Winners and losers of Machado's $ 300 million deal with Padres



It took 113 days of free time for the freestyle player, but Manny Machado headed to San Diego with the biggest deal ever with a free agent. What does the agreement mean for the new $ 300 million baseball man, the team that signed it and the other interested parties (read: Harper, Bryce)? We asked authors Eddie Matz, David Schoenfield, Bradford Doolittle and Sam Miller of the ESPN Baseball Group to clarify the situation.

Gut reaction: Do you like this offer for the Padres?

Miller: Bowel reaction, yes. The Padres are not likely to be very good this year, but with the best baseball system in the world today, they will likely be in half a dozen years, and players like Manny Machado are not only freely available. when a team decides to switch the switch and the competition. They just got a MVP candidate for the middle of the list and all it cost was money.

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Schoenfield: Absolutely. Over the past four seasons, Machado has averaged 36 homers, 159 games and 5.8 WARs. They gave superstar money to a superstar player, as opposed to superstar type money to Eric Hosmer. Machado becomes the face of the franchise and in mid-season, he will likely team up with rookie Fernando Tatis Jr. to give the Padres one of the best left sides of the majors' infield. For a franchise that has not had a winning season since 2010 or playoffs since 2006, it is finally moving in the right direction.

Matz: What does not love? Manny immediately brings an important bazaar to San Diego.

Doolittle: Absolutely. This gives the entire reconstruction of San Diego a solid foundation. As big as the contracts are, it represents a fair value for what Machado is likely to do in the future. Because of its age and the length of its history, the risk is relatively low for a transaction of this size.

Who is Machado's biggest winner joining the Padres?

Miller: Cleveland. As the White Sox failed to sign with Machado, Cleveland can now be pretty sure that no other team in the division will win even 85 games this year. Terry Francona can start resting his players for the playoffs … now.

Schoenfield: Baseball writers. Something to write apart "Where are Machado and Harper going?" OK, the free agent market is also the winner here, because despite all the crying, Machado got the contract everyone was expecting at the beginning of the agency.

Matz: Machado. Forget the $ 300 million – he's going to live in San Diego! Second runner-up: Bryce Harper. If Machado receives $ 300 million from the Brothers, imagine the check that John "Stupid Money" Middleton will cut to seal the deal for Harper.

Doolittle: Is it devious to say that it's Rob Manfred? In this little verbal fight he had with the media with Tony Clark on Monday, would not that be about what would happen? If the ship is sinking, how did a player get a contract of this type?

Who is the biggest loser of Machado joining the Padres?

Miller: I do not really see a loser. The Padres had a good player, the player had a reasonable contract and the other 29 teams have all the other worries.

Schoenfield: The Phillies. Reports suggest that Machado is the preferred player over Harper. One of them is now off the chart and there is no guarantee that Harper is signing it either.

Matz: Fernando Tatis Jr. And if Manny was better at third base. If he wants to play a short stopover, then Tatis – the second-ranked prospect in the world baseball standings – may fall in the corner.

Doolittle: Ian Kinsler, because now he will be a utility? Sorry, but I do not see a lot of losers in this scenario. There are all the teams that might have wanted Machado (or should have it), but the only one I would call a real loser is the Phillies. But this is the case that they do not end up with Bryce Harper.

Now that Machado is heading to San Diego, who is the favorite to land Bryce Harper?

Miller: Obtaining a normal contract with Machado reassures us that the market is still relatively normal and probably excludes the possibility of a team investing in a short-term or unthinkable contract for Harper. So, the most likely outcome is probably the least surprising: the Phillies.

Schoenfield: Most people will say the Phillies. We will see.

Matz: Phillies.

Doolittle: It must be the Phillies. I thought the White Sox might be able to outperform any Machado offer, but if they beat Philly on Harper, I do not see Jerry Reinsdorf pulling the trigger. Philadelphia just has more reasons to expand.

Manny has received $ 300 million over 10 years. How much do you think more for Bryce Harper?

Miller: Ten and 330 million dollars.

Schoenfield: How desperate are the Phillies? That's what we do not know. I think Machado is the best player – or at least the most consistent. Harper has the biggest potential based on his 2015 season, but the risks are at stake, especially considering his weak defense in 2018. But Scott Boras will likely find a way to extract a few million more than Machado. And then everyone can stop complaining.

Manny Machado will head to the Padres on the richest contract ever signed by a free agent. Here's what you need to do with the $ 300 million contract. Winners and losers

• Doolittle: Why does the agreement make sense

• Right: Machado accelerates Padres

Matz: Harper gets $ 350 million over 10 years, breaking the record for Giancarlo Stanton's largest deal ever – $ 325 million – and Zack Greinke's record $ 34.4 million.

Doolittle: I will say 10 years, 330 million dollars. This represents "only" 3 million more annually than Machado and its total value of 5 million more than that of Giancarlo Stanton. It seems to be the sort of thing that Boras and Harper would like to promote.


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