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As a new father, one thing I quickly learned is to always be one step ahead.
Do not wait for the scream to go off – have the bottle ready for the start of crying. Do not sit there and do not waste time while the baby sleeps – prepare your to-do list, as you know it will not happen when the kid is awake.
It was something I realized a long time ago in fantasy football. Just reacting to what happened the week before will not take you very far. If you want to win – at least, if you want to win consistently – you have to look ahead. Sometimes, far ahead.
This is a little why this column exists, if you have not realized it now. But this time of year, this "anticipation" is more panicked: "get together, because the playoffs for fantasy football are approaching and it's time to prepare your lineup for weeks 14 to 16."
So when you read 15 transactions this week and in the future, be aware that some of the transactions are not for profit in the short term. They are in the longer term. They are for the playoffs. They are to win the most important weeks of the season.
Buy JuJu Smith-Schuster
After a warm start to the 2018 season, JuJu Smith-Schuster is a little calmer. He has not managed to reach 35 pbading yards at two of his last four games, and he's scored only once since the second week.
Everything seems really good for JuJu, though. He has a high target share of 22.6% in an offensive with alternatives, and he is second in the NFL in the red zone targets, behind Alvin Kamara. This is a good reason to hope for a positive regression as well. JuJu scored only two goals and totaled 672 receiving yards, finding the end zone at every 336 yards. In the last seven years, the big receivers scored for 167 yards. He is therefore underperforming in touchdown column even though he sees a lot of looks close to the end zone. This shouting positive regression.
And then there's the playoff schedule. The Steelers"Pbad attacks have a real chance of coming off weeks 14 to 16, with competitions against Oakland, New England and New Orleans. The Raiders and Saints have allocated the top two rushing yards per season this season, while the Patriots are in 16th place. And this game of New England is played in Pittsburgh.
Sell Jordan Howard
Howard has now scored four touchdowns in his last three games and during that time he has been trying to defeat Tarik Cohen on a score of 48 to 17. He has your selling points: he sees the volume on the ground and he scores affected.
The truth is that things could not get better for Howard in this area. The Bears played Desperate Jets and invoices teams over the past two weeks, which has led to some very positive gameplay for Chicago. The scripts were so good, in fact, that the Bears did not even play a single piece by shooting in the back. And then, three weeks ago, against New England, Howard ran the ball for only 39 yards. He just found the end zone.
Howard has more than a target since the 6th week and we know that the targets are much more valuable than the staves. The schedule of the team is not really brutal from now on, but his addiction to the touch and the script of the game makes him a fantastic badet in the fantastic football. This is not usually the type of player I would like in my team.
Hold Tevin Coleman
In most cases, I would sell a split runner who just came out of a multiplayer game. In the case of Tevin Coleman, I think it's harder to hold.
Atlanta Falcons the halves are not very good this year. Even after the performance of the 9th week, they rank 25th in the running team, and 20th for the receptions at the race and the reception. Last year, in some contexts, they ranked 10th in speed, while maintaining a similar rank in the air.
Coleman's reception yesterday is what should excite fantasy managers. He saw seven targets, while his previous record of only one game this year was only four. Forget the fact that two of those targets were scored – a target share of 18.4% is fantastic for a return to this offense.
Now, we probably should not expect this Workload type to continue, but it is wise to wait and see if Atlanta continues to engage more in the pbading game. They get the Browns this week, so even if they do not use Coleman in the same way as the receivers, it may not matter, as Cleveland awards the third highest number of fantasy points per game to the opponents. Which means, Coleman should still keep its current value at week 10. And if they make throw it in its own way more often, so we're planning more a trend, which is great for those who have Coleman on their list.
Add Keke Coutee
A big part of me wants to sell the pbading attack of all Houston Texans – apart from DeAndre Hopkins – given Deshaun Watson continues to be this quarterback at low volume and low footage for them. Watson averaged 38.4 attempts and 324.2 pbading yards in the first five games of the team. Of Houston's last four games, that number has dropped to 23.3 percent, while Watson's yardage rate has dropped to 192.0.
Part of this may be related to Watson's chest injury, but competition also plays a role. The Texans are on a run of six straight wins and have faced Buffalo, Jacksonville, Miami and Denver in their last four games. They saw teams in trouble, or at least below-average offenses. And when that is the case, a quarterback and his receivers must rely on efficiency rather than volume.
The good news is that they have a break this week, so Watson can rest. And out of their way, they really do not have a scary match before the end of the fantastic football season. In the playoffs – weeks 14 to 16 – they will face Indianapolis, New York (Jets) and Philadelphia, which will deal with fantastic clashes.
That's why Keke Coutee is an addition again this week. It's still available on 73% of Yahoo! waiver, and he will have his slot role in the offense when he is back in good health. Recall, in the four matches played by Coutee this year, his target share was 22.2%, which is quite strong. Given the fact that the team has said goodbye this week, it should not be hard to pull the wire if it is still in the league.
Buy Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen played his best game of the season on Sunday, scoring 6 of 10 goals for 124 yards. Unfortunately, he did not find the goal zone and he still has not scored since the first week. That's really the main reason you buy this week. Well, that, and the Chargers get an extra duel against the Raiders in week 10.
But the touchdowns – Allen has just a 630 yard score on the receiving end, when his total yards (based on wide receiver data dating back to 2011) tells us that he should have more than 3 or 4 touchdowns. At this normal pace, Allen would have an average of two more points per game, which would easily make him a receiver among the 15 largest PPR formats. So, if the manager who has Allen is down on him because of lack of scores, it's not a bad idea to try to buy based solely on positive regression.
Add Elijah McGuire
In the first game of the season, Elijah McGuire carried the ball six times against teammate Isaiah Crowell.13 & # 39 ;, but the pbad-catcher capable overtook Crowell 5-2. And, which is a bit surprising, McGuire was on the ground for 13 more shots. This is probably due to the fact that the Jets are facing a negative play script situation, but, uh, New York will likely be facing this type of script for the rest of the season. They will face Buffalo in two of their next four games, which could mean more Crowell, but as this is McGuire's first game, there's still a chance the Jets want to show him more than Sunday. He continues to be an interesting thief off the wire.
Drop Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford was pretty good from the fantasy point of view this year, but he certainly lacked potential. It has actually been ranked among the top 12 quarterbacks (QB1) only once this season. In many leagues, there are probably options equivalent to Stafford on your waiver line, especially if you consider the Detroit schedule from now on. They still have to face the bears twice, and in the fantastic playoffs, they will be on the road against Arizona and Buffalo before welcoming Minnesota. Each of these teams ranks in the top 11 for the few fancy points allowed in the quarter position. It's just not attractive enough to keep Stafford, especially without Golden Tate at his disposal. Your league may not allow it, but know that Stafford has no such high ceiling from now on.
Hold Duke Johnson
With Hue Jackson and Todd Haley this year, Duke Johnson, the leader of the half-way receptions from 2015 to 2017, averaged 3.6 targets per game. Without the two henchmen of the 9th week, Johnson saw his total goal climb to nine.
As Tevin Coleman above, it may have been just a match affair. After all, Kansas City started the week in second place at the semifinal position, and according to numberFire's expected points pattern, the Chiefs also awarded a top 10 success rate to the position by air. It's not like we've seen Johnson's unusually high catch rate (46.7%, when he hit it in three other games this year), and although his running number was one of the highest in the ninth week, the 26 Run, according to Pro Football Focus, was comparable to what we had seen from him at weeks 5, 6 and 7.
I like a little Johnson, but I'm as weighted as possible here. In reality, there is perhaps as luck that it is not "backward" that it is. But you do not have to bet on that this week. Because during the 10th week, Cleveland is facing Atlanta, who has easily given up the most defensive receptions of recent seasons. So, you may want to keep Johnson another week, increase his value and reevaluate it.
Add Mike Davis
Chris Carson is injured in the hip and played only 10 shots Sunday. In his place was mainly Mike Davis, who was on the ground for 72.8% of Seattle shots. He finished the match with 15 of 27 possible scopes for Seattle, and he was very involved as a receiver, reaching 7 out of 8 targets. If Carson lacks time, Davis instantly becomes relevant for fantasy. And seeing the short-term job could be huge – certainly as a receiver – with the Seahawks facing the Rams and packers during their next two games.
Buy Devin Funchess
Funchess has had some tough times in the past two weeks with only 7 catches for 71 yards. One of his clashes was tough against Baltimore, but we were all expecting a bit more from him in a perfect spot against Tampa Bay on Sunday. Instead, we have five targets and four shots.
Clearly, this would make a "buy low" moment. And the main reason you would buy is not so much that its target share has been remarkable lately, nor that it is this wide dominant receiver that must be listed. It's that Carolina has a fantastic playoff schedule. In the 14th week, they will have the Browns, who have allocated the 10th highest points per game to opposing outsiders this year. Then they will have the saints, who have given up the most. And in Week 16, you'll see the Falcons, which ranks third among the worst opponents.
Of course, Funchess has been pooping in bed during a big game this week, but it's hard to ignore this playoff schedule. To be honest, you can think of most Carolina players as shopping.
Add Theo Riddick
Riddick made 30 homers in Week 9, according to Pro Football Focus, which links Kerryon JohnsonWeek 8 marks for a season-high of Detroit at the position. The Lions also left Riddick in the slot for five of his shots, and he was targeted once. We know that there is a void in the Lions attack with Golden Tate, and although Riddick did not just play that role in the slot machine of the ninth week, he has enough potential to replace it. the week. If you can accurately predict that Lions are in a negative gameplay scenario, you can get a Riddick production later.
Add Marquez Valdes-Scantling
Another recurring transaction is to add Marquez Valdes-Scantling, second among Green Bay packers. wide receivers in the routes have worked in the last two weeks. He played more clichés than Randall Cobb in both games, and he touched nearly 150 yards. With Geronimo Allison Moved away, MVS could play a decent sized role in the coming weeks, so grab it while it's still on your quit line. This will probably be the last time I mention it in this column.
Buy Courtland Sutton
In the early days of Courtland Sutton as BroncosThe number two receiver on Sunday he saw 5 of 42 Keenum cases attempts, good (bad) for a target share of 11.9%. It's actually a lower share than it had with Demaryius Thomas active this year.
Sutton was clearly ranked second among the team's best-escaped and, in a forward-looking mind, Denver has a very good playoff program for fantastic football, which makes from Sutton a nice "buy low" target. Week 14 will include a game against San Francisco, then Denver will play Cleveland in Week 15 and Oakland in Week 16. These are all confrontations for a complete fantasy game. With Sutton's low play, the time has come to act.
Add Blake Bortles
There are many quarters that are listed in the range of 30% to 70% on Yahoo !, placing them outside the streaming range. But if someone like Baker Mayfield or Ryan Fitzpatrick are available, given their games of week 10, these are probably better options than this week's more traditional banner, Blake Bortles.
Bortles was pretty bad this year, but he had great performances in fantastic football – half of his matches were basically usable. He will face a Colts defense this week, which has made him one of the top 15 quarterfinals in four of their last five games with Derek Anderson. to be the one who pbades does not hit the mark. And their competition was not very strong, having faced Sam Darnold and Derek Carr during this period..
The game has a pretty good 47.0 points over / under, and the Jags as underdogs at 3.0 points. If you have to broadcast Bortles, you could do worse, but do not watch the game. Do not do this for yourself.
Add New York Jets defense
New York is in 37% of Yahoo! leagues, making it a marginal streamer this week. You, diligent readers, would hit my Twitter mentions difficult if I did not mention the Jets this week because they are facing the bills. And the bills are an offensive abomination.
Fantasy's defenses against Buffalo were among the top six in the weekly markings of seven of the nine games played this year. The defenses averaged 3.7 sacks, 6.4 successful shots and 1.8 interceptions against them per match. That alone gives you a floor of almost eight fancy points. The Jets are a great option this week.
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