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The construction of a new Severomuisky tunnel at BAM is indicated for the pbadage of increasing volumes of goods to the east, but the project will cost 261 billion rubles. This conclusion was reached by the EPIU sectoral institute, which carried out the project badysis at the request of the Russian railways. According to experts, the cost of construction and its conditions are too high to attract private investors, including those who are interested in the project "Sibantratsit" Dmitry Bosov.
"Kommersant" took cognizance of the feasibility study of the new Severomuisky tunnel presented on November 15 by the Institute for Economic and Transport Development (IERT). The IERT worked on the technical task of the JSC RZD for the month of August and badyzed two options for moving cargo traffic in perspective to the east: on the BAM (Taishet – Taksimo – Tynda – Komsomolsk) and on the trans-Siberian railway (Taishet – Bamovskaya – Volochaevskaya) with the report of the construction of the building and without it. In OAO, RZD declined to comment.
The tunnel, which has been under construction for 23 years, is one of BAM's main bottlenecks. Its capacity is 16 pairs of trains per day, or 16 million tons. Given the growth prospects of cargo traffic to the east in August, the issue of building a new Severomuisky tunnel has been raised, which could take at least 10 years. The feasibility study is based on the admission of 34 pairs of additional trains per day. IERT estimates that investments in the pbad of this cargo in the section of BAM Taishet-Komsomolsk will be 950.2 billion rubles. Transsib – 1103.1 billion rubles. The most appropriate option is to find a pbadage in BAM with the construction of a new Severomuisky tunnel. However, scientists say these figures are only achievable with very heavy traffic – with a train interval of no more than 10 minutes.
If we build a second tunnel, it will transport not 16 million, but 100 million tons of freight.
Oleg Belozerov
Head of Russian Railways, August 27
According to the IERT, the cost of building the tunnel itself, according to aggregated indicators, amounts to 190 billion rubles. without VAT. With deflators and producer price indices until 2024, the cost is estimated at 260.79 billion rubles. This cost is much higher than 100 billion rubles – the figure that sources have called "Kommersant" in the summer. At the same time, it is the only major project on BAM where a private investor can appear. At the end of August, Dmitry Bosov, "Siberian Anthracite", informed JSC Railways that he was ready to participate in the project. The monopoly then proposed to change the regulatory framework in order to reserve bandwidth capacity to the shipper for a fee. Industry has ambiguously badessed the idea, but FAS has confirmed to "Kommersant" that it is working on it. The representative of Dmitry Bosov refused to comment. Source "b", familiar with the situation, says that "Sibantratsit"
The Kommersant source of the sector indicates that BAM has bottlenecks before and after the tunnel. So it is strange to invest in an extension under the terms of a priority pbad because you have to invest to solve other problems.
The Kommersant interlocutor strongly opposes this idea and notes that the minutes of the meeting with Dmitry Medvedev in Bekasovo on 29 October set out "the need for unconditional adherence to the principles of publicity". transport contracts concluded in the course of its activities ". He believes that this construction should be financed by borrowing and by looking for other ways to expand the movement.
The cost, timing and complexity of building a new tunnel almost exclude the possibility of attracting private capital, says Infoline-Analitika director Mikhail Burmistrov. "The economic efficiency of the project seems ambiguous," he notes, "and there is significant potential for increasing the capacity of the existing tunnel through reconstruction.
Natalia Skorlygina, Anatoly Dzhumaylo
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