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Former Vice President Joe Biden may have crossed the Electoral College threshold to win the 2020 presidential race – but he did so amid a demographic shift that failed to deliver the crushing victory hoped for by Democrats.
Hispanic voters, in particular, have increasingly broken with President Donald Trump, according to preliminary data from Fox News voter analysis. The national survey of more than 100,000 voters was conducted for Fox News by the University of Chicago’s NORC, an independent, non-partisan research center.
FOX NEWS Voter Analysis: BIDEN’S PATH TO THE PRESIDENCY
President-elect Joe Biden answers a question from a reporter at the Queen Theater, Nov. 10, in Wilmington, Del. (AP Photo / Carolyn Kaster)
As the votes were counted, it became apparent that Biden was underperforming former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s margins in heavily Hispanic neighborhoods in Florida, which President Trump won.
Nationally, Biden garnered the support of 63% of voters who identify as Hispanic or Latino, according to the survey, compared to Clinton’s 66% in 2016 (according to voter data validated by the Pew Research Center) . At the same time, Trump has grown to 35% of the Hispanic vote, down from 28% four years ago.
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But in the Sunshine State, home to many Cuban Americans and Venezuelans who have a low opinion of socialist governments, only 54% backed Biden.
And Cuban Americans preferred Trump over Biden 51% to 47%, according to the survey.
The shortcomings prompted New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to note that Democrats have been aware of their vulnerabilities among Latinos “for a very long time.”
U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, DN.Y., speaks to her staff and volunteers who helped get the vote out and with her campaign, Nov. 3, outside her office in the Bronx neighborhood of New York City. (AP Photo / Kathy Willens)
The New York Post editorial board lambasted her on the tweet, writing, “So she diagnoses the problem – does she realize she is the cause?”
But Trump’s rise among Hispanics was more than offset by Biden’s slight gain in support among white voters. Trump beat Biden among white voters by 12 points – down from his 15-point advantage in 2016.
And although white evangelical Christians largely supported the president (81%), he also had an advantage among other Christian voters: among Protestants and Christians of other denominations, 59% supported Trump’s re-election versus 39%. who were in favor of Biden.
The former vice-president also failed to attract the majority of his fellow Catholics.
Some 49% of Catholics supported the former vice president, who is himself Catholic, compared to 44% for Clinton. President Trump, a longtime Presbyterian who said at the end of last month that he now considers himself a non-denominational Christian, garnered 50% of support from Catholic voters, up from 52% in 2016.
And Biden, who would only become the second American Catholic president after John F. Kennedy, lost among white Catholics by a margin of 15 points. However, this is better than Clinton’s 33-point deficit among white Catholics four years ago.
President Trump also appears to have made slight gains among rural voters, 60% of whom said they voted for re-election. Trump won 59% of the rural vote in 2016.
In some areas, Biden has made gains over Clinton’s performance – most notably among white voters, the elderly, and suburban women.
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Fifty-nine percent of suburban women backed Biden compared to Clinton’s 52% in 2016. Biden also won 48% of voters aged 65 and over, improving Clinton’s 44%. And 43% of white voters backed Biden, compared to 39% for Clinton.
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