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Former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass. Continue to dominate the presidency at the Democratic 2020 after last week's debate – in a race for nomination that stands out according to ideological and racial criteria, according to a national newspaper NBC News / A Wall Street Journal poll has was released Tuesday.
The survey also shows that Warren has the advantage of being enthusiastic and getting the most support possible.
Biden is at the top of the rankings with 31% of voters in the Democratic primary (+ 5 points since July), while Warren gets 25% (+6 points).
They are followed by Senators Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., At 14% (up 1 point), South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, 7% (unchanged) and Senator Kamala Harris, D-Calif. , AT 5%. (down 8 points).
The entrepreneur Andrew Yang receives the support of 4% of the Democratic primary voters, while Sens. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn. And Cory Booker, D-NJ, both get 2%.
No other Democratic presidential candidate received more than 1 percent support in the September 13-16 poll – immediately after Thursday's debate in Houston.
Thus, despite all the debates and campaigns, the candidates who have gained ground since July were the first three of Biden, Warren and Sanders, said Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducted the poll with the pollster Peter Hart and his cabinet.
"The race is stronger for leaders than it was in July," McInturff said.
It is important to note, however, that only 9% of Democratic respondents say they definitely have their opinion.
As a result, these figures could very well change by the beginning of the Iowa and New Hampshire nomination competitions.
"What we see in September is not what we see in December," said Hart, the Democratic pollster. "There will be a change."
Ideology, race defines the democratic race
Ideology, race and age still define the democratic heroic race, with Biden leading among the moderate, African-Americans and older Democratic primary voters, while Warren outdoes liberal and white Democrats .
Fifty-six percent of Democratic primary voters participating in the NBC / WSJ poll prefer a candidate who proposes larger-scale policies on health care, climate change and the economy that are more expensive and may be more difficult to achieve. adopt – while making bigger changes.
Warren receives support from 32% of these Democrats, Biden by 21% and Sanders by 19%.
By contrast, 40% of the Democratic primary voters want a candidate who proposes smaller-scale policies that would cost less and could be easier to adopt.
Biden dominates these voters, with 43% against 17% for Warren, Harris with 9% and Buttigieg with 8%.
In another question, 78 percent of Democratic primary voters are satisfied that Barack Obama's presidency has done everything possible to solve the problems facing the country.
Biden leads Warren among those voters, 33% to 25%, with Sanders 13%.
But 20% of Democratic voters say they are not happy with Obama's presidency, and Warren leads Biden here, 27% to 19%, with Sanders at 18%.
Ninety percent of voters in the Democratic primary poll have a favorable opinion of Obama, against only 4% who consider it negatively.
Warren has the advantage in the enthusiasm
While Warren trails little behind Biden in the Democratic race, she holds the advantage in enthusiasm.
Thirty-five percent of Democratic primary voters say they are "excited" about Warren (up 9 points since June), 35% are "comfortable" with her and only 6% are "Very badly at ease".
This is compared to 23% who are enthusiastic about Biden, 41% who are comfortable and 13% who are very uncomfortable – essentially unchanged since June.
Bernie Sanders is 25% enthusiastic, 37% comfortable and 12% very uncomfortable.
Warren also earns the second most important support in the horse race, with 21% of voters in the Democratic primary choosing him as a second choice – followed by Sanders (16%), Buttigieg (12%) and Biden (11%).
The NBC / WSJ poll ran from September 13 to 16 on 506 Democratic primary voters – more than half of whom were contacted by cell phone – and has an additional margin of error or less than 4.4 percentage points.
The rest of the NBC / WSJ survey will be released at a later date.
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