Clearly, the big story of the day in New Jersey is this fierce wind, which has been screaming constantly since Sunday night. Did it wake you up? Have you experienced a momentary (or long-term) power stroke? Can your garbage run away? The impacts range from a nuisance (due to power outages) to an obstacle (when driving) to a real danger (with the fall of branches and trees).
At the time of writing, the maximum wind gust in New Jersey during the night was 57 mph at Fortescue (Cumberland County), Township of Lower Alloways Creek (Salem County) and Pittstown (Hunderdon County).
Sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph with steady gusts of 40 to 60 mph will continue for most of the time. On Monday. A Strong wind warning is in effect for all 21 counties of New Jersey until 6 pm. It is a westerly wind. It can be difficult to drive on the north-south highways (where the wind is strong), especially if you are in a "high-profile vehicle" such as a van or truck. Be wary of twigs, sticks, branches and fallen trees. Scattered power outages are also likely.
In addition, a few flurries blew in the northern third of New Jersey for this reason. Monday morning – along and north of Interstate 78. As these snowflakes fade around 10 am, the rest of the day will be mostly covered by sunny skies. Temperatures will settle in the lower 40s approximately Monday afternoon. The wind chill ("feels like" temperature) will be stuck in the 20's all day.
The winds will finally relax a little Monday evening – definitely less gusty than the rest of the day, but not completely calm. A clear sky will accompany the cold temperatures during the night. Downs dive into the top 20. I calculate that the wind chill will fall to about 10 degrees.
call Tuesday just windy, with sustained winds of 10 to 20 mph. Still a lot of sun and always quite fresh. The highs will only reach the top 30 degrees, at around 40 – 5 to 10 degrees below seasonal norms.
Wednesday also seems cold, with peaks limited to mid-thirties. The sky will become very cloudy very early. In addition, our next storm system will be visible Wednesday evening through early thursday. We've been watching this setup for about a week, but it's do not no sign of great concern. Scattered showers will cross New Jersey. And it could be cold enough for a little winter mix. So, there could be some slippery isolated spots. That's all.
Partial compensation is expected from here Thursday noon, as we begin to warm up. Peaks will reach 40 to over 40 years.
More than 40 years should start in March the Friday, with 50 years spread for Saturday. But again, the heat comes with moisture. It looks like a lot of rain will affect New Jersey from Friday afternoon during at least part of Saturday. I've already seen some typical solutions suggesting that there might be some snow in front and / or at the back of this system. I do not worry at all about the potential for accumulation.
Behind this storm system, a strong wind will blow Saturday afternoon. This wind will bring down temperatures towards Sunday. High temperatures will come down again in the 30s.
In the long term, the reinforcement of cold air next weekend will be an important factor in our weather forecast for early March. The model's guidance showed a consistent signal to a larger storm track (for example, a coastal storm or a northwesterly trajectory) during March 6-7. Even if "climatological winter" ends this week, we still have a window of 3-4 weeks in which a big snow will always be possible. Stay tuned.
Dan Zarrow is chief meteorologist at Townsquare Media New Jersey. Follow on Facebook or Twitter for the latest weather forecasts and updates in real time.