plays "Shallow" live with Gaga during his residency in Vegas, "said Warner." It's almost as if he's trying to make up for lost time. " Bradley: It's not too late to make Charlie the dog involved.
Bohemian Rhapsody stole his brilliance.
How much space is there for a brilliant musical movie in the Reward Season pack? Apparently, not much. "It's weird to say A star is born Another successful musical drama, but that's what happened, "said Louis Virtel, award-winning scholar and band member Keep it! podcast, says Vogue. Jackson and Ally Maine fictitious were simply not competing for the performance by Rummy Malek of the legendary late Freddie Mercury in Bohemian Rhapsody. "The Cooper movie is better in almost every respect, but you can not underestimate the power of these Queen songs, I suppose," said Buchanan. "As great as" Shallow "may be, it's only been part of the cultural consciousness of pop culture for a few months now, as we've been lulled by Queen's songs for decades."
Glenn Close has been waiting for an Oscar for a long time.
There could be 99 candidates for the best actress in a room, but that will only take one Glenn Close Wife beat Lady Gaga. His contest this year could not be harder for Close, who, outrageously, has never won an Academy Award. The legendary actress "looks like 40 years of screen mastery," Virtel said. "If Glenn Close does something better than his career, you can not vote against that."
Outside the theory: the synthetic color of Orly's hair did not help.
So floated PeopleAndrea Lavinthal, beauty and style director
The conspiracy theory that I even dislike to recognize: A star is born is a target of reverse discrimination.
According to the responses of the conservative account to a Twitter legend on this topic, A star is born is being ignored because of the whiteness of his casting at a time when Hollywood rewards organizations are trying to be more diverse. Take this one with a grain of salt. On the contrary, the academy is still offering candidates to whites and would have been delighted to launch some. A star is bornThe direction, but. . .
That does not quite stand as a heavy hitter of the awards season?
"Sometimes, after a big movie story has become a giant hit, people seem almost shy to have it cracked," Buchanan said. "Remember when people came back to see Titanic again and again, and then a few months later, this has turned into a kind of punchline? (Yes, briskly.) Maybe, just maybe, the emo ASIB fandom just got a little overwhelmed and excited at the exit of the theater and was ill advised to expect him to clear his way through the rewards season? "People remember A star is born as an exciting race more than it does for its excellent performance, "Virtel suggested.
On the plus side, Cooper and Gaga will perform "Shallow" (though Cooper will do it with his own voice – not his gritty Jackson voice – and also without sensual hair) at the Oscars, and A star is born One expects it to win at least one at the Academy because Gaga (with writers, including Mark Ronson), seems to have the best original song in the bag. "Shallow" definitely wins the best original song, "predicted Buchanan," but any other win would be a surprise at this point. "
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