Danger for Bill Shorten in Longman, Braddon

Party preferences should be an important factor in deciding who wins the seat. The Liberal Party hopes that One Nation's preferences will override the line, but Ms. Hanson is too tired to use her star power to help secure the siege.

A candidate from a nation in Longman, Matthew Stephen said Ms. Hanson was "exhausted and needed some R & R."

"There is a great year to come, which will include a general election, and she wants to recharge in the next few weeks and come back bigger and stronger," The Australian .

Opposition leader Bill Shorten faces a test of his leadership this weekend while Labor badesses the possibility of a historic defeat in two by-elections

. tight in both seats o Braddon and Longman before the vote dubbed Super Saturday

While Labor is on track to occupy the Perth and Freemantle seats in Western Australia, it struggles to keep its grip on two others.

The opposition seat was lost for the first time in a 100-year by-election.

In Another Stroke to Mr. Shorten, a YouGov Galaxy Poll Published by NewsCorp Monday If Anthony Albanese was the party leader, he would be in a winning position at Longman and Braddon.

Andrew Leigh, Vanguard, downplayed the prospect of a leadership challenge: "Bill has been remarkably successful over the past five years. the Labor team, setting up positive policies – it will lead us to the next elections and it will be the next prime minister, "said Mr. Leigh at Sky News Monday. Peter van Onselen University, of the University of Western Australia and Griffith University, told news.com.au that Mr Shorten's leadership would be put to the test if Labor lost one or two seats

"Frankly, Professor van Onselen said that despite the uncertain results, he expected Labor to retain both seats

" In general in by-elections, voters to punish the incumbents – those in the government – and that's why I think it would be important if the Labor Party lost one or two seats, "he said.

Even if there was a loss, Professor van Onselen M. Shorten would survive t all the leadership tensions and lead the Labor Party to the next elections.

"Bill Shorten is very good at the internal workings of the Labor Party and that might surprise him Anthony Albanese – and that could see him survive."

M. S horten acknowledged that the Longman siege in Queensland would be the hardest of five fights on Saturday.

"This is not how you start, that's how you end up," said Mr. Shorten after taking part in a local race on Sunday. 19659003] Up to here, the Labor Party is trying to seduce voters with its policies on energy prices and hospitals. Mr Shorten said that investing more in health and education, while continuing to support retirees facing higher electricity bills, were higher priorities than one. tax reduction of the big banks.

Workers pledge to spend $ 1.4 billion years to keep up the energy supplement for retirees and welfare recipients. Bills submitted to the federal Parliament will drop the supplement for new recipients of pensions or allowances. If approved, this will mean a reduction of $ 14.10 per fortnight for single retirees (approximately $ 365 per year).

But Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull said it was better to adopt policies aimed at lowering the price of electricity.

"He admits that he failed even before he started, he is a quitter," said Turnbull

The Liberal Party is also focusing on its message of tax cuts , of stronger economic growth and job creation, continues to portray Mr. Shorten as "anti-business."

Mr. Turnbull stated that the reduction in corporate income tax allowed employers to invest in their businesses and hire more people.

shows that the opposition currently leads the coalition from 51 to 49% on the basis of two parties, as against 53 to 47 % a month ago

Mr. Turnbull also increased his popularity on Mr. Shorten, with 57% of voters designating him as the preferred prime minister, compared to just 30 percent for the Labor leader.

LONGMAN

One of the most hotly contested seats is Lo ngman in Queensland, the job is close to losing In a historic defeat,

Susan Lamb, worker, was elected in the 2016 elections by Wyatt Roy, a former member of the LNP, with only 1390 votes, and she was bad to hang on

. was awarded to Pauline Hanson's One Nation as the party recommended voters prefer work in the seat. However, in the by-elections on Saturday, Liberal candidate Trevor Ruthenberg will prefer the Liberal candidate

. The YouGov Galaxy poll released by NewsCorp on Monday now shows that "Big Trev" is leading 51-49%. believe that the result is so tight that the winner may not be known Saturday night.

The positive poll comes after a week of controversy for Mr. Ruthenberg. On Tuesday the Mail Mail revealed that he had not received an Australian Defense Medal, a Military Medal for Peacekeeping Abroad, but the Service Medal Australian for his four years of service with the RAAF

Ruthenberg described it as an "honest mistake" and apologized for the mistake. More than 40% of those polled in a ReachTEL poll for The Sunday Mail said they believed it.

With a poll so close, it seems likely that One Nation's preferences will play a crucial role in the decision

But party leader Pauline Hanson withdrew from the campaign in Longman at the time. Approaching the by-election, candidate Matthew Stephen saying that she is "exhausted and in need of some R & R".

"There is a big one next year, which will include a general election, and she wants to get back on her feet in the next few weeks and come back bigger and stronger," he said to The Australian

Mrs. Lamb, formerly the union organizer was forced to reclaim the siege after she emerged, she did not give up her British citizenship properly.

She said that she did not provide her parents' marriage certificate as required because she was separated from her mother and her father was dead. She was finally allowed to give up her British citizenship without providing the certificate.

BRADDON

Another crucial seat to watch is the Braddon headquarters in Tasmania.

Polling stations Justine Keay is ahead of Brett Whiteley of liberals at headquarters, thanks to her preferences

Ms. Keay only has 34.3% of the primary vote (versus 40.7% for M Whiteley) but she holds 52% of the bipartite preference vote, according to a ReachTEL poll commissioned by the Australian Forest Products Association

More than two-thirds of voters in the region said they would prefer Labor to above the Liberals.

Workers should benefit from Greens Jarrod preferences. Edwards, who holds 6.7 percent of the primary and controversial independent vote Craig Garland who is 8.9 percent of voters.

million. Garland is a local squid fisherman who fights for better protection of state fisheries and is opp osed to large salmon farmers Huon, Petuna and Tbadal. He emerged as a potential kingmaker after winning more votes than the Greens or the Jacqui Lambie Network in the March elections.

His popularity seems to have scared the Liberal Party and he tried to discredit Mr. Garland, pointing out his badault conviction against a policewoman in 1993.

M. Garland pleaded guilty to badault after getting involved in a fight in Geelong. He said that he was trying to help a friend who was being sued and pushed a woman, who later discovered that it was an off duty police officer, who which led him to break his wrist. He said that she was pulling her dreadlocks.

The 54-year-old man will direct preferences to the Shooters and Fishers party, then to the Greens and then the Labor.

The work has made fishing the subject of recent campaigns. to ban super trawlers from the small pelagic fishery in Tasmania and promise to spend $ 750,000 for scientific studies in the Tasmanian oceans.

He also focuses on health, promising to fund 306 additional surgeries at North West Regional Health, Burnie and 258 at Mersey Community Hospital, Devonport

Meanwhile, the Prime Minister said Mr. Whiteley would able to deliver to the region as a government deputy

"He will go there as a member of the government, and mean that he can deliver," said Turnbull. "That's the $ 60 million invested in the Lower Highway, which with $ 40 million (with the Tasmanian government), make $ 100 million – $ 10 million moreover in the Murchison Highway. "

Mr. Turnbull announced the award of $ 450,000 for the vocational training of 150 electors.

The future of the forest industries should also be a key issue in everyday life 70% of voters surveyed by ReachTEL suggest that they would more likely support a party or candidate "with policies that support forest industries in northwestern Tasmania"

MAYO

It is difficult to control the siege of South Australia Mayo away from the Rebekah Sharkie Alliance Center, which has secured the Liberals 'electorate for the' s. Nick Xenophon team in 2016.

A YouGov / Galaxy poll released by NewsCorp on Monday showed Mrs. Sharkie leading to the first preferences of 47 to 35%. After the preferences, the poll predicted that Sharkie would earn 59% to 41%.

Liberal candidate Georgina Downer is the daughter of former politician Alexander Downer, who held this siege for 24 years, and was supported by an impressive party heavyweight roll [19659003] In recent weeks, Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull, former Premier John Howard, as well as Julie Bishop, Michaelia Cash, Simon Birmingham, Michael McCormack, Greg Hunt and Kelly O. Dwyer have been among the visitors.

"It's an expression of confidence – if they thought she was a hopeless candidate, they would not come," he said. "Good candidates attract top supporters."

But others suggest that attention might be a sign that the seat is at stake.

Ms. Downer, 38, grew up in the Adelaide Hills before moving to study at University of Melbourne . Since then, the lawyer and former diplomat has lived in the United Kingdom, Japan, Canberra and, unlike reports, has spent time in Mayo.

If she is elected, she will become the fourth generation of her family. But she has a formidable challenge in front of her.

Ms. Sharkie won the 2016 election against former Liberal candidate Jamie Briggs with a two-party preferential vote of 54.97%. She got 34% of the primary vote, compared to 37% for Briggs.

Ms. Sharkie believes that her independent status brings benefits to voters and says Mayo attracts the attention of a marginal siege in the hands of a crusader.

But Mrs. Downer rejects the fact that Mayo was ignored under liberal rule, indicating funding for the Heysen Tunnels, which were delivered in 2000.

"If you have someone from the government party who is in your place, you have such an ability to deal with the problems that concern your electorate in the hall of the hall, "she said.

PERTH

There is less controversy around two Western Australia Liberal Party is not a candidate in Perth or Fremantle, and Labor Party Patrick Gorman is expected to comfortably retain the Perth siege

is targetin The liberal political parties in Perth say the conservatives are "very dissatisfied" The Labor Party is the only major player in the race

The Party of Western Australia, led by Julie Matheson, city councilor of Subiaco, meadow He says that the issue has not been neutralized by the federal government's recent promise to revise.

"They (the Conservatives) are very happy that they have chosen the party of Western Australia in this by-election," Ms. Matheson said.

Only 2754 pre-election votes were cast in Perth on the first eight days of voting and only 2397 in Fremantle, compared to 12,800 in Queensland, Longman's seat.

Professor van Onselen said that elections have traditionally had a lower voter turnout than general elections. However, there were other factors at play.

"Liberals who do not run (in Perth and Fremantle) may well lead some Conservative voters not to show up, or at least not be enough stimulated to stand for early elections. He said he did not expect the below-normal turnout to have an impact on the results of the July 28 by-election in Washington.

"The Greens will not win Fremantle and Perth is a" layere "(misery) for the Labor Party," he said.

FREMANTLE

Josh Wilson won this seat of the job with 57.52% of the two-party preferential vote 2016.

The former Fremantle advisor and l & # 39; Deputy mayor had to resign from his seat after it appeared that he had not given up his British citizenship. Mr. Wilson asked to waive his citizenship prior to the election, but it only came into effect nine days after the nomination deadline.

The Liberal Party does not stand as a candidate in the electorate to win the seat.