10 things to watch for mid-term elections in the United States

WASHINGTON – Democrats will try to win back at least one House of Congress. Republicans will try to keep their lives dear.

The United States holds its mid-term elections on Tuesday. Democrats, backed by the intensity of opposition to President Donald Trump among minorities and educated white women, are favored to regain control of the House of Representatives. Republicans are favored to keep control of the Senate, where they have the opportunity to add seats in conservative states.

Here are 10 things to watch for:

Rich suburbs: Many House races where Democrats could oust Republicans are taking place in high-income suburbs, the kind of places in which polls suggest that many educated women are rebelling against Trump. They include the 6th District of the Denver area in Colorado, the 6th District of Illinois in the Chicago area, the 3rd District of the Minneapolis area in Minnesota, the 7th District of the Houston area in Texas and the 32nd District of the Dallas area, the 3rd District of the Kansas City area in Kansas and the 11th of Michigan in Michigan. District.

California Cluster: Democrats have a chance to win up to four seats in California's upscale county of Orange County (39th, 45th, 48th and 49th districts), a Republican stronghold where Hillary Clinton has managed to beat Trump in 2016. There is another competitive race in the 25th district in nearby Los Angeles County.

Democrats on the tightrope: Five Democratic senators are trying to get re-elected in the states that Trump won by 19 points or more, each trying to convince voters that they are not hostages to party liberals. Polls suggest that Senator Joe Manchin is in good shape, the Montana Senator, Jon Tester, in good shape, Missouri Senator Claire McCaskill and Indiana Sen. Joe Donnelly in a close race and the North Dakota Senator Heidi Heitkamp in trouble.

Moderate Republican Immigration in Hispanic Districts: Republican congressmen in areas populated by huge Hispanic populations – Carlos Curbelo (Florida), Will Hurd (Texas), Jeff Denham (California) and David Valadao – have tried to separate from Trump's immigration. Democrats have argued that they are accomplices to Trump anyway. The Curbelo race seems to be particularly tight.

Texas Senate Race: Beto O'Rourke has attracted the most national attention and donations from all congressional candidates, partly because of his charisma and partly because of his opponent: the Republican Sen. Ted Cruz. Republican strategists mocked Betomania, pointing out that Cruz had always been ahead of the polls. But strong participation in the advance poll gave the Democrats a reason to hope at least temporarily, and the party might need this seat if it has any chance of winning the Senate.

Rusty beltTrump would not have been president if he had not won Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Republican candidates from the three states appear to be doing poorly, with some voters in Trump's white working clbad seeming to return to their democratic roots. Wisconsin Republican Governor Scott Walker is in danger of being defeated; in Pennsylvania and Michigan, Democratic candidates for governor and senator appear to be in a good position.

FloridaThe Perpetual Presidential Swing features three critical competitions. The race of governor opposes the mayor of Tallahbadee, Andrew Gillum, a black and shameless black man, to the representative Ron DeSantis, a tireless devotee of Trump. In the Senate race, Republican Gov. Rick Scott will attempt to defeat moderate Democratic Senator Bill Nelson. And in a direct vote, voters will decide that they will give most ex-criminals back their voting rights – which could create hundreds of thousands of new voters for the 2020 and later elections. of the.

Republicans plagued by controversyRepublican Congressmen Duncan Hunter of California and Chris Collins of New York have been charged with crimes; both are always favored to win. The same goes for Steve King, Iowa's representative, who was abandoned by corporate donors for his support of white nationalism. The Iowa representative, Rod Blum, who is the subject of an ethics survey in Congress, and the Minnesota representative, Jason Lewis, who made badist comments and Racists as a radio host, seem to be lagging behind.

Pioneers: Georgian Democrat Stacey Abrams could become the first woman elected to be ruled. The Colorado Democrat, Jared Polis, could become the first openly homobadual elected governor. New Democrat Deb Haaland and Kansas Democrat Sharice Davids may become the first Native American women in Congress. (Democrats Rashida Tlaib of Michigan and Ilhan Omar of Minnesota seem almost certain to become the first Muslim woman in Congress.)

Voting measures: Conservative Electors in Nebraska, Utah and Idaho Decide to Challenge Republican Politicians in Their State and Endorse Medicaid Program to Provide Health Insurance for Tens of Thousands of Low-Income People .

Read more:

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Two years after Trump's big wins, Rust Belt says Republicans are fed up

Daniel Dale is the head of the Star's office in Washington. It covers politics and current affairs of the United States. Follow him on Twitter: @ ddale8