With Trump starved for credit, councilors boast of North Carolina's victory



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CHARLOTTE, NC – President Trump's top advisers on Wednesday claimed a Republican's victory in a special election in the House of Representatives in North Carolina, even as Democratic and Republican authorities said that the winner of Dan Bishop's victory in a district that Mr. Trump had easily won He only pointed out that widening the gap between urban and rural areas made 2020 difficult for both parties.

Brad Parscale, Trump's campaign manager, said on a conference call that the president's rally on Monday night in Fayetteville, North Carolina, was critical to Bishop's success in boosting voters on polling day after the Democrats mobilized a large number of their supporters to organize the advance polls. .

"There is no doubt that he was elected a member of Congress this morning thanks to President Trump's personal efforts," Parscale said of Bishop.

Mr. Parscale's victory was achieved on behalf of a president who privately muttered several people. helps Tuesday that he did not receive the credit he deserved for winning a Republican victory in the special election under close surveillance.

And it caused nervousness for Democrats, who thought their candidate, Dan McCready, a Navy veteran, could win a victory in a district where Trump won 12 percentage points in 2016. Bill Stepien , one of Mr. Trump's members The key political advisors sarcastically congratulated the Democrats on their "moral victory" before declaring that his party would happily win the "real victory".

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Yet this was in fact the last contest of the 2018 elections – state officials ordered the resumption of the race after the Republicans discovered that they had funded an illegal vote-collecting scheme in a county. rural – was particularly revealing of the demonstration that the demographic divisions that had shaped the country. quarters are growing.

Bishop, who did not appear on the ballot in 2018, won the victory largely because he had improved Republican performances in the less populated parts of Fayetteville's vast Charlotte district. And Mr. McCready, a Democratic nominee in 2018 and a candidate for the special election, got better results in Charlotte's upscale suburbs Tuesday than in November when he had lost by a margin overall larger.

"The national scheme seems to be played," said Michael Bitzer, professor of political science at Catawba College in Salisbury, North Carolina, adding that the county counted Charlotte: "I think the collapse of Republicans in Mecklenburg continues. "

These seemingly inexorable tendencies – red becoming increasingly red as blue becomes increasingly blue – underline how difficult it will be for Republicans to recover the kind of metropolitan seats they need to regain the majority in the House next year. But the same pattern also illustrates why it will be difficult for Democrats to resume the Senate in 2020 without improving their performance with rural voters.

For Mr. Trump, the results obtained in North Carolina prove that he enjoys strong support with his white-collar constituency of the working class, but that such dedication does not may not be enough to win a second term if he can not improve his status. with commuters, especially women.

Even though he and his high command were discussing their success on Wednesday, their glow the next morning was shocked by a new national poll ABC News / Washington Post. The poll showed that Trump had low approval ratings and that if the election were held today, he would lose a handful of his potential Democratic rivals. Most striking was the heat of the test between the president and Joseph R. Biden Jr: Mr. Biden led Mr. Trump from 55 to 40 percent of registered voters, according to the survey.

But what the Democrats are finally going to name is far from settled, and whether they will rally behind a candidate who appeals to moderate voters or to another left that can motivate progressives in a way that Hillary Clinton does not. did not manage to do in 2016.

Many senior party officials are worried about what many Republicans are counting on: the fact that Democrats are running a candidate that Mr. Trump may call out of the political mainstream.

If that happens, some states may repeat what happened on Tuesday in and around Lumberton, east of the district.

McCready won the next county, Robeson, by more than 15 percentage points in 2018 against Mark Harris, his previous Republican opponent. On Tuesday, McCready won the county just 1.1%.

Phillip M. Stephens, president of the Robeson County Republican Party, said the county remains a Democratic majority but also a very conservative one. "Robeson County is one of the last Blue Dog Democrats on the planet," he said.

Sir. Stephens said he believed Bishop had outperformed Harris in the county because of his incessant and targeted message reminding voters that McCready was supporting the right to abortion and was aligned with a party that was in favor of abortion. was too far from the left.

"It does not work well with these non-affiliates and conservative Democrats," Stephens said. "It works very well within the Democratic Party, but not with Robeson County."

Richard Fausset reported from Charlotte, Jonathan Martin and Maggie Haberman from Washington.

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