Plan your holidays in winter. What will happen to holiday prices in 2019?



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Source: Reuters

Where are the Russians going?

According to tour operator Biblio-Globus, in summer, the most popular holiday destinations among compatriots are Russia, Cyprus, Turkey, Greece, Tunisia, Bulgaria, Montenegro, Italy, the United States, Spain and the Czech Republic. In winter, citizens prefer to travel to Russia (48% of the total number of trips sold), as well as in Thailand (16.8%) and India (9.4%). Other popular countries for wintering are the United Arab Emirates, the Czech Republic, Cyprus, the Dominican Republic, Turkey, Andorra and Bulgaria.

"During the winter season and especially on holidays, Russian destinations are attracting increasing interest.

The demand for early booking in winter at Russian resorts exceeds last year's figures by 11.6%.

Among the Russian destinations, the most popular tours in Sochi, especially in the seaside resorts of Krasnaya Polyana, have significantly increased the demand for a holiday in Crimea this year, "said AiF.ru Press service operator.

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According to Natalia Anisimova, head of public relations at Tutu.ru, interest in leisure in Europe is declining. Evidenced by the dynamics of demand for airline tickets for New Year holidays, down 9% from the previous year. This is due to the decline in the income level of the population and the devaluation of the ruble.

At the same time, the fastest growing destinations among our travelers are: Yerevan and Istanbul, whose popularity has increased by almost 50%. "Istanbul has seen phenomenal growth for the year: from 18th to 11th place. There are already prerequisites for flights to Istanbul to be already in the top 10 in 2018.

At the same time, Yerevan ranks second after Chisinau. And, perhaps, in 2019, it will become the most popular destination (Chisinau is losing its popularity). Moreover, judging by emerging trends, cities like Baku and Tashkent will remain popular next year, "Anisimova told AiF.ru.

By train and plane

The cost of air travel is influenced by a variety of factors. It is the price of fuel, taxes, availability (or lack thereof) of benefits for airlines, season, inflation, the situation economic, competition between carriers, demand. All will affect ticket prices in 2019.

As Anisimov notes, for several consecutive years, flights become more expensive by 5%. If there is no serious shock, at the end of next year, plane tickets will become more and more expensive.

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"This year, the price of kerosene in the aviation industry has risen sharply, forcing airlines to increase royalties, and sometimes even several times, which confirms the significant impact of the fuel market situation on aviation. the economy of air transport.

We studied the cost of plane tickets for the flight round trip inland for January-November 2017 and 2018. If the average fare for this period increases by only 2.2%, the average amount of fees included in the ticket price (it is the cost of fuel and maintenance at the airport) – 13.5%. And it's mostly the royalties that have contributed the most to the rise in the price of pbadenger flights in 2018. In the case of an increase in the price of jet fuel, this trend could continue in 2019, "predicts Leonid Ryaboshtan, Director of OneTwoTrip Aviation Branch.

Strong currency fluctuations in April and August added 6 to 7% to the cost of airline tickets.

If in 2019 the dollar and the euro do not go up against the ruble, current prices may persist on foreign destinations, the expert does not rule out.

"Most likely, train tickets are expecting a slight increase in prices, which will be due to higher fuel prices and higher taxes. According to our data, the average ticket prices are relatively stable: fluctuations of the order of 5 to 6%. By the end of 2018, average prices had dropped by about 6.5%. In 2017, prices decreased by 3.7%. In 2016, they increased by 5.7%. In 2015, they grew by 5.4%, "says Anisimova.

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What is the cheapest?

And the main question is what could become cheaper next year. First of all, the price will be reduced to these indications where goes loukosterov and high speed train sitting, confident questioned AiF.ru experts.

"In 2019, low-cost airlines will continue to influence lower ticket prices in some regions. On routes served by low-cost airlines, the price can be reduced by 10-15%. For example, the launch of low-cost flights to Tbilisi from Yekaterinburg, Kazan and Perm has increased the growth of demand for this destination. In addition, after that, Tbilisi has entered the top 3 most popular destinations for the New Year holidays with departures from these cities, although the capital of Georgia has previously closed or n? did not even participate, "says Ryaboshtan.

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