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President Emmerson Mnangagwa only has a short lead over opposition leader Nelson Chamisa ahead of the July 30 parliamentary elections in Zimbabwe, according to a poll released Friday.
The Afrobarometer poll placed Mnangagwa at 40% and Chamisa at 37%. There was now a "reasonable chance" that the opposition champion could win after a surge in popularity.
The advantage of Mnangagwa is reduced by 11 points in early May to 3 percentage points.
The poll found that the 2,400 people surveyed expressed concern about litigation or military intervention, the poll said.
Last year, after the generals took power, the former ally Mnangagwa was overthrown in power.
Incorrect election results
red by fraud, intimidation and violence during the 37 years of Mugabe's reign, and the accuracy of polls in the country is uncertain .
The election opposes Mnangagwa, from the ruling Zanu-PF party, to Chamisa's opposition party MDC. 19659002] "The MDC is expected to obtain about two-thirds of the undeclared votes in order to obtain a first-round victory in the presidential election," said Afrobarometer.
"In our opinion, this perspective is in the realm of reasonableness"
He added that most Zimbabweans still thought Mnangagwa would come out victorious.
More than four out of ten people feared that incorrect results would be announced that the armed forces would not respect the result or that
The election campaign was more open and less violent than under Mugabe, according to interviewees.
A second round vote is scheduled on September 8 if no candidate does not win at least 50% of the votes the first round
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