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Democrats must decide if they want to reconquer the White House or marvel at the fiction of far-right populism.
If they want the previous result, they should nominate Joe Biden as presidential candidate for 2020. It is feared that many media will appear that the former vice president and senator will announce his candidacy next week.
Democrats have three specific reasons for choosing Biden.
First, Biden is a center-left, not a leftist. Biden does not make fun of capitalism, does not value hard work, works with Republicans and does not risk the financial ruin of America under the banner of absurd ideologies or Green spending programs New Deal. This is the cautious vote that will not tip the boat.
Democrats are deluding themselves if they think that America is ready for the declared socialism of the Republic. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y. Ignoring public opinion polls queuing to support the AOC's policy proposals and Senator Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., "Medicare for All" and free schooling plans, the candidates for Democracy 2020 will give President Trump the ammunition he needs to destroy them. After all, Trump's 2020 strategy will focus on matching his base with moderate suburban and working class voters who may not like him, but who love his booming economy and see President as a safe pair of hands.
Yes, Trump's erratic behavior is a fetish for the media. But for most Americans, Trump is not that bad, beyond the tweets. He has been rid of his connivance with Russia, he has not burst in the world and his economy is posting a record number of jobs and reliable growth. For most Americans, these concerns count for much more than the President's penchant for arrogance and chaos.
In turn, if the Democrats nominate a candidate who seeks tens of billions of dollars in new spending over 10 years, new tax increases and a deference to the problems that most people do not like to be crucial in their lives, such as the politics of identity. they risk undecided voters to regard Trump as the lesser of two evils. These voters may have to refrain from voting for Trump, but they will see him less risky than socialist adventurism.
Secondly, Biden can challenge Trump on his most powerful territory. Anyone who defies Trump must be able to rediscover the hearts and minds of the voters Trump has taken to state democrats like Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania. It means a candidate who can talk about the fears and aspirations of working-class voters. That means that a candidate who can explain why searching for safe borders is not racist, but also why Trump's infamous rhetoric about immigration does not speak of a better nature. US. Biden is made for that.
It also means that identity politics should be avoided. Voters want a better life for their families and a president who gets them rather than they want them. That's how Trump, despite all his faults, defeated Hillary Clinton.
The Democratic candidate must therefore also be able to take Trump to the test according to his own bullish conditions. If the Democrats choose an unconvinced senator, like Senator Elizabeth Warren, of the D-Mass., Who feels uncomfortably facing the harsh cycle of a Trump-led election cycle, they will not succeed. to attract the voters who abandoned them in favor of Trump.
Third, Biden has extensive campaign experience, significant fundraising potential and could unify the party. Biden knows what to expect from a presidential campaign, he knows how to attract major donors and organizers – a particularly important concern at the local level – and his past as vice president of President Barack Obama allows him to unify the party.
The fundamental point here is that Biden can enter the running for the general election. We can certainly expect a good number of blunders from Biden, but he will not let Trump master the narrative, as Clinton did in 2016. Yes, some Democrats will lament a candidate who does not want to do so. is neither a minority nor a woman, because identity politics is in motion. strong in the Democratic base, but Biden's loyalty to the country's first black president will cover him. Democrats must also remember that, to win in 2020, their base must also include the union members they lost in 2016. Having a "Bernie bros" base and millennia with a socialist spirit may seem clever, but their number is small at the national level and can not give 270 votes of the electoral college.
In simple terms, Biden's strange penchant for sniffing women's hair, he is by far the best-placed Democrat to defeat Donald Trump.
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