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- The National Hurricane Center has highlighted two possible areas of tropical development.
- A tropical wave in the east of the Atlantic has the best chance of development in the next five days.
- A region in the Gulf of Mexico is unlikely to develop in the tropics.
All eyes are on Hurricane Dorian, but the National Hurricane Center is also monitoring the possibility of a tropical development.
This is not a surprise because typically the busiest part of the Atlantic hurricane season is from late August to September.
The next named system will be Fernand.
East Atlantic
One of these areas is off the coast of Africa, in the far east of the Atlantic Ocean, area closely watched at this time of year.
(MORE: The role of Africa in the hurricane season of the Atlantic)
This tropical wave near the Cape Verde Islands produces a vast area of showers. The conditions should be favorable to the tropical development of this system.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has given this area an average chance of development in the next five days and a tropical depression could form next week as it crosses the tropical East Atlantic.
Supervised area for potential tropical development
(The potential area of tropical development according to the latest perspectives of the National Hurricane Center is represented by polygons, coded by a color indicating the chances of development over the next five days. "X" indicates the location of 39, a disturbance in progress.)
Heavy rainfall is possible over parts of the southern Cabo Verde Island over the next few days, as this tropical wave moves into the area.
At the present time, computer models suggest that this system will turn more towards the northwest and will probably remain above the open waters of the Atlantic during the coming week.
Zone in the Gulf of Mexico
The other area highlighted by the NHC concerns the southern Gulf of Mexico.
A wide area of low pressure produces showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible as it moves slowly west through the southern Gulf of Mexico.
NHC has given this area a low chance of tropical development over the next five days.
Supervised area for potential tropical development
(The potential area of tropical development according to the latest perspectives of the National Hurricane Center is represented by polygons, coded by a color indicating the chances of development over the next five days. "X" indicates the location of 39, a disturbance in progress.)
This system will probably follow to Mexico, where better precipitation is possible next week.
The main journalistic mission of the Weather Company is to report on weather, the environment and the importance of science in our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.
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